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yencarnacionyoutube video videos 2023 charlie munger invest investing warren buffet buffett 202311 less low hanging fruit acquired interview new money newmoneyhttps://pinboard.in/https://pinboard.in/u:yencarnacion/b:c0fbfe354693/(223) How to be the Top 5% Winning Trader? Ft. Lance Breitstein (VERIFIED 8-Figure Trading Mentor) - YouTube2023-10-23T18:22:56+00:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qGU3DcvYLSw
yencarnacion>>
Lance Breitstein mentions several categories to build a database and categorize chart patterns:
1. Breaking news: Identifying stocks that react to significant news events (8:19-8:32, 1:00:23-1:00:32).
2. Breakouts: Identifying stocks that break through key resistance levels (8:32-8:39, 34:06-34:18).
3. Capitulations: Identifying stocks that experience extreme panic selling (8:32-8:39, 51:22-51:34).
4. Inplay stocks: Stocks that are influenced by fresh news catalysts, technical patterns, or order flows (52:05-52:11).
5. IPOs: Categorizing charts of newly listed stocks (1:00:43-1:00:49).
6. Easy opportunities: Identifying trades that are relatively easier to execute or understand (35:45-35:52, 1:03:29-1:03:38).
7. Hot IPOs: Identifying stocks with significant initial public offerings (1:01:20-1:01:25).
8. Stocks with extreme moves: Identifying stocks with large, rapid price movements (54:11-54:18).
9. Stocks with strong/weak sentiment: Assessing sentiment toward specific stocks or sectors (54:11-54:17).
These categories serve as a starting point for traders to analyze and identify patterns, develop trading strategies, and refine their approach over time.
<<<
Breitstein emphasizes the significance of recollecting patterns and processing information quickly in real-time trading (10:41-10:46). He shares his experience of refining simple trading plays, like buying after a downtrend breaks, to make them more effective over time (11:02-11:15).
>>>
Lance Breitstein's strategy for buying on the right side of the V, also known as capitulation trades, involves identifying stocks that have experienced extreme panic selling and are likely to bounce back. Here's a detailed breakdown of how this strategy works:
1. Identifying Capitulation: Lance looks for stocks that have undergone significant price declines due to panic selling. These stocks are often characterized by sharp, rapid drops in price, accompanied by high trading volumes and a sense of extreme negativity and fear in the market (51:25-51:34).
2. Analyzing Sentiment and Scale of Move: Lance considers sentiment on these stocks, looking for signs of extreme pessimism or bearishness. He mentions analyzing factors such as negative news sentiment and the scale of the move (54:11-54:13). If sentiment on these stocks approaches very low levels, it may indicate that most of the negative news and selling pressure has been discounted (55:39-55:46).
3. Determining Entry Points: Lance focuses on finding an appropriate entry point into these capitulation trades. He mentions waiting for a break of the prior bar highs, indicating a potential change in sentiment and a reversal of the downtrend (56:03-56:11). This break of the prior bar highs can serve as a trigger for potential buyers to enter the trade.
4. Using Volume as Confirmation: Lance emphasizes the importance of volume in capitulation trades. During a capitulation, there is often a significant increase in trading volume as a result of panic selling by investors who had been holding the stock at higher prices (55:52-55:57). The subsequent rebound in price occurs as new buyers enter the market at lower average prices, leading to a surge in volume (55:57-56:07).
5. Setting Stops and Managing Risk: To manage risk, Lance suggests using a trailing stop, typically based on the break of the prior bar lows. This stop-loss technique allows traders to protect their downside if the stock fails to rebound as expected (57:03-57:08).
By analyzing sentiment, scale of move, and volume during capitulation events, and waiting for a break of prior bar highs, Lance's strategy aims to identify potential buying opportunities on the right side of the V-shaped recovery. However, he also cautions about the importance of backtesting and refining strategies to develop rules specific to each trader's preferences and risk tolerance (1:03:47-1:04:06).
<<<
The transcript also highlights the key differentiators between failing traders and successful ones. Successful traders work harder, ask detailed questions, and show a higher level of dedication, reflecting on their trades and seeking better solutions (27:59-28:38). To make progress, intentional review and practice outside of trading hours are crucial, allowing traders to refine their skills and avoid haphazard trading (32:13-33:14).
The importance of categorizing charts and creating a database to identify patterns and develop rules emerges as a significant aspect of successful trading. Traders should focus on finding the easiest opportunities for them and refine their strategies based on data and hypotheses (34:01-37:23). Breitstein recommends finding the stocks with the craziest moves each day and creating databases for IPOs, breaking news, or capitulations (1:00:23-1:01:14).
>>>
Lance Breitstein emphasizes the importance of reviewing whatever the easiest opportunity is in trading. He suggests that every trader should make it a practice to review their trades and analyze the easiest opportunities they come across (34:01-34:06).
His recommendation is to take the chart of the easiest opportunity and put it in a database. From there, he suggests doing a page or two write-up for each of these easy plays every week. By studying the daily chart, intraday chart, volume, level two data, and other variables, traders can develop a comprehensive understanding of why those moves occurred and reverse engineer the patterns (34:06-34:24).
The purpose of this review process is to gather data and create a large catalog of these easiest opportunities over months and months of time. By analyzing and categorizing these opportunities, traders can identify logical patterns and develop simple rules to guide their trading decisions (34:24-34:36).
Moreover, Lance encourages traders to refine their strategies by asking questions such as: What happens if a stop is placed in a capitulation? How does time of day, volume, or the presence of a news catalyst affect trading outcomes? By crunching data and testing hypotheses, traders can improve their strategies and enhance their chances of success (1:03:29-1:03:33).
In summary, Lance suggests that traders review their trades, develop a database of easy opportunities, and analyze the patterns and variables associated with those opportunities. By refining their strategies and rules based on the outcomes of these reviews, traders can improve their trading performance in the long run.
<<<
Risk management is crucial for all traders, regardless of experience. Implementing risk limits and position sizing helps prevent self-sabotage and maintain discipline in trading (1:08:16-1:08:29). Breitstein also discusses the use of different time frames for analysis and emphasizes the value of waiting for breakouts and understanding the upside potential and downside risks (1:10:56-1:11:56).
Overall, the transcript emphasizes the need for a disciplined trading approach, including systemizing trades, building databases, reflecting on trades, intentionally practicing, and managing risk. By following these principles, traders can develop a repeatable process, refine their strategy over time, and improve their overall trading performance.
---
According to Lance Breitstein, the number of traders who successfully make it can vary. He mentions that in a class of around 15 to 20 traders, there is usually only one star trader, and perhaps one or two traders who are considered good to great (1:29:07-1:29:19).
He further explains that the traders who make it are the ones who work the hardest, ask detailed questions, and demonstrate a high level of dedication and effort. They actively seek out solutions and provide well-thought-out answers to questions posed to them. These traders stand out by consistently outworking and outcompeting their peers in every category (27:59-28:38).
While the class may have a few exceptional traders, Lance notes that a significant percentage of the remaining traders may not make it past a certain point in their trading journey. This can be due to factors such as the learning curve, lack of fit, or simply losing interest in trading (1:29:25-1:29:35).
Based on his experience, Lance's observation suggests that the path to becoming a successful trader requires dedication, hard work, and a commitment to continual improvement. The number of traders who ultimately succeed is relatively low compared to the total number of participants.
---
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1TdacHo9UCCcnSIooCM4oZ-ZGDSGjB_tgHA5xPdgY_bk/edit
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https://www.foxnews.com/video/6325315947112
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbyET50Ci00
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W6HpE1rhs7w
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W6HpE1rhs7w&t=252s
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAqKl1-PsoM
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tz_l1OBJRK4
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2zKkThlp0Ys
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iQoeyMqVkGE
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vS7lE1z5U_o
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S12sK6nC-OQ
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XL2R4WKu-9Y
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2QjVErqMa1s
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lK2Q9uDOfGQ
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDucGdwI-PY
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RvP8dr-sWII
yencarnacion>>
SPY
QQQ
IWM
VXX
UVXY
TVIX
<<<
Stages that they see at SMB
Learning
Consistency (how much money are you making per unit of risk - risk adjusted returns - statistics)
Trade bigger what is going well
Tradebook expansion (broader)
Getting more sophisticated in how they trade (different ways of expressing trades - diversified)
Traders at SMB can tell you what trades make them most of their money, (according to Mike) most independent traders can’t tell you where they make their money
Have stops (risk management)
For the day
Over time]]>smb capital mike bellafiore steenbarger interview youtube video videos day trading daytrading success successful trader traders habit trait traits characteristic characteristics market plays overall odds of 1 in 20 5 five percent statistic statistics how many make ithttps://pinboard.in/https://pinboard.in/u:yencarnacion/b:a0e68b8837f5/(1514) Inside the habits and methods of trading professionals who become full-time traders W/ Jack Schwager - YouTube2022-04-22T11:03:42+00:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eqcxaFftvWM
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QQ4HpXSwUOM
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mo4vesaut8g
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