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    <title>AI as Normal Technology | Knight First Amendment Institute</title>
    <dc:date>2025-06-12T17:11:59+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://knightcolumbia.org/content/ai-as-normal-technology</link>
    <dc:creator>robertogreco</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["An alternative to the vision of AI as a potential superintelligence"

...

"We articulate a vision of artificial intelligence (AI) as normal technology. To view AI as normal is not to understate its impact—even transformative, general-purpose technologies such as electricity and the internet are “normal” in our conception. But it is in contrast to both utopian and dystopian visions of the future of AI which have a common tendency to treat it akin to a separate species, a highly autonomous, potentially superintelligent entity.

The statement “AI is normal technology” is three things: a description of current AI, a prediction about the foreseeable future of AI, and a prescription about how we should treat it. We view AI as a tool that we can and should remain in control of, and we argue that this goal does not require drastic policy interventions or technical breakthroughs. We do not think that viewing AI as a humanlike intelligence is currently accurate or useful for understanding its societal impacts, nor is it likely to be in our vision of the future.

The normal technology frame is about the relationship between technology and society. It rejects technological determinism, especially the notion of AI itself as an agent in determining its future. It is guided by lessons from past technological revolutions, such as the slow and uncertain nature of technology adoption and diffusion. It also emphasizes continuity between the past and the future trajectory of AI in terms of societal impact and the role of institutions in shaping this trajectory.

In Part I, we explain why we think that transformative economic and societal impacts will be slow (on the timescale of decades), making a critical distinction between AI methods, AI applications, and AI adoption, arguing that the three happen at different timescales.

In Part II, we discuss a potential division of labor between humans and AI in a world with advanced AI (but not “superintelligent” AI, which we view as incoherent as usually conceptualized). In this world, control is primarily in the hands of people and organizations; indeed, a greater and greater proportion of what people do in their jobs is AI control.

In Part III, we examine the implications of AI as normal technology for AI risks. We analyze accidents, arms races, misuse, and misalignment, and argue that viewing AI as normal technology leads to fundamentally different conclusions about mitigations compared to viewing AI as being humanlike.

Of course, we cannot be certain of our predictions, but we aim to describe what we view as the median outcome. We have not tried to quantify probabilities, but we have tried to make predictions that can tell us whether or not AI is behaving like normal technology.

In Part IV, we discuss the implications for AI policy. We advocate for reducing uncertainty as a first-rate policy goal and resilience as the overarching approach to catastrophic risks. We argue that drastic interventions premised on the difficulty of controlling superintelligent AI will, in fact, make things much worse if AI turns out to be normal technology— the downsides of which will be likely to mirror those of previous technologies that are deployed in capitalistic societies, such as inequality.

The world we describe in Part II is one in which AI is far more advanced than it is today. We are not claiming that AI progress—or human progress—will stop at that point. What comes after it? We do not know. Consider this analogy: At the dawn of the first Industrial Revolution, it would have been useful to try to think about what an industrial world would look like and how to prepare for it, but it would have been futile to try to predict electricity or computers. Our exercise here is similar. Since we reject “fast takeoff” scenarios, we do not see it as necessary or useful to envision a world further ahead than we have attempted to. If and when the scenario we describe in Part II materializes, we will be able to better anticipate and prepare for whatever comes next.

A note to readers. This essay has the unusual goal of stating a worldview rather than defending a proposition. The literature on AI superintelligence is copious. We have not tried to give a point-by-point response to potential counter arguments, as that would make the paper several times longer. This paper is merely the initial articulation of our views; we plan to elaborate on them in various follow ups."

[via:
https://social.ayjay.org/2025/06/12/gary-marcus-if-you-cant.html ]]]></description>
<dc:subject>ai artificialintelligence technology 2025 arvindnarayanan sayashkapoor culture future daronacemoglu simonjohnson society inequality policy predictions nickbostom</dc:subject>
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    <title>Gonzalo Mena: ciencia y ficción de la inteligencia artificial - YouTube</title>
    <dc:date>2024-09-04T18:22:23+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CSGUbdd8Yo8</link>
    <dc:creator>robertogreco</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["¿Dominará el mundo la inteligencia artificial? Conversamos con Gonzalo Mena, matemático y experto en ciencias de la computación chileno, sobre qué ha dicho la ciencia e imaginado la ficción acerca de una era en la que conviven humanos con inteligencias artificiales. Mena trabaja actualmente en el área de Estadística Computacional de la Universidad de Oxford, en Inglaterra, y se ha vuelto un referente académico en el ámbito de la inteligencia artificial. Entre otros textos se comentan en este podcast “Franksenstein”, de Mary Shelley; “Poder y progreso: nuestra lucha milenaria por la tecnología y la prosperidad”, de Daron Acemoğlu y Simon Johnson; y “Maniac”, de Benjamín Labatut."]]></description>
<dc:subject>gonzalomena ai artificialintelligence computing computers 2024 simonjohnson benjamínlabatut daronacemoğlu sciencefiction scifi</dc:subject>
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    <title>Playmakers on Vimeo</title>
    <dc:date>2012-02-15T03:46:06+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://vimeo.com/11290693</link>
    <dc:creator>robertogreco</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["playmakers, a 35 minute documentary, is the culmination of a six month project following the progress of Hide&Seek; game designers Alex Fleetwood and Holly Gramazio through the development of a new game. The documentary was filmed over the first 6 months of 2009 and premiered at the Sheffield Documentary festival. Playmakers will be available to download and view on the 5th of May 2010.

Over the last 50 years play has become an increasingly private activity. Now it is bursting back onto our streets. playmakers explores the emerging area of pervasive games it examines the implications of reclaiming play into the public domain and shows the possibilities offered by new technologies.

Playmakers investigates four main themes:

Part 1: Play…

Part 2: Public space…

Part 3: Technology…

Part 4: Theatre/art…"

[See also: http://playmakers.org.uk/ ]]]></description>
<dc:subject>blasttheory simonevans quentinstevens paulinabozek duncanspeakman mattadams simonjohnson clarereddington jackcase thomasbrock hollygramazio alexfleetwood art theater urbanplay urbangames parkour social urbanism urban legal law publicspace fun ubiquitousconnectivity ubicomp geolocation geocaching socialgames gaming via:chrisberthelsen playmakers play games rules arg pervasivegames pervasive 2010 howardrheingold michaelwesch hide&amp;seek hide&amp;seek;</dc:subject>
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    <title>Lawrence Lessig: Neo-Progressives</title>
    <dc:date>2010-09-10T03:15:16+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.huffingtonpost.com/lawrence-lessig/neoprogressives_b_704715.html</link>
    <dc:creator>robertogreco</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["every 100 years, body politic we call America swells with fever as it fights off a democracy-destroying disease [of] "Special Interest Government," government captured by economically powerful, as they find a way to convert economic into political power…now entered 3rd of these cycles…corruption of today is in plain sight…Some of us thought Obama was our Jackson…feels embarrassingly naive today…Arianna Huffington has become a leader…Along w/ scholar/activists such as Elizabeth Warren, Simon Johnson, Joseph Stiglitz & Robert Reich, & maybe even come-back-kid politicians like Eliot Spitzer…Progressivism in its best sense is not just a politics of Left…needs to be willing to put aside part of the agenda of each w/in movement, recognizing that no change, on Right or Left, will happen until the fever is broken…Mainstream parties have lost the credibility for reform. As in 1912, only a breakaway, trans-party movement, possibly with no single leader, could have an effect in 2012."]]></description>
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