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  </channel><item rdf:about="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/02/health/americans-health-care-debt-borrowing.html">
    <title>Americans Borrowed $88 Billion to Pay for Health Care Last Year, Survey Finds</title>
    <dc:date>2019-04-02T23:38:34+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/02/health/americans-health-care-debt-borrowing.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Americans borrowed an estimated $88 billion over the last year to pay for health care, according to a survey released on Tuesday by Gallup and the nonprofit West Health.

The survey also found that one in four Americans have skipped treatment because of the cost, and that nearly half fear bankruptcy in the event of a health emergency.

There was a partisan divide when respondents were asked whether they believed that the American health care system is among the best in the world: Among Republicans, 67 percent of respondents said they believed so; that number was 38 percent among Democrats.

But Democrats and Republicans had similar responses about putting off medical treatment. Asked if they had deferred treatment because of the cost, 27 percent of Democrats said they had, compared with 21 percent of Republicans and 30 percent of independents.

Respondents from across the political spectrum also reported pessimism about their leaders’ abilities to reduce health care costs. About 70 percent of respondents said they had no confidence in their elected officials to bring prices down. And 77 percent said they were concerned that rising health care costs would damage the American economy.]]></description>
<dc:subject>health healthcare economics inequality insurance politics poll government usa</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:6be3ee411180/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="https://friendlyatheist.patheos.com/2019/03/19/more-white-evangelicals-than-not-say-its-inappropriate-for-trump-to-sign-bibles/">
    <title>More White Evangelicals Than Not Say It’s Inappropriate for Trump to Sign Bibles | Hemant Mehta | Friendly Atheist | Patheos</title>
    <dc:date>2019-03-20T03:58:07+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://friendlyatheist.patheos.com/2019/03/19/more-white-evangelicals-than-not-say-its-inappropriate-for-trump-to-sign-bibles/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Remember — what was it, a year and a half ago? — when Donald Trump signed the front covers of bibles during a tour of the tornado wreckage in Alabama?

Some said it was appalling behavior, even for a president, while plenty of white evangelical leaders defended the practice as no big deal.

Morning Consult just released a poll finding that, yes, plenty of Christians think it was completely inappropriate. ]]></description>
<dc:subject>religion DonaldTrump poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:d4c2883cddd4/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="https://friendlyatheist.patheos.com/2019/03/18/churchgoing-white-evangelicals-support-donald-trump-more-than-any-other-group/">
    <title>Churchgoing White Evangelicals Support Donald Trump More Than Any Other Group</title>
    <dc:date>2019-03-18T17:31:38+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://friendlyatheist.patheos.com/2019/03/18/churchgoing-white-evangelicals-support-donald-trump-more-than-any-other-group/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Who loves Donald Trump the most? Here’s a shocker from the Pew Research Center: White evangelicals continue to give him the highest approval rating of any group — 69% — though even their numbers have gone down since the 78% support Trump had from them at his inauguration.

Non-white Catholics are the only group whose support for Trump has gone up since February of 2017, doubling from 13% then to 26% now.

And the religiously unaffiliated (which includes atheists, agnostics, and people who believe in God but don’t belong to any organized religion) never really warmed up to him at all, with our approval rating coming in at 20%, even lower than the 24% we gave him two years ago.]]></description>
<dc:subject>religion christianity politics usa government poll DonaldTrump</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/03/betos-announcement-shows-triumph-secular-democrats/585001/">
    <title>Secular Democrats Are the New Normal</title>
    <dc:date>2019-03-17T23:21:14+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/03/betos-announcement-shows-triumph-secular-democrats/585001/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Today’s white liberals don’t only talk about faith less than their predecessors did. They talk about it in a strikingly different way. Earlier Democrats invoked religion as a source of national unity. Bill Clinton declared in his 1992 convention speech, “There is no them; there’s only us. One nation, under God, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all.” In his 2004 convention keynote address, Obama famously announced, “We worship an awesome God in the blue states.” The implication was that religious observance was something Americans of both parties shared.

Today, by contrast, progressive white candidates more often cite religion as a source of division. In his announcement video, O’Rourke boasted that during his Senate campaign in Texas, “people allowed no difference, however great or however small, to stand between them and divide us. Whether it was religion or gender or geography or income, we put our labels and our differences aside.” The only reference to faith in Warren’s announcement speech was an acknowledgment that “we come from different backgrounds. Different religions.” The lone reference in Sanders’s was a call for “ending religious bigotry.” While white progressives once described religion as something that brought Americans together, they’re now more likely to describe it as something that drives them apart.

It’s not hard to understand why. For starters, the percentage of white Democrats who express no religious affiliation has skyrocketed. According to unpublished data tabulated for me last year by the Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI), 8 percent of white Democrats expressed no religious affiliation in 1990. By 2016, the figure was 33 percent. In 1990, white self-described liberals were 39 points more likely to describe themselves as Protestant than as religiously unaffiliated. By 2016, religiously unaffiliated beat Protestant by nine points.]]></description>
<dc:subject>religion politics usa congress democrats republicans poll</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2015/8/31/9208015/terrorism-chart-ranked">
    <title>A surprising chart of terrorist threats to America, as ranked by law enforcement</title>
    <dc:date>2015-09-01T05:36:12+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2015/8/31/9208015/terrorism-chart-ranked</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[To understand what, you need to understand a little about sovereign citizens, as they’re not like other anti-government extremists. Sovereign citizens believe in a weird conspiracy theory that says, essentially, that your citizenship is not real. Either the 14th Amendment or the move off the gold standard, depending on which “sovereign” you talk to, stripped Americans of their rights; all so-called citizenship rights accorded today are fake.

Sovereign citizens conclude from this that they are under no obligation to obey any laws enforced by our “illegitimate” government. They are, themselves, sovereign under true American law — and thus cannot be bound by the agents of the impostor state. Usually, their actions are limited to bizarre legal maneuvers: They’ll file an overwhelming number of injunctions to avoid paying speeding tickets, file absurd liens against prosecutors’ homes, or fabricate driver’s licenses from fake Native American tribes.

These tactics, sometimes called “paper terrorism,” hardly amount to an al-Qaeda-level threat. But the number of sovereign citizens appears to have swelled since the late 2000s as part of a general rise in anti-government sentiment. Reliable estimates are really difficult, as the movement doesn’t have any formal structure, but the Southern Poverty Law Center guesses there are somewhere between 100,000 and 300,000 sovereign citizens in the US.

And occasionally, they’ve been violent. In 2010, a father-son duo named Jerry and Joseph Kane killed two police officers with an AK-47 during a traffic stop, and wounded two others before being killed themselves. According a 2012 Anti-Defamation League report, there’s a “growing tide of sovereign citizen activity and violence across the country … if the movement’s growth is allowed to continue unchecked, further acts of violence are inevitable, putting government officials, law enforcement officers, and private citizens all at risk.”

And that, perhaps, is why law enforcement officials are growing so alarmed. Sovereign citizen ideas have been around for decades, but sovereign citizens traditionally aren’t violent. An increase in size coupled with high-profile violence would mark a new, and disturbing, direction for the movement — especially since their ideas incline them to target police, prosecutors, and other government agents.]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa culture politics government legal poll police terrorism SovereignCitizens</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/27/upshot/theres-evidence-that-trumps-polling-support-is-overstated.html">
    <title>There’s Evidence That Trump’s Polling Support Is Overstated</title>
    <dc:date>2015-08-30T15:11:25+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/27/upshot/theres-evidence-that-trumps-polling-support-is-overstated.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[If Mr. Trump had a big advantage among unlikely voters, a poll using a listed sample — like the Civis data — would be the way to find out. The Civis poll was conducted Aug. 10 to 19 and had a sample of 757 respondents. That sample was as much as three times larger than that of some public polls.

The results showed Mr. Trump with 16 percent of the vote, below any of his poll results in a month. But much of the difference was because 22 percent of voters in the Civis poll were undecided — much more than in many recent public surveys.

The proportion of respondents who “don’t know” often varies from pollster to pollster, a phenomenon called a “house effect.” That’s because the wording of the questions varies or the interviewers have been trained to push undecided voters into making a choice. Sometimes it depends on whether pollsters asked all respondents or only those registered to vote.

The number of undecided voters can affect the rest of the results in a survey. For instance, if undecided voters were allocated proportionally until the number of undecided voters fell to the level of other polls, Mr. Trump would hold 21 percent of the vote. It’s not a good idea to assume that undecided voters break proportionally, but it gives a sense of how much undecided votes could explain the difference between the Civis data and the public polls. (Mr. Trump leads in a national polling average, at 26 percent).

The huge gap between the Civis results for Mr. Trump and other surveys also hints at the possibility that these voters, pushed to make a choice in public polls, might be breaking for Mr. Trump by a disproportionate margin.

At the very least, the large number of undecided voters suggests that many who tell pollsters they support a candidate might have weak preferences, and that Mr. Trump might be the beneficiary.

The large number of undecided voters makes it difficult to directly compare the Civis numbers with other public polls. But the Civis analysis, using voter history data, nonetheless offers good reason to believe that Mr. Trump might fare best among voters who have little history of voting.

Civis tried different methods to measure the effect of voter participation. All the methods showed the same basic story, with Mr. Trump faring better among irregular voters, but not by an unusual amount.

It was also able to look at the impact on other candidates. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson and Chris Christie fared better among irregular voters by a similar or even greater amount. Carly Fiorina, Scott Walker, Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz and John Kasich fared better among more regular primary voters than irregular voters.

Civis used a simple model to estimate the relationship between candidate preference and vote history — measured by the total number of elections respondents had voted in since 2000. It found that Mr. Trump, Mr. Bush and Mr. Carson all did much worse among voters who had participated in more elections.

Mrs. Fiorina saw her support rise with vote participation, as did Mr. Walker, Mr. Cruz, Mr. Kasich and Mr. Huckabee.

Civis took another step and weighted its sample under two scenarios: one reflecting the adult population of Republicans, the other of primary voters. Primary voters aren’t just likelier to vote; they’re also older and likelier to be registered Republicans. Mr. Trump fared two percentage points worse among primary voters than Civis estimated he would have among all adults. Other candidates, like Mr. Bush and Mr. Carson, actually lost more ground. Like Mr. Trump, Mr. Bush also seems to be benefiting from name recognition.

On the other hand, Mrs. Fiorina gained around three points in the primary electorate — although she still held no more than 5 percent — while Mr. Kasich, Mr. Walker, Mr. Huckabee and Rand Paul each picked up about a point.

Parsing the results by vote history helps illustrate that Mr. Trump’s support was lowest among the most frequent voters. Mr. Trump had 15 percent support among voters who had participated in a primary since 2008, but he had 22 percent of the vote among Republicans who did not vote in the 2012 general election.

Mr. Trump’s seven-point gap was rivaled by Mr. Bush at five, and Chris Christie at four. Mr. Christie had virtually no support — at 1 percent of the vote — among voters who had voted in a primary since 2008.

On the other hand, Mr. Kasich fared four points better among voters who had participated in a primary than those who had not. Mr. Walker, Mr. Cruz, Mrs. Fiorina and Mr. Huckabee all fared three points better.

Over all, the data is consistent with the view that Mr. Trump’s support might be overstated by public polls. But he leads among voters who have participated in one or 12 elections. His challenge among likely voters isn’t necessarily unique. His lead might be modestly overstated, but it’s not a mirage.]]></description>
<dc:subject>DonaldTrump poll election</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:f85c75a9ac61/</dc:identifier>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.cnn.com/2015/06/25/living/atheist-president-gallup/index.html">
    <title>Gallup: 58% in America would vote for atheist president - CNN.com</title>
    <dc:date>2015-08-29T23:38:20+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.cnn.com/2015/06/25/living/atheist-president-gallup/index.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The percentage of Americans who would vote for a qualified atheist candidate for president has reached 58%, which is 4 points better than it was in 2012, and a whopping 40 point jump from when the question was first asked in 1958. In that year, a mere 18% of Americans could abide the idea of an atheist president.

The number of those who would refuse to vote for an atheist candidate has also dropped from where it was in 2012, from 43% to 40%.

And as for being the least-electable group in the survey, nonbelievers have finally moved up a rung. Now claiming the space at the bottom of this particular barrel are socialists, with half of all voters ruling them out entirely. Sen. Bernie Sanders will have his work cut out for him. (Despite his very secular politics, he doesn’t identify as an atheist.)

Still, it can’t be denied that a hypothetical candidate’s atheism remains a major obstacle to passing electoral muster. But it’s not even close to the impenetrable wall that it used to be. What explains this slow but unmistakable upward trend?

A major survey by the Pew Research Center recently revealed that America’s religiously unaffiliated, also known as “nones,” had for the first time grown to become the second-largest religious identification group in the country, beating out Catholics, and leaping from about 16% in 2007 to 23% just seven years later.

If that weren’t enough to shuffle the political deck, over a third of millennials are “nones,” and many of them left formal faith traditions to become so.]]></description>
<dc:subject>poll politics atheism religion usa government</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://blogs.wsj.com/briefly/2015/06/24/5-things-about-people-who-remain-uninsured-despite-obamacare/">
    <title>5 Things About People Who Remain Uninsured Despite Obamacare</title>
    <dc:date>2015-07-04T02:57:25+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://blogs.wsj.com/briefly/2015/06/24/5-things-about-people-who-remain-uninsured-despite-obamacare/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[CBO says that by the time everything has shaken out, around 30% of the remaining uninsured will be unauthorized immigrants. Another 20% will be people eligible for Medicaid who choose not to enroll, and about 5% will be people who were supposed to be eligible for Medicaid under the health law but don’t qualify because their state opted not to expand the program. The single largest group — 45% – will be people who have access to insurance through an employer or could buy it on their own because of the law but have chosen not to.]]></description>
<dc:subject>statistics research poll AffordableCareAct health healthcare insurance medicaid</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:16f4f2537d44/</dc:identifier>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.gallup.com/poll/183704/confidence-police-lowest-years.aspx">
    <title>In U.S., Confidence in Police Lowest in 22 Years</title>
    <dc:date>2015-06-22T19:47:23+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.gallup.com/poll/183704/confidence-police-lowest-years.aspx</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Overall, 25% of Americans say they have a great deal of confidence in the police, 27% quite a lot, 30% "some," 16% "very little" and 2% "none." The combined 18% who have very little or no confidence in police is the highest Gallup has measured to date. The full results for the trend are shown at the end of this article.

The actions of police in certain U.S. cities -- including Ferguson, Missouri; Staten Island, New York; and North Charleston, South Carolina -- have recently come under scrutiny after black men were killed while being apprehended by white police officers. These events likely contributed to the decline in confidence in police, although it is important to note that Americans' trust in police has not been fundamentally shaken -- it remains high in an absolute sense, despite being at a historical low.

Americans' confidence in the police was last at 52% in 1993, the first time Gallup included police in the list of institutions. That poll was conducted as four white Los Angeles police officers were being tried in federal court for violating Rodney King's civil rights in the 1991 beating of King. The four had earlier been acquitted of criminal charges in state court, which provoked riots in 1992. Two of the four officers were later found guilty of violating King's civil rights.]]></description>
<dc:subject>legal usa police poll government civilrights republicans democrats politics</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-32710444">
    <title>US Christians numbers 'decline sharply', poll finds - BBC News</title>
    <dc:date>2015-05-13T00:54:54+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-32710444</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The number of Americans who identify as Christian has fallen nearly eight percentage points in only seven years, according to a new survey.
Pew Research Center found that 71% of Americans identified as Christian in 2014 - down from 78% in 2007.
In the same period, Americans identifying as having no religion grew from 16% to 23%.
Fifty-six million Americans do not observe any religion, the second largest community after Evangelicals.
The United States still remains home to more Christians than any other nation, with roughly seven-in-ten continuing to identify with some branch of Christianity.
In 2007 and then again in 2014, Pew conducted the "Religious Landscape Study", interviewing 35,000 people each time]]></description>
<dc:subject>religion usa christianity poll statistics</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="https://www.vox.com/2015/4/26/8499711/obamacare-approval-ratings-polls">
    <title>More Americans think Obamacare is a success than did two years ago - Vox</title>
    <dc:date>2015-04-26T23:14:24+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.vox.com/2015/4/26/8499711/obamacare-approval-ratings-polls</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[These charts by no means show that Obamacare has become a popular success — the first chart still shows there are more Americans who think the law is more of a failure than those who see it as a success. But, they still show that some Americans' opinions are changing on the health care law as it rolls out and covers more people.

Who's changing their minds? YouGov polling finds that it's not Republicans becoming more positive, but rather Democrats who didn't like the law at first starting to warm up to it.

"One of the changes that has happened over the last few years is that Democrats have become more enthusiastic about Obamacare," YouGov writes in a summary of the findings. "In this week’s poll, six in ten Democrats say the ACA has been a success, while only one in ten Democrats call it a failure."]]></description>
<dc:subject>AffordableCareAct politics poll usa government health healthcare insurance</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.newrepublic.com/article/121529/art-laffer-foolishly-says-tax-cuts-will-give-gop-lock-washington">
    <title>Republicans Are Doomed If They Take Political Advice From Conservative Economist Art Laffer</title>
    <dc:date>2015-04-14T01:47:48+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.newrepublic.com/article/121529/art-laffer-foolishly-says-tax-cuts-will-give-gop-lock-washington</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Meanwhile, top individual tax rates are far lower now than they were in the 1970s, the decade Laffer and company often point to as evidence that supply-side economics is correct. That means the benefits of cutting individual rates, if such benefits exist, are far smaller now than they were four decades ago. And never mind the weak growth that ensued after the Bush tax cuts. None of this means that taxes don’t affect the economy. But Laffer’s commitment to supply-side economics has not wavered at all, even as evidence against the theory has continued to increase. 

In fact, we only have to look to Kansas to see the failure of Laffer’s economic and political theory. Governor Sam Brownback worked with Laffer to design large tax cuts that were supposed to trigger an economic boom. That hasn’t happened. Growth has been middling and the cuts have created a hole in the state budget that the Republican governor is struggling to fill. The politics of the cuts have been even worse. Brownback’s reelection race gained national attention last year as polls showed a tight contest in the normally dark red Kansas. Eventually, Brownback won by four points in one of the most solidly Republican states.

While Laffer is undeterred in his support for supply-side economics, the Republican Party should take a lesson from Kansas. Brownback may have survived, but in less conservative states his policies would have ended his political career. If other GOPers want to avoid a similar fate elsewhere, they would be wise not to take Laffer’s advice—presidential candidates included.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics republicans government congress AriLaffer economics poll</dc:subject>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2015/4/13/8400823/hillary-clinton-approval">
    <title>Unlike Hillary Clinton, the entire GOP field is either obscure or unpopular</title>
    <dc:date>2015-04-14T01:24:45+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2015/4/13/8400823/hillary-clinton-approval</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[It is certainly true that Clinton’s just-barely-over-water approval ratings aren’t overwhelming. But elections are zero-sum. The Clinton-Bush gap and the Clinton-Cruz gaps are both enormous. It is true that Clinton’s advantages over Scott Walker and Marco Rubio are not that large, but she is dramatically better-known than either of those guys.

So what you make of this chart largely comes down to whether you think it’s plausible that these obscure-but-slightly-less-popular-than-Clinton Republicans can maintain their level of popularity while becoming better-known.

I’m going to say no.

It’s very likely that outside of their home state, the Rubios and Walkers of the world are better-known to people with conservative leanings than people with liberal leanings. They’ve already introduced themselves, in other words, to a self-selected audience that is predisposed to view them favorably. As more people hear of them and learn that they have largely mainstream conservative views similar to those of Jeb Bush and Chris Christie, they are likely to end up with approval ratings that are similar to Bush’s and Christie’s.]]></description>
<dc:subject>hillaryclinton politics republicans election government 2016 poll chrischristie JebBush MarcoRubio</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2015/4/8/8372417/feminist-gender-equality-poll">
    <title>Only 18 percent of Americans consider themselves feminists</title>
    <dc:date>2015-04-12T04:05:28+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2015/4/8/8372417/feminist-gender-equality-poll</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Plenty of people say they believe in equal rights for women, but when you ask those same people if they’re feminists, most of them will say no.

That’s what we found in a new Vox poll, which explores the public’s view on feminism, abortion, and the Affordable Care Act.

The poll, conducted by research and communications firm PerryUndem, shows that a strong majority of Americans agree on gender equality. Eighty-five percent, for example, say they believe in “equality for women.”

But many fewer want to put the feminist label on their beliefs. Eighteen percent of poll respondents said they consider themselves feminist. Fifty-two percent said they were not feminist, 26 percent were not sure, and 4 percent refused to answer the question.

The findings suggest a divide in how Americans see their worldview, with many more supporting the idea of equality between genders than those who would describe that as a “feminist” viewpoint.]]></description>
<dc:subject>feminism gender language poll statistics usa</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2015/4/9/8376959/rand-paul-abortion">
    <title>Rand Paul’s abortion remarks weren’t a stumble. They were smart.</title>
    <dc:date>2015-04-12T02:44:55+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2015/4/9/8376959/rand-paul-abortion</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The late-term-abortion debate is one Republicans want to be having, because it’s a place where they find there is pretty widespread agreement on their side.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics RandPaul election abortion poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:47f458c72d59/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2015/3/23/8273007/obamacare-poll-death-panels">
    <title>Obamacare is 5 years old, and Americans are still worried about death panels</title>
    <dc:date>2015-03-24T04:34:09+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2015/3/23/8273007/obamacare-poll-death-panels</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Five years later, it’s fair to declare that prediction dead wrong: 83 percent of Americans still hold the same opinions they did in 2010. And of those who have changed their minds, 58 percent of them have become more negative toward the law, a new Vox poll conducted by PerryUndem shows.

If there’s any area of consensus, it’s in misperceptions of the law
If there’s any area of consensus, it’s in misperceptions of the law: 82 percent of Americans either say the price tag has gone up, or aren’t sure (the law’s price has actually decreased as compared with initial estimates), and only 13 percent know the law met its first-year enrollment goals.

Taken overall, the poll paints a frustrating picture for Democrats: most Americans aren’t changing their opinion; those who are have mostly become more negative; and some widely held beliefs about the Affordable Care Act are far from accurate.

But it’s not all good news for Republicans, either: though most Americans dislike Obamacare, more want to see it improved than repealed. Democrats have lost the battle — they haven’t made the health law more popular — but in thwarting repeal, and keeping Obamacare in place, they’re arguably winning the war.]]></description>
<dc:subject>AffordableCareAct politics health healthcare government usa poll research statistics insurance republicans democrats</dc:subject>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:insurance"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:democrats"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/college-presidents-appear-to-be-delusional-about-sexual-assault-on-their-campuses/">
    <title>College Presidents Appear To Be Delusional About Sexual Assault On Their Campuses | FiveThirtyEight</title>
    <dc:date>2015-03-17T03:40:26+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/college-presidents-appear-to-be-delusional-about-sexual-assault-on-their-campuses/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[About a third of U.S. college presidents believe sexual assault is a problem on American college campuses, but only 6 percent believe it’s a problem on their own campuses. That’s according to Inside Higher Ed’s fifth annual Survey of College and University Presidents, which was released Friday. The survey covered a range of topics, including the Obama administration’s college ratings proposal and the sustainability of college financial models, but the most significant (and alarming) finding was about the presidents’ thoughts on the prevalence of sexual assault on campus.]]></description>
<dc:subject>legal poll college gender crime</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:b8a80eac256e/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:college"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:gender"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:crime"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/03/12/the-stereotype-of-the-college-educated-pot-smoker-is-wrong/">
    <title>The stereotype of the college-educated pot smoker is wrong</title>
    <dc:date>2015-03-13T23:29:30+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/03/12/the-stereotype-of-the-college-educated-pot-smoker-is-wrong/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Caulkins’ analysis of data from the federal government’s National Survey on Drug Use and Health (above) shows that “college grads account for only about one-in-six days of use,” the common measurement for national marijuana use.

The remaining 5/6 of today’s marijuana market comprises, from largest to smallest share, high-school graduates, people who attended some college (over 90% of whom are no longer enrolled), high school dropouts and teenagers.  All these population groups tend to have modest incomes, which Caulkins notes means that “they are likely to be price-sensitive and drawn to less costly brands.”

Marijuana use in the U.S. is thus like tobacco use: A behavior concentrated in lower social capital groups. Why then is the modal cultural image of pot that of hipster professionals clucking over arrays of $500/ounce sinsemilla blends at upscale dispensaries in San Francisco or Boulder, rather than, say, that of a gas station attendant who smokes low-cost weed several times a day?

The answer may be that journalists, pundits, elected officials and policy analysts, like all human beings, have a tendency to overestimate the representativeness of their own experience. The college-educated chattering classes portray and discuss the world they know, which in fact is a small slice of the U.S. marijuana scene.]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa culture politics poll survey statistics marijuana drugs</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:bec087a12b58/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:marijuana"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:drugs"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2015/3/12/8193113/middle-class-rich-poor">
    <title>Why do so many rich people consider themselves &quot;middle class?&quot;</title>
    <dc:date>2015-03-13T03:58:10+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2015/3/12/8193113/middle-class-rich-poor</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The median household income in the US is around $52,000. So can households earning twice that much really consider themselves middle class?

That’s one question raised in a recent Pew Research Center report on post-recession economic policy. On its face, the report shows that rich Americans greatly underestimate how rich they really are, and that, once again, Americans’ conceptions of what it means to be middle class seem to defy logic. But given what the middle-class lifestyle costs, it may be that you simply have to be rich to be middle class in America.]]></description>
<dc:subject>wealth inequality usa government politics statistics poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:ecf62307689a/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:government"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2015/02/28/young-republicans-are-remarkably-liberal-on-pot/">
    <title>Young Republicans are remarkably liberal on pot</title>
    <dc:date>2015-03-01T01:42:22+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2015/02/28/young-republicans-are-remarkably-liberal-on-pot/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[When it comes to marijuana, the majority of young Republicans are far closer to the Democratic view than they are to older members of their own party.

Pew poll data shows 63 percent of Millennial Republicans — those born between 1981 and 1996 — support legalized marijuana. That’s a higher percentage than Generation X and Silent Generation Democrats.]]></description>
<dc:subject>poll politics usa marijuana</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:23929069d688/</dc:identifier>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/poll-57-percent-republicans-christianity-national-religion">
    <title>Poll: 57% Of GOPers Support Making Christianity The National Religion</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-25T02:44:17+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/poll-57-percent-republicans-christianity-national-religion</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[A majority of Republicans nationally support establishing Christianity as the national religion, according to a new Public Policy Polling survey released Tuesday.

The poll by the Democratic-leaning firm found that 57 percent of Republicans "support establishing Christianity as the national religion" while 30 percent are opposed. Another 13 percent said they were not sure.

It almost goes without saying that the Establishment Clause of the Constitution prohibits establishing of a national religion.

The poll was conducted among 316 Republicans from Feb. 20-22. The margin of error was plus or minus 5.5 percentage points.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics poll religion republicans usa government</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:46f77225d644/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:republicans"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2015/0222/New-poll-finds-Americans-think-rich-should-be-taxed-more">
    <title>New poll finds Americans think rich should be taxed more</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-24T04:01:43+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2015/0222/New-poll-finds-Americans-think-rich-should-be-taxed-more</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The poll found that 68 percent of people believe wealthy households pay too little in taxes.

The rich aren't taxed enough and the middle class is taxed too much. As for your taxes, you probably think they're too high as well.

Those are the results of an Associated Press-GfK poll that found that most people in the United States support President Barack Obama's proposal to raise investment taxes on high-income families.

The findings echo the populist messages of two liberal senators — Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Bernie Sanders of Vermont — being courted by the progressive wing of the Democratic Party to run for president in 2016. The results also add weight to Obama's new push to raise taxes on the rich and use some of the revenue to lower taxes on the middle class.

Obama calls his approach "middle-class economics."

It's not flying with Republicans in Congress, who oppose higher taxes.

But Bob Montgomery of Martinsville, Virginia, said people with higher incomes should pay more.

"I think the more you make the more taxes you should pay," said Montgomery, who is retired after working 40 years at an auto dealership. "I can't see where a man makes $50,000 a year pays as much taxes as somebody that makes $300,000 a year."

According to the poll, 68 percent of those questioned said wealthy households pay too little in federal taxes; only 11 percent said the wealthy pay too muc]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa government inequality wealth taxes politics poll congress election</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:c614002a1db1/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:taxes"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/02/poll-gop-immigration-shutdown-worst-idea-ever.html">
    <title>Poll Confirms the Republican Immigration Shutdown Plan Is Their Worst Idea Ever</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-19T05:45:49+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/02/poll-gop-immigration-shutdown-worst-idea-ever.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Two days ago, House Speaker John Boehner announced he would “certainly” allow a government shutdown if President Obama refuses to curtail his plan to liberalize immigration enforcement. Today, CNN has a poll about who to blame in the event of such a shutdown. Fifty-three percent of Americans would blame the Republican Congress, and only 30 percent would blame Obama.

In the modern polarized electorate, this sort of finding is quite an accomplishment. Thirty percent of America represents your absolute hardcore base, the people who will side with your party on absolutely anything. If Boehner pulled out a lead pipe during the State of the Union Address and began beating the president in full view of the cameras, 30 percent is about the proportion of the public that would blame Obama for the fracas. If you can only get 30 percent to blame the opposing side, you’re in really bad shape.

It may be true that political geography so favors Republican control of the House that almost nothing they could do could pose any threat to their majority. That said, shutting down the government over immigration remains the worst idea they have ever had.
]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics poll government HouseOfRepresentatives republicans congress deptofhomelandsecurity immigration barackobama</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:8662320d5ecf/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:government"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:HouseOfRepresentatives"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:congress"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:deptofhomelandsecurity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:immigration"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:barackobama"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.people-press.org/2014/06/12/section-3-political-polarization-and-personal-life/">
    <title>Political Polarization and Personal Life | Pew Research Center for the People and the Press</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-11T05:17:09+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.people-press.org/2014/06/12/section-3-political-polarization-and-personal-life/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Liberals and conservatives are divided over more than just politics. Those on the opposite ends of the ideological spectrum disagree about everything from the type of community in which they prefer to live to the type of people they would welcome into their families.

It is an enduring stereotype – conservatives prefer suburban McMansions while liberals like urban enclaves – but one that is grounded in reality. Given the choice, three-quarters (75%) of consistent conservatives say they would opt to live in a community where “the houses are larger and farther apart, but schools, stores and restaurants are several miles away,” and just 22% say they’d choose to live where “the houses are smaller and closer to each other, but schools, stores and restaurants are within walking distance.” The preferences of consistent liberals are almost the exact inverse, with 77% preferring the smaller house closer to amenities, and just 21% opting for more square footage farther away.

Americans overall are divided almost evenly in this preference, with 49% preferring the larger houses and 48% preferring the more convenient locations.

Liberals and conservatives don’t disagree on all community preferences. For example, large majorities of both groups attach great importance to living near family and high-quality public schools.

Yet their differences are striking: liberals would rather live in cities, while conservatives prefer rural areas and small towns; liberals are more likely to say racial and ethnic diversity is important in a community; conservatives emphasize shared religious faith. And while 73% of consistent liberals say it’s important to them to live near art museums and theaters, just 23% of consistent conservatives agree – one of their lowest priorities of eight community characteristics tested.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics poll religion housing culture usa</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:2696886bd442/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:religion"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:housing"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:culture"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2015/2/9/8005833/russia-anti-american">
    <title>Chart: Anti-Americanism is exploding in Russia - Vox</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-10T02:07:29+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2015/2/9/8005833/russia-anti-american</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[However bad you thought attitudes toward the US were in Russia, you're probably underestimating the severity and suddenness of rising anti-Americanism there. Just over 80 percent of Russians now see the US negatively — an astounding and apparently unprecedented high — according to the reputable Levada Center polling organization. The poll also finds that 42 percent of Russians see the US and Russia as "hostile" or as "enemies," depending on the translation.]]></description>
<dc:subject>russia poll usa diplomacy</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:ecc618088599/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:diplomacy"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2015/1/31/7954725/vaccines-autism-young-adults">
    <title>1 in 5 millennials thinks vaccines cause autism - Vox</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-01T03:13:32+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2015/1/31/7954725/vaccines-autism-young-adults</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The empirical research on this issue is clear: there is no connection between vaccines and autism. The Lancet, a British medical journal, in 2010 retracted a high-profile study from 1998 that falsely claimed to find a link between vaccines and autism, discrediting the one major piece of evidence vaccine skeptics cited in the past.

The YouGov survey also found 57 percent of Americans support mandatory childhood vaccinations, while 32 percent say parents should decide. Younger adults were much more likely to say childhood vaccination should be optional.]]></description>
<dc:subject>vaccine science poll youth education research autism</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:42f9db1dbf45/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:science"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2015/01/30/one-number-that-explains-why-mitt-romney-didnt-run-for-president-again/">
    <title>One number that explains why Mitt Romney didn’t run for president again</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-31T00:48:14+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2015/01/30/one-number-that-explains-why-mitt-romney-didnt-run-for-president-again/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Bloomberg and the Des Moines Register just released the first tidbit from their new Iowa Poll — timing! — and the result says plenty about why Mitt Romney announced Friday that he won’t run for president again.

While Romney’s favorable rating among likely Iowa GOP caucus voters in October was 65 percent, compared to 30 percent unfavorable, that split became narrower in the months since. The newest poll shows 57 percent of Iowa Republicans view Romney favorably, compared to 40 percent who view him unfavorably.

That 40 percent unfavorable rating, we would emphasize, is among Republicans. You simply don’t often see that kind of resistance to a member of your own party — especially your party’s most recent presidential nominee! — unless he or she has real liabilities — like a scandal.

(The poll also showed 45 percent of people said they didn’t want Romney to run again; but we think that actually says less than the 40 percent figure above.)

No, Iowa was never Romney’s strongest state — or anything close to it — and he was only able to compete there in 2012 because the field was so crowded and the winner took less than 25 percent of the vote.]]></description>
<dc:subject>poll mittromney politics republicans election</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:9f79335ce6f0/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:mittromney"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.newrepublic.com/article/120903/dukes-belle-knox-catholic-upbringing-made-me-libertarian-activist">
    <title>Porn Star Belle Knox Doesn't Know What Libertarianism Is. Neither Do Libertarians.</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-31T00:41:25+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.newrepublic.com/article/120903/dukes-belle-knox-catholic-upbringing-made-me-libertarian-activist</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Knox is only 19 years old, so we can hardly fault her for these contradictions. Libertarianism itself has no such excuse. How to explain its adherents’ schizophrenia on matters that would, to an observer, seem to have fairly clear-cut libertarian approaches? The problem is that, while libertarians seem to agree that they favor freedom, and appear to be in agreement that freedom is reduced by state intervention, they do not have a positive working definition of what freedom actually is. For Belle Knox, freedom has to do with decriminalized sex work and fair pathways for women in employment—but both of those projects imply a level of proactive government regulation in business. For the jingoistic libertarians polled in the Pew survey, freedom clearly has to do with domestic freedom from criminal activity and threats abroad—but in those cases, some other person or group must be inspected or restrained to achieve such a sense of liberty. Libertarians who oppose government aid to the poor seem to desire freedom from taxes, but have no interest in whether or not the poorest are really free to exercise their rights to human flourishing when they can barely eat.

In other words, libertarianism comes with a love of freedom but no consistent sense of what really constitutes freedom or who it is for. For libertarian politicians and their advocates, the sheer slipperiness of the concepts at hand may be a feature rather than a bug, allowing them to cherry-pick policies they personally prefer and shape malleable definitions around them. But for genuine, invested activists like Knox, the evasiveness of the libertarian message should be a red flag.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics government libertarian poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:13579d1634c2/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:libertarian"/>
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</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://www.instapaper.com/read/549236279">
    <title>The data are in: Life under Putin is a continuous downward spiral into despair</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-28T05:05:16+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.instapaper.com/read/549236279</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[In most countries, the happiness curve bottoms out somewhere around middle age — 47 in the United States and 41 in Britain, for instance. This usually happens long before the average person is expected to die, with one major exception: Russia. In Russia the curve doesn’t bottom out until age 91. Essentially, life under Putin is one continuous downward spiral into despair.

Graham explains it bluntly: “What’s going on in Russia is deep unhappiness.” In the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s Better Life Index, for instance, Russians rated their general life satisfaction a 3.0 out of 10. Three-quarters of Russians are “struggling” or “suffering,” with only 25 percent “thriving,” according to their responses to a 2012 Gallup survey. Contrast these figures with the United States, where life satisfaction is a robust 7.6 and nearly 60 percent are thriving.

At least American millennials can expect life to get better for three full decades after they hit rock bottom. In Russia, the only thing to look forward to is death’s sweet embrace.]]></description>
<dc:subject>russia statistics poll usa</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:bf03b0350367/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:russia"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.citylab.com/housing/2015/01/of-course-the-suburbs-arent-dying-theyre-not-all-the-same/384781/">
    <title>Of Course the Suburbs Aren't Dying—They're Not All the Same</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-26T01:48:02+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.citylab.com/housing/2015/01/of-course-the-suburbs-arent-dying-theyre-not-all-the-same/384781/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[So while the overall share of Americans living in "urban" areas may well have decreased a bit over the past several years, that tells you exactly nothing about what sorts of "non-urban" areas people are moving to, or would like to move to, for that matter. It's not a "myth" that "the suburbs" were dying because "the suburbs" were never all one thing to begin with, and that's even less the case today than it was five or ten years ago. To jump to the conclusion that Americans prefer to live in car-dependent sprawl out of surveys and data of this sort—ones that fail to identify crucial differences in the development patterns of communities that lie outside major downtowns—is to take a risky leap.]]></description>
<dc:subject>poll research statistics housing</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:d793b312dbc4/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:research"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:housing"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/25/opinion/sunday/seth-stephens-davidowitz-searching-for-sex.html">
    <title>Searching for Sex</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-25T23:51:36+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/25/opinion/sunday/seth-stephens-davidowitz-searching-for-sex.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Just about every study I have done relying on Google searches made me feel worse about the world. Huge numbers of people are racist and sexist; far too many children suffer from unreported abuse. But after studying the new data on sex, I actually feel better.

This data makes me feel less lonely. In my previous studies of Google data, I had found the viciousness that humans often hide. But this time around, I have seen our hidden insecurities. Men and women are united in this insecurity and confusion.

Google also gives us legitimate reasons to worry less than we do. Many of our deepest fears about how our sexual partners perceive us are unjustified. Alone, at their computers, with no incentive to lie, partners reveal themselves to be fairly nonsuperficial and forgiving. In fact, we are all so busy judging our own bodies that there is little energy left over to judge other people’s.

Maybe if we worried less about sex, we’d have more of it.]]></description>
<dc:subject>sex searchengine searchengines google privacy information poll usa culture research</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:272152f498c3/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:sex"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:searchengine"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:searchengines"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:google"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:privacy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:information"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:culture"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:research"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://tumblr.benlillie.com/post/108569325062/do-80-of-americans-not-know-theres-dna-in-food">
    <title>Ben Lillie: Do 80% of Americans not know there’s DNA in food?</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-20T04:23:03+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://tumblr.benlillie.com/post/108569325062/do-80-of-americans-not-know-theres-dna-in-food</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[To be clear, I’m not saying 100% of people perfectly understand DNA, not by a long shot. There are certainly a significant number of people who don’t understand that there is DNA in food. But it’s almost certainly not 80%. (This survey suggests 15% is a better guess.) I’m also happy to see that there were other people questioning the result. (Links there to two I happened to see, I’m sure there were more.)
I also think most of the people tweeting the 80% number are excellent scientists and science writers. But as Dan Kahan is fond of pointing out, we can’t go back and analyze every number. We mostly have to rely on heuristics for evaluating whether we believe facts we’re presented with. We only go and poke at numbers if they seem wrong. What that means is that “80% of people don’t know there’s DNA in food” didn’t register as odd for quite a lot of people. I think that’s a problem. “The US public is incredibly stupid about science” is a hell of a seductive narrative for scientists. And for that reason it’s very much worth questioning.]]></description>
<dc:subject>science research poll politics culture</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:e5aee39748cd/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:science"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:research"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:culture"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/11/04/exit-polls-say-1-of-people-think-the-economy-is-excellent-of-course-they-do/">
    <title>Who are the 1% of voters who think the economy is “excellent?” The rich, of course.</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-19T03:18:22+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/11/04/exit-polls-say-1-of-people-think-the-economy-is-excellent-of-course-they-do/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Democrats figure to take at least a moderate shellacking at the polls tonight, because people are still so downbeat about the economy — and with good reason. Despite decent economic growth, middle class wages and wealth are still stagnant or worse going back 25 years now.

But amid all this doom and gloom, the exit polls tell us that 1 percent of Americans actually believe the economy is “excellent” right now.

Gee, that sure sounds familiar.Where have we heard it before? Something about 1 percent of us and the economy? Just a minute, it’ll come to me. Oh, that’s right: the top 1 percent of households now command a bigger share of the income pie than they have at any time since 1928.

I’d hope they think things are excellent.

But let’s not overstate things. It’s not as if the top 1 percent have taken all the growth. Indeed, since 1979, they’ve “only” gobbled up 53 percent of all income gains. Although, as you can see above, that’s climbed to 95 percent in the time since the Great Recession ended.]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics statistics poll inequality wealth economy usa</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:a6c34ce321bf/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:wealth"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/nyc-turns-its-back-on-nypd">
    <title>NYC Turns Its Back on NYPD</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-15T21:56:54+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/nyc-turns-its-back-on-nypd</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The verdict is in: New Yorkers really don't like Pat Lynch and they really, really don't like cops turning their backs on the Mayor at police funerals.

I've written a number of pieces recently on the war between the NYPD - or at least major elements of it - and Mayor de Blasio. As I've written, my major question has been, where do New Yorkers fit in? Now we have New Yorkers verdict - a new poll out from Quinnipiac. And New Yorkers have a resoundingly negative verdict on the back turning and the general behavior of the NYPD leadership over recent weeks.

New York City voters disapprove of police officers turning their backs on the Mayor at police funerals by 69% to 27%. 77% think police union President Pay Lynch's "blood on his hands" remarks were "too extreme" and no racial or gender subset of the population considers the comments "appropriate."

Though there are big differences across the city's racial groups 47% of New Yorkers say de Blasio's actions since he began his run for Mayor show he supports the city's police. 37% say the opposite.

Finally 52% of New Yorkers (versus 38%) says police discipline has broken down.

]]></description>
<dc:subject>newyorkcity politics police poll PatLynch BilldeBlasio</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:7e1435ea3332/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:newyorkcity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:police"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:PatLynch"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:BilldeBlasio"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://twitter.com/JustinWolfers/status/555462994843676673">
    <title>Justin Wolfers on Twitter: &quot;Do you hope to see a female president in your lifetime? Rep men: 16% Rep women: 20% Dem men: 46% Dem women: 69% http://t.co/sSqhrmfD0E&quot;</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-15T06:08:15+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://twitter.com/JustinWolfers/status/555462994843676673</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Do you hope to see a female president in your lifetime?
Rep men: 16%
Rep women: 20%
Dem men: 46%
Dem women: 69% ]]></description>
<dc:subject>poll gender discrimination sexism politics 2014 usa president</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:ea5cccbd482e/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:gender"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:discrimination"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:sexism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2014"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:president"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.pewforum.org/2014/07/16/how-americans-feel-about-religious-groups/">
    <title>How Americans Feel About Religious Groups | Pew Research Center's Religion &amp; Public Life Project</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-12T01:17:08+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.pewforum.org/2014/07/16/how-americans-feel-about-religious-groups/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Jews, Catholics and evangelical Christians are viewed warmly by the American public. When asked to rate each group on a “feeling thermometer” ranging from 0 to 100 – where 0 reflects the coldest, most negative possible rating and 100 the warmest, most positive rating – all three groups receive an average rating of 60 or higher (63 for Jews, 62 for Catholics and 61 for evangelical Christians). And 44% of the public rates all three groups in the warmest part of the scale (67 or higher).

Buddhists, Hindus and Mormons receive neutral ratings on average, ranging from 48 for Mormons to 53 for Buddhists. The public views atheists and Muslims more coldly; atheists receive an average rating of 41, and Muslims an average rating of 40. Fully 41% of the public rates Muslims in the coldest part of the thermometer (33 or below), and 40% rate atheists in the coldest part.]]></description>
<dc:subject>religion culture politics poll usa Judaism christianity atheism islam</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:e19681be39f5/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:religion"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:culture"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:Judaism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:christianity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:atheism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:islam"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/americans-arent-becoming-more-politically-independent-they-just-like-saying-they-are/">
    <title>Americans Aren't Becoming More Politically Independent, They Just Like Saying They Are</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-12T00:22:53+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/americans-arent-becoming-more-politically-independent-they-just-like-saying-they-are/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Gallup reported Wednesday that 43 percent of Americans identify as political independents — a record high. Thirty percent call themselves Democrats, and 26 percent call themselves Republicans. So what does this mean for our political future? Absolutely nothing.

Many of these independents are closet partisans. They say they are independent but consistently lean towards one party or the other. In Gallup’s latest survey, only 13 percent of Americans don’t favor the Democratic or Republican party. In other words, 87 percent of Americans prefer one party over the other, which is about on par with data since 1991.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics republicans democrats government poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:c8e8ebddcc03/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:republicans"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:democrats"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:government"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/01/08/most-of-americas-rich-think-the-poor-have-it-easy/">
    <title>Most of America’s rich think the poor have it easy</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-11T21:42:41+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/01/08/most-of-americas-rich-think-the-poor-have-it-easy/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Why the surprising lack of compassion? It’s hard to say. At the very top, the sentiment is likely tied to conservatism, which traditionally bemoans government programs that redistribute wealth, calling them safety nets. Some 40 percent of the financially secure are politically conservative, according to Pew. And conservatives are even more likely to say the “poor have it easy” than the rich — a recent Pew survey found that more than three quarters of conservatives feel that way.

More broadly, the prevalence of the view might reflect an inability to understand the plight of those who have no choice but to seek help from the government. A quarter of the country, after all, feels that the leading reason for inequality in America is that the poor don’t work hard enough.

But as my colleague Christopher Ingraham pointed out last year, to say that the poor have it easy is to ignore how serious their struggle is in comparison to the rest of the population, and especially those with money to spare. The poor are much less likely to have health insurance, much more likely to be the victim of a crime. They don’t get the same level of education or have the same food options. Inequality, as my colleague Matt O’Brien wrote, “starts in the crib,” and it plays out even in what babies of different socioeconomic backgrounds are fed. And that’s just the tip of the iceberg.]]></description>
<dc:subject>wealth inequality politics poll government usa culture</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:3f330a72167c/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:wealth"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:culture"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/05/arts/writers-say-they-feel-censored-by-surveillance.html?_r=0">
    <title>Writers Say They Feel Censored by Surveillance</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-06T03:40:31+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/05/arts/writers-say-they-feel-censored-by-surveillance.html?_r=0</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[A survey of writers around the world by the PEN American Center has found that a significant majority said they were deeply concerned with government surveillance, with many reporting that they have avoided, or have considered avoiding, controversial topics in their work or in personal communications as a result.

The findings show that writers consider freedom of expression to be under significant threat around the world in democratic and nondemocratic countries. Some 75 percent of respondents in countries classified as “free,” 84 percent in “partly free” countries, and 80 percent in countries that were “not free” said that they were “very” or “somewhat” worried about government surveillance in their countries.

The survey, which will be released Monday, was conducted anonymously online in fall 2014 and yielded 772 responses from fiction and nonfiction writers and related professionals, including translators and editors, in 50 countries.

Smaller numbers said they avoided or considered avoiding writing or speaking on certain subjects, with 34 percent in countries classified as free, 44 percent in partly free countries and 61 percent in not free countries reporting self-censorship. Respondents in similar percentages reported curtailing social media activity, or said they were considering it, because of surveillance.]]></description>
<dc:subject>surveillance privilege civilrights humanrights government poll legal freedom freedomofspeech freedomfromsearchandseizure</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:b3660f0eb4ac/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:surveillance"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:privilege"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:civilrights"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:humanrights"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:government"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:legal"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:freedom"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:freedomofspeech"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:freedomfromsearchandseizure"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2014/8/6/5974807/the-deep-irony-of-barack-obamas-presidency-in-one-sentence">
    <title>The irony of Barack Obama's presidency in one sentence - Vox</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-02T19:07:35+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2014/8/6/5974807/the-deep-irony-of-barack-obamas-presidency-in-one-sentence</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Obama pushed more change through the political system than any serious observer expected: he passed health-care reform, as well as the largest stimulus and investment package in American history, and the Dodd-Frank financial reforms (which are working better than most realize). He brought the Iraq war to a close and he actually did find and kill Osama bin Laden. There's much left on his to-do list, but even in places where he's failed to pass his legislative remedies into law — like immigrant reform and cap-and-trade — he's used or is using executive actions to make huge strides.

But he didn't do all this by fixing American politics. He did all this by breaking American politics even further. Obama hasn't healed the divisions between Democrats and Republicans. Rather, he's one of the most polarizing presidents since the advent of polling:]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics government barackobama statistics poll republicans democrats congress usa</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:1aa575d0faaa/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:government"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:barackobama"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:republicans"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:democrats"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:congress"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/01/upshot/census-bureaus-plan-to-cut-marriage-and-divorce-questions-has-academics-up-in-arms.html">
    <title>Census Bureau’s Plan to Cut Marriage and Divorce Questions Has Academics Up in Arms</title>
    <dc:date>2014-12-31T18:12:52+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/01/upshot/census-bureaus-plan-to-cut-marriage-and-divorce-questions-has-academics-up-in-arms.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The proposed cuts to the survey are open for public comment, and so far, the reaction has been vigorous. (The comment period closes later today; more information is available at this link.)

The leading academic association of demographers has argued for the Census Bureau to reverse course, as have many individual analysts. Steven Ruggles, the incoming president of the Population Association of America, argues that cutting these data “would severely damage our ability to understand ongoing changes in American society and to implement effective policy responses.” His sentiments echo earlier analysis by the Census Bureau that “no other data sources exist that can provide the level of detail necessary to plan for and evaluate the effects of federal policies and programs related to marriage.”

The silver lining to all this is that this is the first time that I have seen people on both the conservative and progressive sides of the family policy wars agree on something: the value of continuing to collect useful data about family life. After all, each realizes that without actual data to rely on, the politically charged opinions of the other side will become more important forces shaping policy.]]></description>
<dc:subject>research survey poll government statistics</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:f3763183b361/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:research"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:survey"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:government"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2014/12/30/7467913/economic-confidence-positive">
    <title>Gallup: Americans feel good about the economy for the first time since 2008 - Vox</title>
    <dc:date>2014-12-30T16:48:43+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2014/12/30/7467913/economic-confidence-positive</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[In 2008, Gallup started a daily tracking poll of Americans' "economic confidence." It has been, unfailingly, negative on every single day. Until today. The index asks Americans to rank current conditions as good or bad, improving or worsening. This finding means that for the first time since 2008, the share of people expressing optimism exceeds the share expressing pessimism.]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics economy usa poll statistics 2014</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:3d6080096069/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2014"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://feministing.com/2014/12/23/new-study-shows-that-sharing-abortion-stories-changes-peoples-minds/">
    <title>New study shows that sharing abortion stories changes people’s minds</title>
    <dc:date>2014-12-30T03:33:13+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://feministing.com/2014/12/23/new-study-shows-that-sharing-abortion-stories-changes-peoples-minds/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[A new study shows that when anti-choice people hear in person accounts from women who have had abortions, they are more likely to start supporting reproductive freedom. 

A public opinion research team led by UCLA doctoral candidate Michael LaCour has already demonstrated how door-to-door canvassing can change people’s opinions on LGBT issues. A study from earlier this month, for instance, determined that when conservatives talked to an LGBT canvasser for 20 minutes, they became more supportive of LGBT rights and remained supportive even nine months later.

Now, the same research team has started working with Planned Parenthood and is looking at the effect of talking to canvassers who have had abortions and those who haven’t. The preliminary results show that in-person conversations with both groups of volunteers lead to increased support of legalizing abortion. In initial surveys, 39 percent of voters said they supported legal abortion access but after talking with the volunteers support reached almost 50 percent.

Ant the effect of speaking with the volunteers who had had abortions was even stronger. For instance, people who spoke to that group were more likely to tell other members of their households about their conversations. In addition, after the Supreme Court struck down Massachusetts’ buffer zone around abortion clinics, anti-abortion attitudes were strengthened among most participants except for those who had spoken to a volunteer who had discussed her own abortion. As LaCour explains, “This finding suggests that discussion at the doorstep affected the way in which people subsequently received and interpreted the news.”

Just a reminder that the personal is very much political, and telling abortion stories can be powerful.]]></description>
<dc:subject>abortion health healthcare poll research</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:23955e306d86/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:abortion"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:health"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:healthcare"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:research"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.pewforum.org/2014/12/15/most-say-religious-holiday-displays-should-be-allowed-on-public-property/">
    <title>Most Say Religious Holiday Displays on Public Property Are OK | Pew Research Center's Religion &amp; Public Life Project</title>
    <dc:date>2014-12-30T00:26:33+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.pewforum.org/2014/12/15/most-say-religious-holiday-displays-should-be-allowed-on-public-property/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Controversies over public displays of religious symbols on government property annually pop up during the holiday season. For example, Florida officials faced a quandary again this year when they invited religious groups to erect displays in the State Capitol building and wound up not only with a Christian nativity scene but also with an atheist’s “Festivus” pole made of beer cans and a local satanic temple’s depiction of a fallen angel. Such controversies often end up in the courts, creating a set of legal precedents that public officials – and their lawyers – have to take into account at this time each year.

A new Pew Research Center survey finds that 44% of Americans say Christian symbols like nativity scenes should be allowed on government property even if they are not accompanied by symbols from other religions. In addition, 28% of U.S. adults say that such symbols should be permitted, but only if they are accompanied by symbols from other religions, such as Hanukkah candles. One-in-five (20%) say there should be no religious displays on government property, period.]]></description>
<dc:subject>religion legal usa poll 2014 government freedomofreligion</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:b2f570f9cf07/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:religion"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:legal"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2014"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:government"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:freedomofreligion"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://mashable.com/2014/12/16/putin-man-of-year/">
    <title>No surprise here: Putin is Russia's 'Man of the Year' for 15th year</title>
    <dc:date>2014-12-17T00:03:04+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://mashable.com/2014/12/16/putin-man-of-year/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[According to Russian media outlet Interfax, the poll was conducted on Dec. 7. Some 1,500 residents of 43 regions of Russia were asked which Russian politican or public figure they would call man of the year.

Putin was at the front of the pack with 68% of the vote, more than doubling his popularity since the 2013 poll when he only secured 32% of the vote. His closest runner-up in the 2014 poll was the "hard to say, no answer" category, which pulled in a hefty 17% of the public vote.]]></description>
<dc:subject>VladimirPutin russia politics poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:edc70ef3deb3/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:VladimirPutin"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:russia"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://twitter.com/pewresearch/status/542070383210266625">
    <title>Pew Research Center on Twitter: &quot;Few blacks or white believe relations between minorities &amp; police will improve http://t.co/7P8xLyVfYf http://t.co/OXel8sjJx9&quot;</title>
    <dc:date>2014-12-09T03:29:44+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://twitter.com/pewresearch/status/542070383210266625</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Few blacks or white believe relations between minorities & police will improve http://pewrsr.ch/1ywLZYK  ]]></description>
<dc:subject>race poll usa government police culture</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:96e6082ac463/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:race"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:government"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:police"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:culture"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2014/11/15/7221707/americans-think-the-unemployment-rate-is-32-percent">
    <title>Americans think the unemployment rate is 32 percent - Vox</title>
    <dc:date>2014-11-15T22:37:02+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2014/11/15/7221707/americans-think-the-unemployment-rate-is-32-percent</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The latest jobs report showed the unemployment rate was at its lowest level in six years, 5.8 percent.

But Americans aren't convinced that things are nearly that good. In a recent Ipsos-MORI poll, 1,001 Americans were asked, "Out of every 100 people of working age, how many do you think are unemployed and looking for work?" Their average response was 32. That's almost 26 percentage points higher than the 6.1-percent jobless rate in August, when the poll was conducted.]]></description>
<dc:subject>employment poll usa information politics</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:030f1b2ac7ab/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:employment"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:information"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/xpress/2014/10/21/7026505/pew-media-outlets-ideology">
    <title>The average Fox News or MSNBC viewer is less ideological than the average NPR listener - Vox</title>
    <dc:date>2014-10-22T05:15:24+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/xpress/2014/10/21/7026505/pew-media-outlets-ideology</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[One interesting finding here is that even the politically polarized cable news channels, Fox News and MSNBC, have notably less ideologically consistent audiences than many other web or print publications. This likely has to do with TV as a mainstream medium — people without strongly-formed views may be more likely to get their political news from TV, rather than tracking down print publications or seeking out news on the internet. Among internet news sources that were widely used by survey respondents, the average readers of Yahoo News and Google News also have mixed or unclear ideologies.

Meanwhile, every print publication tracked, from the Washington Post to the New Yorker, had audiences that leaned liberal — except for the Wall Street Journal, whose audience was just slightly more conservative than average. A cluster of talk radio and internet media sources like Breitbart and The Rush Limbaugh Show have the most conservative audiences. And there's a variety of outlets and programs with very liberal audiences, from NPR to Al Jazeera America to Slate and the New Yorker.

Head over to Pew for the full report, by Amy Mitchell, Jeffrey Gottfried, Jocelyn Kiley, and Katerina Eva Matsa.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics media journalism survey poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:578037206aed/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:media"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:journalism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:survey"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/10/03/americans-think-the-unemployment-rate-is-way-higher-than-it-really-is/">
    <title>Americans think the unemployment rate is way higher than it really is</title>
    <dc:date>2014-10-07T00:19:28+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/10/03/americans-think-the-unemployment-rate-is-way-higher-than-it-really-is/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The unemployment rate dropped below 6 percent in October for the first time in six years, although a startling share of Americans apparently haven’t kept up with that news.

The Pew Research Center’s latest news knowledge quiz, released this week on the eve of Jobs Day, asked 1,002 adults whether they thought the national unemployment rate was closer to 3, 6, 9 or 12 percent. Bear in mind that the correct answer is a source of full-court media coverage and front-page headlines once a month. Now, here are the answers people gave:

In total, 45 percent of Americans think the jobless rate is a lot higher than it really is (and 18 percent are way off). Curiously, just four percent of people (some of them in the One Percent?) think the economy is doing better than it actually is. Republicans and Democrats, for what it’s worth, get this question right in roughly equal numbers (38 and 34 percent, respectively).]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa politics statistics poll research employment</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:bc9ac9f7621d/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:research"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:employment"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/20/upshot/scotlands-no-vote-a-loss-for-pollsters-and-a-win-for-betting-markets.html">
    <title>Scotland’s ‘No’ Vote: A Loss for Pollsters and a Win for Betting Markets</title>
    <dc:date>2014-09-20T21:47:35+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/20/upshot/scotlands-no-vote-a-loss-for-pollsters-and-a-win-for-betting-markets.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[My own research with Microsoft’s David Rothschild suggests that pollsters could do a better job if they learned from prediction markets. Instead of focusing on whom people say they plan to vote for, ask them instead to focus on who they think will win. Typically, asking people who they think will win yields better forecasts, possibly because it leads them to also reflect on the opinions of those around them, and perhaps also because it may yield more honest answers.

It’s an idea with particular relevance to the case of the Scottish referendum. As Stephen Fisher, an associate professor of political sociology at the University of Oxford, has noted, there is a historical tendency for polling to overstate the likelihood of success of referendums, possibly because we’re more willing to tell pollsters we will vote for change than to actually do so. Such biases are less likely to distort polls that ask people who they think will win. Indeed, in giving their expectations, some respondents may even reflect on whether or not they believe recent polling.

And in this election, too, voters’ expectations yielded a much clearer signal. A recent IPSOS/Mori poll showed that voters' intentions were so evenly balanced as to be within the margin of error, even as the share of the population who expected the No vote to win held a robust 11-point lead over those expecting a successful Yes vote. Lesson: The electorate knew who would win, even as most pollsters failed to ask them.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics poll election economics research psychology</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:04b76160c92a/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:election"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:research"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:psychology"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.marketplace.org/topics/economy/personal-finance-advice-ask-millennial">
    <title>For personal finance advice, ask a millennial</title>
    <dc:date>2014-09-09T03:31:04+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.marketplace.org/topics/economy/personal-finance-advice-ask-millennial</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Millennials seem to be avoiding credit cards. A study published Monday by Bankrate.com says younger adults prefer debit cards because they don’t want to fall into debt — or in the cases of people with student loans, further into debt.

When Bankrate analyst Jeanine Skowronski first looked at the data, she thought she saw naivete. These younger adults who shun credit cards didn't seem to know they would need a credit history when they wanted to buy a car, or a house.

Then she did some interviewing.

"I talked to a lot of millennials that said they were going to get credit cards, but they weren't so thrilled with it," she says. "They were like, 'I know I have to do this because I want to rent an apartment,' or 'I know I have to do this because I’m getting married, and I want to buy a home — but if I didn't have to, I wouldn't.'"

That sounds pretty smart to Marc Fusaro, an economist at Arkansas Tech. Millennials have figured out what economists — and businesses — have known for years: "Hands down, if people are using a credit card, they will spend more money," Fusaro says. 

One possible exception is this recent study from researchers at Carnegie-Mellon University who expected to confirm this general consensus with a new experiment, but then didn't. They gave consumers an incentive to use credit cards for lunch to see if that led them to buy pricier meals. They distinguished between two kinds of credit-card users in their study group:  “Convenience users,” who pay off balances in full every month, spent more. “Revolvers,” who carry balances and pay interest and fees, spent less.

In general though, Fusaro's research showed that some consumers used debit cards to counter the tendency to spend without racking up interest.]]></description>
<dc:subject>statistics economics financial research poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:a0036d4168ae/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:financial"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:research"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.patheos.com/blogs/friendlyatheist/2014/09/06/non-religious-students-make-up-more-than-a-third-of-harvards-new-freshman-class/">
    <title>Non-Religious Students Make Up More Than a Third of Harvard’s New Freshman Class</title>
    <dc:date>2014-09-07T19:03:37+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.patheos.com/blogs/friendlyatheist/2014/09/06/non-religious-students-make-up-more-than-a-third-of-harvards-new-freshman-class/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[It’s not a scientific survey by any means, but Harvard’s newspaper, The Crimson, asked incoming freshman to fill out a survey in order to assess various demographic trends. More than 70% of students responded. The section about religious beliefs, in particular, is unbelievable:

The percentage of atheists/Agnostics (35.6%) is almost identical to that of Protestants/Catholics (37%). If you included “Other” in our category, as many surveys often do, it’d be even higher.

I’m not claiming that’s representative of anything beyond just Harvard — which isn’t exactly a run-of-the-mill school — but I wonder how many other colleges are seeing similar trends.

When we say that about a third of young Americans are non-religious, that percentage includes people who are “spiritual but not religious” and people who believe in God but hate religious labels. If we could isolate just the students who are explicitly non-religious, I suspect that number would be much smaller but still on the rise with every passing year.]]></description>
<dc:subject>research survey poll religion atheism education college</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:68f90e211d9d/</dc:identifier>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="https://twitter.com/JamilSmith/status/507985555247083520">
    <title>Jamil Smith on Twitter: &quot;99% of female rape survivors in that CDC survey (and 80% of male ones) said men raped them. Using the &quot;but women do it, too&quot; argument? Stop.&quot;</title>
    <dc:date>2014-09-05T23:27:39+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://twitter.com/JamilSmith/status/507985555247083520</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[99% of female rape survivors in that CDC survey (and 80% of male ones) said men raped them. Using the "but women do it, too" argument? Stop.]]></description>
<dc:subject>feminism gender sexism rape legal statistics poll ethics crime</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:55d9cb80178b/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:gender"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:sexism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:rape"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/08/obamacare-works-and-america-will-always-hate-it.html">
    <title>Obamacare Works. And America Will Always Hate It</title>
    <dc:date>2014-08-14T05:22:00+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/08/obamacare-works-and-america-will-always-hate-it.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[But there are no signs that the good news starting to accumulate has changed anyone’s mind — at least not yet. American opinion on the law has hardened rather than softened as of late. According to Gallup, “There is no sign that Americans think the new healthcare law is having a net positive effect on their health care situations. The majority say the law has not affected them, while those who do report it having an effect are more likely to say it has hurt their health care situation rather than helped it.”

Why? One major reason is that nobody has “Obamacare,” a point made by the political scientist Jonathan Bernstein and others. People like Joshua have Medicaid. Others have subsidized private insurance purchased through a state exchange, like Kynect or the Arkansas Health Connector. Even those who went through the federal site to obtain insurance never saw the phrases “Affordable Care Act” or “Obamacare,” Bernstein points out. As such, anecdotes about the newly uninsured failing to understand it was Obamacare that got them insurance abound.

Obama himself has referenced the fact that many still don’t know what’s in the law. He ticked off a laundry list of provisions at a speech in April. “These are all benefits that have been taking place for a whole lot of families out there, many who don’t realize that they’ve received these benefits,” he added.

There’s statistical evidence that confusion about Obamacare continues to dampen support for the law, too. Surveys continue to find that the Medicaid expansion is more popular than the Affordable Care Act. The subsidies to help families buy health insurance are more popular than the Affordable Care Act. The provision allowing children to stay on their parents’ insurance plans for longer is more popular than the Affordable Care Act. Even Republicans support the major coverage provisions of the law — just not the law itself. “If the public had perfect understanding of the elements that we examined, the proportion of Americans who favor the bill might increase from the current level of 32 percent to 70 percent,” one team of researchers found.]]></description>
<dc:subject>AffordableCareAct health healthcare politics poll government usa</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:d6b80234ef33/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/are-bad-pollsters-copying-good-pollsters/">
    <title>Are Bad Pollsters Copying Good Pollsters?</title>
    <dc:date>2014-08-12T01:15:10+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/are-bad-pollsters-copying-good-pollsters/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[It’s easy to see why we have a problem. In races with no gold-standard pollster, the nontraditional pollsters have had individual polling errors about 0.6 to 4.3 percentage points higher3 than when at least one gold-standard pollster is active in the race. Gold-standard pollsters’ error rates were about 1.5 to 3.1 percentage points lower during the same period.

On average, the gold-standard polls in the final 21 days of Senate campaigns had an absolute mean error of about 3.8 percentage points. The nontraditional pollsters in those same races had an average error of 4.3 points. Those are fairly close, but when no gold-standard pollsters were active, the mean error rate for the nontraditional polls shot up to 6 percentage points.4

But can’t you just throw all these nontraditional polls into an average? The error rates above, after all, are for individual surveys. Sites such as FiveThirtyEight, HuffPollster and RealClearPolitics average polls in some fashion in the hope of lowering the error rate. And while this works to a degree, you can’t average the nontraditional polls together to make the accuracy gap between the races where gold-standard pollsters are active and those where they aren’t disappear.]]></description>
<dc:subject>poll politics usa statistics research science election</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:c9ed3defc373/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
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</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/dear-mona-how-many-people-have-never-drunk-alcohol/">
    <title>Dear Mona, How Many People Have Never Drunk Alcohol?</title>
    <dc:date>2014-08-08T19:07:06+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/dear-mona-how-many-people-have-never-drunk-alcohol/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Among everyone 12 and older (it’s a strange age bracket, but it’s how the gender data comes), 14.9 percent of men said they had never drunk alcohol compared to 20.4 percent of women. The racial differences are even larger: For example, Asian-Americans are three times as likely to have never drunk alcohol as non-Hispanic whites.

Alcohol abstinence rates don’t just vary by demographic traits; they vary by geography, too. In the Midwest, 15 percent of respondents said they had never drunk alcohol compared to 19.3 percent in the West. Residents of midlevel counties — those considered neither rural nor completely urbanized — were the least likely to have consumed alcohol.

Alcohol consumption varies among U.S. countries as well. The World Health Organization (WHO) keeps an eye on who’s drinking, and according to a WHO report from 2014, “because abstention is highly prevalent throughout the world, any diminution in abstention levels could have a significant impact on the global burden of disease caused by the harmful use of alcohol.”

And when it says prevalent, it means prevalent: In 2010, 48 percent of the world’s population age 15 and older had never consumed alcohol (the gender difference exists globally, too; in every region the WHO looked at, women were more likely to be lifetime abstainers than men).]]></description>
<dc:subject>alcohol politics survey poll statistics</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:b3883b8542ea/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:alcohol"/>
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</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://online.wsj.com/articles/college-loans-are-a-burden-long-after-graduation-poll-finds-1407394801">
    <title>College Loans Are a Burden Long After Graduation, Poll Finds - WSJ</title>
    <dc:date>2014-08-07T22:31:23+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://online.wsj.com/articles/college-loans-are-a-burden-long-after-graduation-poll-finds-1407394801</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[People who take out significant college loans score worse on quality-of-life measures, a trend that persists into middle age, according to a recent poll of college graduates.

Even 24 years after graduation, students who borrowed more than $25,000 are less likely to enjoy their work and are less financially and physically fit than their counterparts who graduated without debt. For more recent college grads, the discrepancy is even more pronounced.

"These results offer a new dimension of how college debt affects the rest of your life and it gives us more cause for concern," said Brandon Busteed, executive director of Gallup Education, which conducted the poll in conjunction with Purdue University. "It's bad for all aspects of your life."

The data come from a March survey of 30,000 college graduates of all ages in all 50 states. The poll is part of a broader movement to better understand which aspects of a college degree have value.

Respondents were asked a set of questions Gallup has used for 30 years to gauge how satisfied people are in different aspects of their lives.

The answers to the survey are subjective and it isn't clear if the conclusions are causal or correlational. But the poll did ask the education level of the respondents' mother, which is a good proxy for socioeconomic class. Even controlling for that variable, those who graduated with high debt were worse off.

The five categories in the questionnaire assess whether people feel that they have purpose to their lives, supportive relationships, financial security, a sense of community and physical well-being. Those who finished college between 2000 and 2014 with more than $50,000 in debt were significantly worse off in all five categories than those who graduated with no debt.

Recent grads who owed more than $50,000 were 9 percentage points more likely to report feeling their lives lacked purpose; 16 percentage points less likely to say they felt financially secure and 11 percentage points less likely to say they felt physically fit.

The amount of debt students are taking out to get through college has been climbing for years. About 70% of college graduates have debt. The average debt today is more than $33,000, up from $18,600 in 2004. Among those who took the poll, 11% took out more than $50,000 and an additional 21% borrowed between $25,000 and $50,000.]]></description>
<dc:subject>employment economics survey poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:18e274f47d32/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:employment"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:survey"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/07/29/where-the-biggest-beer-wine-and-liquor-drinkers-live-in-the-u-s/">
    <title>Where the biggest beer, wine, and liquor drinkers live in the U.S.</title>
    <dc:date>2014-07-31T03:07:49+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/07/29/where-the-biggest-beer-wine-and-liquor-drinkers-live-in-the-u-s/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[No state handles its alcohol quite like New Hampshire, according to per capita consumption data shared by the Beer Institute. The libertarian New England state guzzles down more booze per person—some 40.8 gallons per year—than any other U.S. state, by The Beer Institute’s estimates. In fact, it’s not even all that close. Next in line are North Dakota, Montana, Nevada, and Vermont, which sip on just under 35, 34, 33, and 32 gallons per person, per year, respectively.

Part of that might be the result of cross-border sales—there is no sales tax in New Hampshire, after all, and the state’s liquor commission believes as much as 50 percent of its alcohol sales are bought by residents of neighboring states. But the per capita estimates are meant to account, at least in part, for that quirk. Meaning that while the nearly 41 gallon number might be a tad inflated, it’s unlikely off by the five gallons of alcohol that separates New Hampshire from the second biggest alcohol guzzling state.

Of all the states, Utah is by far the least enamored with alcohol, throwing back just 14 gallons of alcohol per year person person. Next in line are Kentucky and New York, which consume 19.5 and just under 21 gallons respectively.

On a booze by booze level, however, the story is a bit different. When it comes to beer, no state holds a candle to North Dakota. By the Beer Institute’s estimates, North Dakotans drink more than a pint per day on average—the most of any state in the country. New Hampshire is second, at 0.96 pints per day; Montana is third, at 0.90; and South Dakota is fourth, at 0.86. The least beer crazed states are Utah, Connecticut, New Jersey, and New York (in that order). Each of them downs less than half a pint a day per person.]]></description>
<dc:subject>statistics economics usa poll 2014 alcohol</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:3f30aa2d32e1/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2014"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:alcohol"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://twitter.com/JustinWolfers/status/494250259175198720">
    <title>Twitter / JustinWolfers: Chart #2: There's modesty, ...</title>
    <dc:date>2014-07-31T03:02:20+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://twitter.com/JustinWolfers/status/494250259175198720</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Chart #2: There's modesty, but not much disagreement, about whether the benefits of the stimulus exceeded the costs. ]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics poll history stimulus</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:1c460c8a51ef/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:stimulus"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.gallup.com/poll/174110/americans-reaction-middle-east-situation-similar-past.aspx">
    <title>Americans' Reaction to Middle East Situation Similar to Past</title>
    <dc:date>2014-07-27T01:14:08+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.gallup.com/poll/174110/americans-reaction-middle-east-situation-similar-past.aspx</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Americans are divided in their views of whether Israel's actions against the Palestinian group Hamas is "mostly justified" or "mostly unjustified," but they widely view Hamas' actions as mostly unjustified. Those results are similar to what Gallup measured 12 years ago during another period of heightened Israeli-Palestinian violence, and they are consistent with Americans' generally more positive views of the Israelis than of the Palestinians.

The latest escalation of violence in the Middle East occurred after the militant Palestinian group Hamas captured and killed three Israeli students and a Palestinian teen was subsequently murdered in an alleged revenge killing. The tensions erupted into bombings, missile attacks, and armed conflict. The two sides have not agreed to a cease-fire so far despite the international community's efforts to end the fighting.

Americans do not view the current round of violence as substantially worse than the 2002 fighting, when Israel invaded areas under Palestinian control while Palestinian suicide bombers targeted Israel. A separate question in the new July 22-23 Gallup poll underscores the finding that Americans' see the current round of fighting as no worse than usual: 45% of Americans say the current Israeli-Palestinian conflict is "more serious than past conflicts between them," 43% about as serious as past conflicts, and 3% as "less serious."]]></description>
<dc:subject>israel palestine GazaStrip military diplomacy poll usa politics ethics government hamas</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:5ab6f2bad787/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:israel"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:palestine"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:GazaStrip"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:military"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:diplomacy"/>
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</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://twitter.com/samknight1/status/492420362840592384">
    <title>Twitter / samknight1: Results of Gallup poll released ...</title>
    <dc:date>2014-07-25T03:58:34+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://twitter.com/samknight1/status/492420362840592384</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Results of Gallup poll released just now suggests Israel's carte blanche days are numbered. This is why they hate BDS ]]></description>
<dc:subject>gallup poll israel hamas palestine government legal</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:2aedad128cdd/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:gallup"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:israel"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:hamas"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:palestine"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/07/14/almost-half-of-the-world-actually-prefers-instant-coffee/">
    <title>Almost half of the world actually prefers instant coffee</title>
    <dc:date>2014-07-15T03:12:06+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/07/14/almost-half-of-the-world-actually-prefers-instant-coffee/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Americans’ taste in coffee might be getting more high-end—with a growing fixation on perfectly roasted beans, pricier caffeinated concoctions, and artisan coffee brewers—but it turns out a surprisingly big part of the world is going in the opposite direction: towards instant coffee. 

Sales of instant coffee—the kind that dissolves in hot water and has been popularized by brands like Nescafe—have nearly tripled since 2000, according to data from market research firm Euromonitor. The world consumed nearly $31 billion-worth last year, and is expected to drink more than $35 billion-worth by 2018. Instant coffee accounts for more than 34 percent of all the retail brewed coffee consumed around the world.]]></description>
<dc:subject>coffee culture statistics poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:6f23692e1b70/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:culture"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://wonkwire.rollcall.com/2014/07/11/new-survey-confirms-steep-drop-uninsured/">
    <title>New Survey Confirms Steep Drop in Uninsured - Taegan Goddard's Wonk Wire</title>
    <dc:date>2014-07-13T02:39:42+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://wonkwire.rollcall.com/2014/07/11/new-survey-confirms-steep-drop-uninsured/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Urban Institute: “Analysis of data from the June 2014 [Health Reform Monitoring Survey] shows the uninsurance rate for nonelderly adults (age 18–64) was 13.9 percent … for the nation in June, a drop of 4.0 percentage points … since September 2013, the month before the ACA’s initial open enrollment period began. This represents a drop of 22.3 percent in the uninsurance rate, which translates to a net gain in coverage for about 8.0 million adults …, extending the coverage gain of 5.4 million … that was found as of early March 2014.Though estimates of the size of the net gain in coverage vary across surveys, there is consistent evidence of ongoing gains in insurance coverage under the ACA.”]]></description>
<dc:subject>insurance healthcare health AffordableCareAct politics poll</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:61368f1053e0/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:insurance"/>
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</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/republicans-like-obamacare-commonwealth-fund">
    <title>Survey: Most Republicans Who Bought Obamacare Coverage Like Their Plans</title>
    <dc:date>2014-07-10T18:10:38+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/republicans-like-obamacare-commonwealth-fund</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[About three-quarters of Republicans who obtained health insurance under Obamacare are satisfied with their coverage, according to a survey published Thursday by the Commonwealth Fund.

The survey found that 74 percent of Republicans said they were very or somewhat satisfied with their new coverage. Overall, 78 percent of Americans said they were satisfied: 73 percent of those enrolled in a private plan and 84 percent of those enrolled in Medicaid.

There was a minimal difference between the previously uninsured and the previously insured: 79 percent of the former were satisfied and 77 percent of the latter were, according to the survey by the group, which is generally supportive of Obamacare.

Those surveyed also reported being better off: 58 percent said that they were better off now than they were before, while 9 percent said they were worse off. And 81 percent said that they were optimistic that their new coverage would help them get the health care they need.

Some of the survey's broader findings, on the overall drop in the number of uninsured and the percentage of Obamacare enrollees who were previously uninsured, generally fell within other findings. It found that the uninsured rate for adults under 65 fell from 20 percent to 15 percent since Obamacare enrollment began. It also found that 63 percent of Obamacare enrollees had been previously uninsured.]]></description>
<dc:subject>republicans politics insurance healthcare AffordableCareAct barackobama poll</dc:subject>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/06/27/americans-were-for-immigration-before-they-were-against-it/">
    <title>Anti-immigrant sentiment is down in the United States — way down</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-30T06:37:24+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/06/27/americans-were-for-immigration-before-they-were-against-it/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The shifts toward a more pro-immigrant attitude is pretty striking (and fast) in all four of these cases. We’ll see whether that persists in the years ahead.

If it does, does that mean immigration reform has a better shot at passing? Probably, yes — at least marginally.

But as these data show, just because Americans like immigrants and immigration better than they did a decade ago doesn’t mean passing some kind of comprehensive reform is a cinch. Just like last decade, Congress is failing miserably.]]></description>
<dc:subject>immigration politics congress usa poll statistics</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.theatlantic.com/national/archive/2014/06/wealthy-educated-women-sort-of-bored-with-white-weddings/373112/">
    <title>Wealthy, Educated Women: Sort of Bored With White Weddings</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-23T23:43:01+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.theatlantic.com/national/archive/2014/06/wealthy-educated-women-sort-of-bored-with-white-weddings/373112/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[But in many ways, wealthy, educated, urban people are the best predictors of wedding trends. They’re getting married more often than lower-income Americans, and they’re more likely to marry one another. Although overall marriage rates are declining, the wedding-industrial complex has nothing to fear: People with money are still spending multiple hours each week buying stuff for their “big day.”

And their choices say a lot about trends in American culture. When the respondents were asked to pick three things that describe what a “traditional” wedding actually means, 60 percent said “church ceremony,” 43 percent said “white dress,” and 36 percent said “religious traditions.” A few other qualities, such as standard vows, the father of the bride walking his daughter down the aisle, the bride not seeing the groom before the ceremony, were also popular choices. The women who described their weddings as “average” or “non-traditional” might have incorporated some of these customs—based on the way the survey was asked, it’s hard to know what exactly their weddings actually looked like.

All the same, it’s interesting that the women most likely to be brides in America seem only mildly enthusiastic about the aspects of weddings that make them wedding-ish: taking traditional vows of commitment; angling for a Godly endorsement; and following historic customs because, let’s face it, newlyweds have no idea what they’re doing. These are the non-superficial parts of getting married, the parts that aren’t about acquiring vintage champagne flutes or throwing an awesome party. They’re about publicly, meaningfully, and contractually bonding yourself to someone else—and if that’s in decline, that’s a pretty big deal.]]></description>
<dc:subject>culture marriage statistics poll politics usa wedding</dc:subject>
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<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:78817d2d0df5/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/how-partisan-are-partisan-senate-polls/">
    <title>How Partisan Are Partisan Senate Polls?</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-11T19:38:31+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/how-partisan-are-partisan-senate-polls/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[In our sample, Republican-sponsored polls were no more accurate or less accurate than Democratic-sponsored surveys.

Only 16 percent of the time did a partisan Senate poll underestimate its side’s candidate by a percentage point or more. Only 4 percent of the time was the underestimation 5 points or more. Only 2 percent of the time was the error 7 points or more, which is the difference between the DSCC and Opinion Research Associates poll.

We’re most likely to see the greatest bias when a candidate is losing by a lot and a partisan poll is released from that candidate’s side. The average bias when the sponsored side loses is 6.64 points. It averages only 0.98 points when the sponsored side wins. When the sponsored side wins by more than 5 points, the bias is nonexistent.]]></description>
<dc:subject>senate politics poll research</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:1726a132f5fb/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-eric-cantor-upset-what-happened/">
    <title>The Eric Cantor Upset: What Happened? | FiveThirtyEight</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-11T05:48:22+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-eric-cantor-upset-what-happened/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Yes, the difference between being part of the establishment and being a tea party member can be overplayed. In this case, however, it applies. Brat had the backing of local tea party groups, and you can’t get more establishment than being the House majority leader.

Cantor, in contrast to past victims of GOP primary challenges, such Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska or former Indiana senator Dick Lugar, has little history of bucking his party. As you might expect of a Republican in a leadership position, he’s voted with his party 95 percent of the time. Because Cantor’s party is quite conservative, his votes have been quite conservative.

But his position of authority also saddles him with any grievances that voters might have against the GOP leadership.

We can look at the statistical system DW-Nominate scores to confirm this. DW-Nominate ranks members of Congress on two dimensions based on their roll call votes. The first dimension is essentially a liberal-to-conservative measure. Cantor is more conservative than any of the Republicans thought to be in trouble in 2014, according to DW-Nominate. (He has about as conservative a voting record as Oklahoma Sen. Jim Inhofe, so he’s no moderate.)

The second dimension of DW-Nominate is less commonly discussed. It describes differences among members of Congress that can’t easily be placed on a left-right scale — for instance, voting on civil rights issues during the mid-20th century. (Many northern Republicans voted in favor of civil rights legislation, while many New Deal Democrats from the South voted against it.) More recently, the second dimension has come to represent something like an insider vs. outsider (or establishment vs. tea party) spectrum.

I don’t want to claim that Cantor’s defeat was all that predictable — it wasn’t. But he does share something in common with those who lost before him, as DW-Nominate places him firmly on the establishment side of the spectrum. In fact, DW-Nominate’s insider-outsider score has had statistically significant explanatory power in describing the outcomes of Republican primaries for the U.S. Senate since 2010 — even if we control for how conservative the district is (based on its presidential voting in 2012) and how conservative the candidate was (based on DW-Nominate’s left-right scale). For those interested, here’s the Stata output:]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics election republicans poll teaparty EricCantor</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/republicans-are-likely-to-maintain-edge-in-governorships/">
    <title>Republicans Are Likely to Maintain Edge in Governorships</title>
    <dc:date>2014-05-30T00:14:18+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/republicans-are-likely-to-maintain-edge-in-governorships/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[With the U.S. House likely to stay in Republican control, most electoral analysis has focused on the Senate. Yet there are 36 gubernatorial elections this year, from the Boston Harbor to the San Diego beaches, that have mostly escaped statistical analysis. No longer!

Early polling suggests Republicans are likely to maintain something close to their current 29-to-21 edge in governorships. Should we trust that polling?

For the most part, yes. Early gubernatorial polling is, like early Senate polling, fairly predictive of who will win in the fall.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics poll statistics election 2014</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:393abb03f570/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/05/the-war-of-the-senate-models-107132.html">
    <title>The War of the Senate Models</title>
    <dc:date>2014-05-28T02:50:45+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/05/the-war-of-the-senate-models-107132.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[So after all that, what have we learned? In the end, it is near certain that the Senate will be more closely divided in 2015 than it is now. Assuming neither party has a massive meltdown, I would not be surprised to see a 49-51 split in one direction or the other. Vice President Joseph Biden might end up with plenty of tie-breaking work to do.]]></description>
<dc:subject>senate politics congress election government usa poll statistics</dc:subject>
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