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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/30/polls-show-below-average-post-election-approval-bounce-for-obama/"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://maddowblog.msnbc.com/_news/2012/11/10/15073187-this-week-in-god"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/11/08/cbo-letting-upper-income-tax-cuts-expire-would-barely-hurt-economy/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein"/>
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  </channel><item rdf:about="http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/obama-irriated-romney-2012-concession-david-axelrod-article-1.2102383">
    <title>Obama 'irritated' by Romney's 2012 concession: David Axelrod</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-05T03:43:00+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/obama-irriated-romney-2012-concession-david-axelrod-article-1.2102383</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[President Obama was shocked and irritated by Mitt Romney’s concession call in the 2012 presidential election—and claimed Romney insinuated that Obama won only by getting out the black vote, according to a new book by presidential campaign strategist David Axelrod.

Obama was “unsmiling during the call, and slightly irritated when it was over,” Axelrod writes.

The president hung up and said Romney admitted he was surprised at his own loss, Axelrod wrote.

“‘You really did a great job of getting the vote out in places like Cleveland and Milwaukee,’ in other words, black people,’” Obama said, paraphrasing Romney. “That’s what he thinks this was all about.”]]></description>
<dc:subject>racism race mittromney barackobama election 2012 politics</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:eb0162220bd0/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:mittromney"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:barackobama"/>
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<item rdf:about="http://wonkwire.rollcall.com/2013/10/16/chart-day-26/">
    <title>Chart of the Day - Taegan Goddard's Wonk Wire</title>
    <dc:date>2013-10-17T06:17:40+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://wonkwire.rollcall.com/2013/10/16/chart-day-26/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[– Brad Plumer highlights this chart from a new report by Macroeconomic Advisers finding that ”Congress’s budget fights, debt-ceiling stand-offs, and spending cuts have cost the U.S. economy nearly 3 percent of GDP since 2010. That’s roughly $700 billion in lost economic activity — all thanks to Congress.”

“Their implication is that growth would be higher without all this brinkmanship. The increased policy uncertainty, the report claims, ‘lowered GDP growth by 0.3 percentage points per year, and raised the unemployment rate in 2013 by 0.6 percentage points, equivalent to 900,000 lost jobs.’”

“ Congress’s budget battles have cost the United States roughly 3 percent of GDP, or around $700 billion of wasted economic potential since 2011.”]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics congress usa budget economics economy statistics 2012 2013</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2013/09/24/_2012_intrade_paper_suggests_a_single_intrade_trader_spent_millions_to_make.html">
    <title>Why a Single Trader Was Willing to Lose Millions Betting on a Romney Win</title>
    <dc:date>2013-10-10T03:21:01+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2013/09/24/_2012_intrade_paper_suggests_a_single_intrade_trader_spent_millions_to_make.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The more interesting question is why Trader X would wager so heavily on the GOP nominee at a point when publicly available data increasingly pointed toward an Obama victory. Of course, interesting questions often come with obvious answers. Here’s the three possible reasons the authors examined before largely settling on the one that makes the most sense in the world of politics:

(i) the trader was convinced that Romney was underpriced throughout the period and was expressing a price view, (ii) he was hedging an exposure held elsewhere, or (iii) he was attempting to distort prices in the market for some purpose.
Assuming the trader was rational and informed, Option 1 can most likely be ruled out because the trader could have bought pro-Romney positions for cheaper on Betfair, another exchange similar to Intrade (although one the authors admit comes with some added headaches for U.S. traders). So, too, is Option 2 unlikely given how the market reacted at other key points during the election, like during the first debate and on Election Day.

That leaves Option 3 as the most likely explanation for the heavy pro-Romney trading. “This was someone who was extremely sophisticated,” Sethi, who also teaches at Barnard College, told the Wall Street Journal. “It was not someone who was dumb or stupid.”

And while $4 million is obviously a large chunk of change to lose on what is basically an online betting site, the outcome of such a wager would only be secondary in the eyes of someone looking to skew the data in Romney’s favor, which in turn could boost everything from fundraising to campaign morale. And in that regard, Sethi and Rothschild note, the millions may have actually been money well spent when you consider that their research shows that “a highly visible market that drove many a media narrative could be manipulated at a cost less than that of a primetime television commercial.”]]></description>
<dc:subject>intrade economics politics mittromney barackobama election 2012</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/bill-o-reilly-says-romney-didn-t-want-to-win-2012-presidential-election">
    <title>Bill O'Reilly Says Romney Didn't Want To Win 2012 Presidential Election</title>
    <dc:date>2013-09-29T19:14:03+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/bill-o-reilly-says-romney-didn-t-want-to-win-2012-presidential-election</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Fox News host Bill O'Reilly said Thursday that former Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney lost the election because he "did not want to be president of the United States," AL.com reported.

O'Reilly told the crowd at a Faulkner University fundraiser that he asked Romney to appear on "The O'Reilly Factor" for an entire hour the Monday night before the election, after the Obama campaign turned down an offer to split the hour.  

“We never got an answer," O’Reilly said, as quoted by AL.com. "We never got a reason. They just didn’t do it.” 

“So we’re sitting there going, 'Does this guy want to lose?' The answer is yes, he did not want to be president of the United States, and that’s why he lost," he continued.

To further prove that Romney "did not want to win the election," O'Reilly said the former Massachusetts governor missed a crucial opportunity to gain the upper hand in the third presidential debate. He faulted Romney for not directly confronting the president about last year's deadly attack on the American consulate in Benghazi, Libya, that resulted in the deaths of four Americans.

“It would have knocked him right out,” O’Reilly said. “He could not have answered. He would have evaded it. He didn’t have the answers. He could have just won the election right there.”]]></description>
<dc:subject>billoreilly politics mittromney election Benghazi 2012</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/comment/2013/09/meadows-boehner-defund-obamacare-suicide-caucus-geography.html">
    <title>Where the G.O.P.'s Suicide Caucus Lives : The New Yorker</title>
    <dc:date>2013-09-27T04:00:45+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/comment/2013/09/meadows-boehner-defund-obamacare-suicide-caucus-geography.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The ability of eighty members of the House of Representatives to push the Republican Party into a strategic course that is condemned by the party’s top strategists is a historical oddity. It’s especially strange when you consider some of the numbers behind the suicide caucus. As we approach a likely government shutdown this month and then a more perilous fight over raising the debt ceiling in October, it’s worth considering the demographics and geography of the eighty districts whose members have steered national policy over the past few weeks.

As the above map, detailing the geography of the suicide caucus, shows, half of these districts are concentrated in the South, and a quarter of them are in the Midwest, while there’s a smattering of thirteen in the rural West and four in rural Pennsylvania (outside the population centers of Philadelphia and Pittsburgh). Naturally, there are no members from New England, the megalopolis corridor from Washington to Boston, or along the Pacific coastline.

These eighty members represent just eighteen per cent of the House and just a third of the two hundred and thirty-three House Republicans. They were elected with fourteen and a half million of the hundred and eighteen million votes cast in House elections last November, or twelve per cent of the total. In all, they represent fifty-eight million constituents. That may sound like a lot, but it’s just eighteen per cent of the population.

Most of the members of the suicide caucus have districts very similar to Meadows’s. While the most salient demographic fact about America is that it is becoming more diverse, Republican districts actually became less diverse in 2012. According to figures compiled by The Cook Political Report’s David Wasserman, a leading expert on House demographics who provided me with most of the raw data I’ve used here, the average House Republican district became two percentage points more white in 2012.

The members of the suicide caucus live in a different America from the one that most political commentators describe when talking about how the country is transforming. The average suicide-caucus district is seventy-five per cent white, while the average House district is sixty-three per cent white. Latinos make up an average of nine per cent of suicide-district residents, while the over-all average is seventeen per cent. The districts also have slightly lower levels of education (twenty-five per cent of the population in suicide districts have college degrees, while that number is twenty-nine per cent for the average district).

The members themselves represent this lack of diversity. Seventy-six of the members who signed the Meadows letter are male. Seventy-nine of them are white.

As with Meadows, the other suicide-caucus members live in places where the national election results seem like an anomaly. Obama defeated Romney by four points nationally. But in the eighty suicide-caucus districts, Obama lost to Romney by an average of twenty-three points. The Republican members themselves did even better. In these eighty districts, the average margin of victory for the Republican candidate was thirty-four points.

In short, these eighty members represent an America where the population is getting whiter, where there are few major cities, where Obama lost the last election in a landslide, and where the Republican Party is becoming more dominant and more popular. Meanwhile, in national politics, each of these trends is actually reversed.]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa election politics republicans teaparty conservatives demographics statistics 2012 AffordableCareAct HouseOfRepresentatives</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://twitter.com/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:edcc72ef253d/</dc:identifier>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nbcnews.com/health/teen-birth-rate-hits-historic-low-officials-say-8C11086339">
    <title>Teen birth rate hits historic low, federal report says - NBC News.com</title>
    <dc:date>2013-09-07T00:24:51+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nbcnews.com/health/teen-birth-rate-hits-historic-low-officials-say-8C11086339</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The birth rate among teenagers reached another historic low in 2012, government researchers announced Friday, and there is evidence that a switch to more effective means of birth control is a factor.

According to the National Center for Health Statistics at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the birth rate among young women ages 15 to 19 fell 6 percent last year, to 29.4 births per thousand, the lowest rate in the 73 years the government has been collecting the data. The decline was across all racial and ethnic groups.

The 2012 number is “a considerable one year drop,” says pediatrician Dr. John Santelli, a professor of population and family health at Columbia University who has no connection to the study. And it follows fairly sizable declines since 2007, when the rate was 41.5 births per thousand young women ages 15 to 19. In fact, except for a small uptick between 2005 and 2007, the teen birth rate has been steadily declining since 1991, when it reached 61.8 births per thousand.

“Our data comes from the birth certificate that parents complete at the hospital and it provides a wealth of information,” says Brady E. Hamilton, a statistician with the National Center for Health Statistics and the lead author of the report. But to figure out why the teen birth rate is falling, “we have to rely on other sources,” Hamilton says, such as surveys that the CDC conducts of high schoolers.

Santelli has studied those and other survey results. “There is not much evidence of a change in abortion use and not much change in sexual activity” since 2003, says Santelli. For example, the percentage of high school kids reporting ever having sexual intercourse was about 54 percent in 1991, according to the CDC survey, declined through 2002, and then held steady at about 47 percent through 2011, the last year of available data.

“What we have seen is greater availability of much more effective birth control methods,” says Santelli. While condom use increased substantially in the 1990s and early 2000s among high schoolers, it actually declined slightly after that, according to the CDC survey. At the same time, medical professionals have increasingly been recommending the IUD, a small, plastic device that is inserted and left inside the uterus to prevent pregnancy, says Santelli. While it does not protect against sexually transmitted diseases, it can be used in combination with a condom, which does offer such protection.

“Young people sometimes use condoms incorrectly, and sometimes they forget to use condoms,” says Santelli. “There is almost zero user error with the IUD. Once it is in place, it works every time.”

Beyond teens, the birth rate for women in their early twenties also declined in 2012, to a new record low of 83.1 births per 1,000 women, while birth rates rose for women in their thirties and early forties.

“People are starting families later and later, and these are historical changes and happening worldwide,” says Santelli. “The last downturn in the economy has accelerated the trend.”]]></description>
<dc:subject>birthcontrol education science statistics 2012 usa youth pregnancy</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/bad-bet-why-republicans-can-t-win-with-whites-alone-20130905">
    <title>Bad Bet: Why Republicans Can't Win With Whites Alone - NationalJournal.com</title>
    <dc:date>2013-09-06T14:31:30+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/bad-bet-why-republicans-can-t-win-with-whites-alone-20130905</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Weighing all these factors, most political professionals in both parties who have expressed an opinion are somewhere between dubious and scornful of the notion that Republicans can rely almost entirely on further gains with whites to recapture the presidency without meaningfully improving among minorities. "This is an anti-mathematical position," says longtime Democratic pollster Geoff Garin. "Electoral reality is not the product of somebody's ideological wishes. It's arithmetic. And the arithmetic is working badly against the Republicans."Similarly, Greenberg, who polled for Bill Clinton, says Obama faces unique problems among whites both because of his race and the gruelingly slow economic recovery. "Those things together make me think these white numbers [for Democrats] are not the new baseline—that they are much more likely to go up than down," he says. Veteran Republican pollster Whit Ayres is no less dismissive. "Any strategy that is predicated on [consistently] getting a higher percentage of the white vote than Ronald Reagan got in 1980 is a losing strategy," he says. "It's the same thing Democrats would talk about in the late 1980s after they had lost five of the previous six presidential elections in the popular vote. What they would say is, we need to get the nonvoters to vote; the nonvoters are with us. It never happened." The whites-first argument, Ayres adds, "is not getting much penetration among people who are serious about winning presidential elections. It is getting traction among people who are trying to justify voting against immigration reform or making any of the other changes that are necessary to be nationally competitive in the 21st century." Republican strategist Rich Beeson, the national field director for Romney's 2012 campaign, takes a more nuanced view. In theory, he says, the next GOP nominee might achieve enough white gains to win without improving among minorities. But as the minority population continues to increase, Beeson adds, "is it a recipe for long-term success? Absolutely not." 
All four consultants, like others in both parties, agree that Republicans would face additional challenges expanding or even maintaining their white margins in 2016 if Democrats nominate Hillary Rodham Clinton. Not only would her status as the first female major-party nominee give her an obvious calling card with white women, but during the 2008 nomination fight against Obama she also appealed effectively to some voters whom Obama has always struggled with. "Working-class whites connect with her and President Clinton in a way they don't with President Obama," says Garin, who served as the senior strategist in her 2008 campaign's final stages.

That doesn't mean Hillary Clinton would be a favorite to win most white women (no Democrat has since Bill Clinton in 1996), and she has almost no chance of carrying most working-class whites. But absent big GOP gains with minorities, she could win, even comfortably, just by maintaining Obama's showing with whites; Republicans would face the burden of pushing her below Obama's performance. Though it's very early, the first 2016 polling instead has generally shown her trimming Obama's deficit among whites both nationally and in key states. Ayres says that rather than hoping to increase their showing with whites, Republicans must prepare for "the likelihood that the Democratic nominee, particularly one who doesn't come from the far left wing of the party, will get [a] higher proportion of the white vote" than Obama did in 2012. "That means," Ayres adds, "Republicans have simply got to rethink the formula of how you get to 50-plus-1 percent."Kristol, the GOP thinker, doesn't concede that Republicans are unlikely to expand their white margin against Clinton if she runs. "It's true that Republicans have not done much better [than in 2012], but if Romney-McCain becomes the high-water mark for the Republican Party with any group of voters, they are in trouble," he says. And while Kristol believes Republicans will alienate conservatives for little gain with Hispanics if they pass immigration reform, he says the party next time should intensify its pursuit of minority voters on other grounds. "I very much hope the Republican Party by 2016 will have a conservative reform agenda especially speaking to working- and middle-class Americans," he says. "I still think there's a problem [with Hispanics], but I don't think it's inevitable that you can never get above the 27 percent [Romney won with them] if immigration doesn't pass."In some ways, the very existence of this debate encapsulates the GOP's challenge. It's unlikely that a party with more diversity in its coalition would be debating whether it could respond to those voters without sacrificing its principles. But even in a rapidly diversifying nation, Republicans remain almost entirely dependent on the votes of whites, who supplied Romney with nearly 90 percent of his total support and cast over 90 percent of the ballots in almost all of the party's 2012 presidential primaries. Nearly four-fifths of House Republicans represent districts that are more white than the national average. This means that minorities who might be drawn to the party by a different mix of policies, such as comprehensive immigration reform, have minimal influence in shaping the party's agenda now. For those seeking a more inclusive and diverse GOP coalition, the first hurdle is that the future doesn't have a seat at the table today.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics election statistics demographics democrats voting 2012 republicans history</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://twitter.com/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2013/07/romney-trash-day-refrigerator.html">
    <title>Romney Cleaned Out His Fridge on Election Day -- Daily Intelligencer</title>
    <dc:date>2013-08-01T07:26:50+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2013/07/romney-trash-day-refrigerator.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[From Dan Balz's upcoming book on the 2012 presidential race, Collision 2012, comes this Election Day vignette about the endearing squareness of Mitt Romney:
Romney began his day at his home in Belmont, Massachusetts, with several radio interviews. Ann, he said to his wife after he was done, it's trash day. The candidate didn't want to miss the trash pickup, and before he left the house that morning he started to clean out the refrigerator. This is bad, he would say as he pulled a jar from the refrigerator and tossed it in the trash bag. An aide watched, thinking, By the end of the day this man could be president-elect and he's worried about missing trash day.
Romney's White House dreams would be shattered later that night, but his fridge was clean and orderly, so the day, overall, was basically a wash. ]]></description>
<dc:subject>mittromney politics usa election 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.canada.com/Canada+crime+rate+dips+lowest+level+years/8706907/story.html">
    <title>Canada’s crime rate dips to lowest level in 40 years</title>
    <dc:date>2013-07-26T13:41:53+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.canada.com/Canada+crime+rate+dips+lowest+level+years/8706907/story.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Canada’s crime rate dipped to its lowest level in 40 years in 2012, the same year the federal government enacted some of its harshest tough-on-crime policies.

Just under two million criminal incidents were reported to police last year, about 36,000 fewer than the previous year, according to the Canadian Centre for Justice Statistics study on police-reported crime.

The decline is primarily attributed to decreases in non-violent crimes like mischief, break-ins and motor vehicle theft. In fact, 2012 marked the ninth consecutive year that both the volume and severity of crime was down.

For instance, there were 415,000 violent incidents reported to police — about 9,000 fewer than the previous year.

“Lower stats are better than the stats that we were experiencing in the 1990s and I think a lot of credit goes to better policing,” Canadian Association of Chiefs of Police president and Vancouver Police Chief Jim Chu said in an interview.

“Police agencies across Canada have modernized their data systems so now we have a rich repository from which to figure out where the hotspots are, where to focus deployment resources in order to drive down crime.”

Police, he said, are also more connected to their communities and to marginalized neighbourhoods, and are increasingly using new avenues like social media to keep people informed. Such relationships and tools, Chu suggested, have made it easier for witnesses to come forward with information.]]></description>
<dc:subject>crime statistics Canada research 2012 politics government police</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://twitter.com/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://thinkprogress.org/election/2013/07/09/2266841/trende-republicans-white-voters-missing/">
    <title>No, Republicans, 'Missing' White Voters Won't Save You | ThinkProgress</title>
    <dc:date>2013-07-10T01:02:29+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://thinkprogress.org/election/2013/07/09/2266841/trende-republicans-white-voters-missing/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[So what starts out looking like a mysterious epidemic of “missing” white voters becomes mostly a reflection of the simple fact that 2012 was a low turnout election. This unremarkable outcome is then hyped by Trende as the big demographic development of 2012 by doing something that is really quite misleading. He adds back in all the missing white voters to the 2012 electorate while leaving out all the missing minority voters. That is where he gets his claim that “[i]f these white voters had decided to vote, the racial breakdown of the electorate would have been 73.6 percent white, 12.5 percent black, 9.5 percent Hispanic and 2.4 percent Asian — almost identical to the 2008 numbers.”
This really can’t be done. If you’re going to add one type of missing voter back in you should add them all back in; you can’t—or shouldn’t—assume a higher turnout election that would somehow only affect whites. And what happens if you play with the net up and add all the “missing” voters back in? You get 72.4 percent white, 12.8 percent black, 9.6 percent Hispanic, 2.4 percent Asian and 2.8 percent other race—in other words, 72 percent white and 28 percent minority, identical to the actual 2012 exit poll results.
So: GOP phone home! Your missing white voters have been found, and it turns out they weren’t really missing. They were simply sitting out a relatively low turnout election along with a large number of their minority counterparts. They may be back next time if it’s a higher turnout election — but then again so will a lot of minority voters. Bottom line: your demographic dilemma remains the same. The mix of voters is changing fast to your disadvantage and there is no cavalry of white voters waiting in the wings to rescue you.]]></description>
<dc:subject>demographics statistics politics election republicans democrats usa 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:7bd706abb136/</dc:identifier>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/29/inflation-nation-not/">
    <title>Inflation Nation Not - NYTimes.com</title>
    <dc:date>2013-04-29T23:50:34+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/29/inflation-nation-not/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Hey, does anyone remember the great inflation panic of 2011? All the usual suspects were issuing dire warnings about soaring inflation, and ridiculing the Fed for focusing on core inflation rather than headline changes. So, how’s it going?]]></description>
<dc:subject>inflation economics economy usa statistics 2011 2012 2013</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2013/03/20/rnc-chair-all-those-issues-we-lost-on-in-2012-are-really-winners-for-us/">
    <title>RNC chair: All those issues we lost on in 2012 are really winners for us</title>
    <dc:date>2013-04-20T23:20:19+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2013/03/20/rnc-chair-all-those-issues-we-lost-on-in-2012-are-really-winners-for-us/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Priebus’s response:
“We’re not losing the issues on the math. We’re not losing the issues on spending, and debt, and jobs, and the economy. Those are total winners for us. What we found in the election is that while we’re winning those arguments on spending and math, we’re losing this sort of emotional, cultural vote out there in presidential elections.”
Maybe I’m misremembering, but wasn’t the 2012 election all about those very same issues that Priebus claims are “total winners” for the GOP? For months, the two parties fought it out over how much we should cut spending, the priorities that should dictate how we tackle the debt, and whether jobs are created by downsizing government and slashing tax rates on the rich or whether we should invest more in education, infrastructure, clean energy and research to create jobs and ensure long term economic security for the middle class. The whole election was an argument over what kind of economy we want. The GOP vision on all these issues lost decisively. Yet here is Priebus, telling us that they are “winners” for the GOP, only two days after Republicans released a massive new investigation into what went wrong.
Meanwhile, Priebus’ claim that Republicans lost because of the “emotional, cultural vote” carries echoes of the deeply flawed theory of the race that drove GOP strategy throughout the campaign. Remember, Republicans confidently predicted swing voters would finally “break up” with Obama over the economy. The premise was that their support for the President could only be emotional or symbolic, and couldn’t possibly be rooted in substantive agreement with him or in the calculation — despite their disappointment with the sluggish recovery — that Obama was offering a better set of ideas for fixing the economy over the long haul than Mitt Romney was. This turned out to be a disastrous miscalculation.
As for the suggestion of a “cultural vote,” it’s true that Obama managed to bring out huge numbers of minorities, young voters, and socially liberal upscale whites, particularly women. And surely the GOP’s refusal to evolve on cultural issues — and issues important to minorities and women — helps explain this. But isn’t it also possible that these constituencies broadly agree with Obama and Democrats on the big ideological questions about the proper role of government and who should pay for it? Mightn’t they be alienated by the GOP vision on these issues, which is best expressed in the Paul Ryan fiscal blueprint that Republicans have doubled down on again — and which Priebus defends as a “winner” for them?
What this really suggests is that GOP officials don’t believe the base is willing to accept any sort of rethink on the core governing questions — on the size and role of government, on the proper level of progressivity in the tax code, on how (or whether) government should act to fix the economy and combat runaway inequality — that remain at the heart of our continuing stalemate.]]></description>
<dc:subject>republicans politics demographics race gender economics election 2012 barackobama</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-22131665#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa">
    <title>Obama's pay and tax declined in 2012</title>
    <dc:date>2013-04-12T20:04:33+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-22131665#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[US President Barack Obama made $608,611 (£395,947) in 2012, down more than 20% from the year before, according to his tax documents.  The decline in his pay comes as sales of Mr Obama’s books slow. His presidential salary is $400,000.  He and wife Michelle paid an effective tax rate of 18.4% and donated $150,034 to 33 different charities.  Mr Obama’s tax rate will rise next year under a recent agreement with Congressional Republicans.  “Under the president’s own tax proposals, including limitations on the value of tax preferences for high-income households, he would pay more in taxes while ensuring we cut taxes for the middle class and those trying to get in it,” said White House press secretary Jay Carney in a statement accompanying the release of the president’s and vice-president’s tax returns.  The president also paid $29,450 of state income tax in Illinois, the White House said.  About two thirds of the Obamas’ charitable contributions were given to the Fisher House Foundation, an organisation that provides assistance to military servicemen, veterans and their families.  The president’s earnings have declined significantly from 2009. That year, his first in office, he earned $5.5m, mostly from sales of his books Dreams from My Father and The Audacity of Hope.  Vice-President Joe Biden and his wife Jill reported $385,072 of income and paid $87,851 of federal tax.]]></description>
<dc:subject>BarackObama taxes politics usa 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:de9676fc6e89/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:taxes"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/03/14/census-counties-dying-off_n_2874983.html">
    <title>Census: Record 1 In 3 Counties Now Dying Off, Hit By Aging Population, Weakened Local Economies</title>
    <dc:date>2013-03-18T04:55:40+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/03/14/census-counties-dying-off_n_2874983.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[A record number of U.S. counties – more than 1 in 3 – are now dying off, hit by an aging population and weakened local economies that are spurring young adults to seek jobs and build families elsewhere.

New 2012 census estimates released Thursday highlight the population shifts as the U.S. encounters its most sluggish growth levels since the Great Depression.

The findings also reflect the increasing economic importance of foreign-born residents as the U.S. ponders an overhaul of a major 1965 federal immigration law. Without new immigrants, many metropolitan areas such as New York, Chicago, Detroit, Pittsburgh and St. Louis would have posted flat or negative population growth in the last year.

"Immigrants are innovators, entrepreneurs, they're making things happen. They create jobs," said Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder, a Republican, at an immigration conference in his state last week. Saying Michigan should be a top destination for legal immigrants to come and boost Detroit and other struggling areas, Snyder made a special appeal: "Please come here."

The growing attention on immigrants is coming mostly from areas of the Midwest and Northeast, which are seeing many of their residents leave after years of staying put during the downturn. With a slowly improving U.S. economy, young adults are now back on the move, departing traditional big cities to test the job market mostly in the South and West, which had sustained the biggest hits in the housing bust.

Also seeing big declines now are rural and exurban areas, along with industrial sections of the Rust Belt.

Census data show that 1,135 of the nation's 3,143 counties are now experiencing "natural decrease," where deaths exceed births. That's up from roughly 880 U.S. counties, or 1 in 4, in 2009. Already apparent in Japan and many European nations, natural decrease is now increasingly evident in large swaths of the U.S.

Despite increasing deaths, the U.S. population as a whole continues to grow, boosted by immigration from abroad and relatively higher births among the mostly younger migrants from Mexico, Latin America and Asia.]]></description>
<dc:subject>immigration politics statistics economics economy usa 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:3bf8c0b0f81b/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-21280142">
    <title>BBC News - US personal incomes jump ahead of New Year tax rise</title>
    <dc:date>2013-03-02T07:27:32+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-21280142</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[US personal incomes jumped 2.6% in December, the biggest monthly increase since 2004, as high earners sought to beat a New Year tax rise.

The month was marked by accelerated bonus and dividend payments, the US Commerce Department said.

Income tax cuts dating back to George W Bush's presidency were due to expire in the New Year as part of the "fiscal cliff" of tax rises and spending cuts.

Despite the boost to incomes, consumer spending rose only 0.2% in the month.

"Personal income in November and December was boosted by accelerated and special dividend payments to persons and by accelerated bonus payments and other irregular pay in private wages and salaries in anticipation of changes in individual income tax rates," the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said.

In the event, the tax rises went ahead only for individuals earning more than $400,000 (£250,000), as part of a last-minute deal negotiated between Republicans and Democrats in Congress to avert the fiscal cliff, with the top tax rate rising from 35% to just under 40%.]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics economy usa statistics 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:70aaf10ab8b1/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-21203804#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa">
    <title>US new-home sales best since 2009</title>
    <dc:date>2013-02-20T05:07:47+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-21203804#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[US new-home sales slowed in December, but that did not take the shine off the market seeing its best year since 2009.

The Commerce Department said new-home sales fell 7.3% month-on-month to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 369,000 units.

For the year, sales were up almost 20% to an annual rate of 367,000, but below the 700,000 level economists see as healthy for the housing industry.

Sales of previously-owned homes rose to 4.65 million, the most in five years.

Last year’s rise came on the back of more stable employment data and record-low mortgages. The Commerce Department said that the average price of newly-built homes rose slightly, which may have contributed to December’s fall.

“This [fall] should prove to be a temporary blip as the US housing market continues its gradual recovery,” said Andrew Grantham, an economist at CIBC World Markets.

The US National Association of Homebuilders estimates that each new house built creates an average of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 (£57,000) in tax revenue.]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics economy statistics usa 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:d0499bbecbf9/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-21379074">
    <title>BBC News - US trade deficit narrows to near three-year low</title>
    <dc:date>2013-02-09T20:20:17+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-21379074</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The US trade gap with the rest of the world fell to $38.5bn (£24.3bn) in December, a near three-year low, according to the Commerce Department.

Record overseas sales of petroleum pushed up exports, while imports dropped.

Crude oil imports fell to the lowest level since 1997 during 2012 as a whole.

The data suggests that the US economy was stronger in the fourth quarter than initially estimated.]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa 2012 trade economics economy exports</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:95fea52957dd/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/01/08/the-payroll-tax-hike-just-wiped-out-a-years-worth-of-wage-gains/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>The payroll tax hike wiped out a year’s worth of wage gains</title>
    <dc:date>2013-02-07T06:52:32+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/01/08/the-payroll-tax-hike-just-wiped-out-a-years-worth-of-wage-gains/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The good news: Many Americans saw their paychecks get fatter in 2012, as average weekly earnings rose 2.4 percent over the course of the year.
The bad news: The expiration of the payroll tax cut this January will basically wipe away all of last year’s gains.]]></description>
<dc:subject>taxes politics economics usa statistics 2012 inflation</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:4e2efba36b51/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/01/28/surprise-the-economy-did-fine-despite-the-fiscal-cliff-talks/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>Surprise! The economy did fine despite the fiscal cliff talks.</title>
    <dc:date>2013-01-29T03:11:34+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/01/28/surprise-the-economy-did-fine-despite-the-fiscal-cliff-talks/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Some jerk at the Washington Post wrote on December 11 that “The evidence is mounting that American consumers and businesses are starting to seriously sweat the fiscal cliff,” citing a survey of small business optimism that took a dive.
It is true that both consumer and business confidence surveys suffered some in December, and that the stock market was a little jumpy for a couple of days (though nothing like in some episodes of uncertainty in the recent past). But now more solid major November and December economic data is in. Given that a deal was not reached to resolve the cliff until New Year’s Eve, this is data that covers entirely the period before there was confidence on what a deal might look like.
If you think businesses were so petrified of the fiscal cliff that they stopped hiring, well, private sector employers added 171,000 jobs in November and 168,000 in December, which is if anything a little better than the trend over the last several months.
If you think businesses held off on buying equipment, fearful of the nation falling off the fiscal cliff, well, see above. The 0.2 percent gain in orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft in December followed a 3 percent rise in November.
If you think consumers, petrified by what their leaders in Washington were doing, held fast to their wallets, well, retail sales rose 0.4 percent in November and 0.5 percent in December.
Might homebuilders have taken a pause on starting new construction, worried that a recession could damp the emerging recovery in the sector? Well, no, the number of December housing starts was the highest since June 2008.
The dire scenarios many of us sketched out for how the economy would react to the fiscal cliff debate just didn’t come true. The U.S. economy kept humming along at the end of 2012, despite the noise from Capitol Hill.]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics economy usa statistics 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/01/03/chart-of-the-day-states-passed-second-most-abortion-restrictions-ever-in-2012/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>Chart of the day: States passed second-most abortion restrictions ever in 2012</title>
    <dc:date>2013-01-28T06:47:18+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/01/03/chart-of-the-day-states-passed-second-most-abortion-restrictions-ever-in-2012/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The only year with more abortion restrictions was 2011, when states passed a record-breaking 92 laws that restricted abortion access. 
Guttmacher saw some trends in where these restrictions were passed and what they changed. Much of the action was geographically concentrated: 24 of the 43 laws passed were in just six states (Arizona, Kansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, South Dakota and Wisconsin). Arizona led the pack with seven new laws; the others each enacted at least three.
As for the content of the laws, three states banned late-term abortions after 20 weeks, nearly doubling the number of states with such laws (the number grew from four to seven in the course of this year). Many abortion rights supporters think these bans are in violation of Roe v. Wade, which does not allow all-out abortion bans prior to fetal viability, usually thought to be around 24 to 25 weeks. Advocates challenged Arizona’s 20-week ban and it is currently blocked by the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals. Louisiana’s new law, however, has not yet been challenged, allowing it to come into full effect.
Four states banned plans that sell on the public health insurance exchanges that will launch in 2014 as part of the Affordable Care Act. Three states passed new laws that limit the use of telemedicine to perform medication abortions, an issue that has come up in rural states that have fewer abortion providers.
There is one type of law that seems to be moving in the opposite direction: Barring abortion providers like Planned Parenthood from receiving state family planning dollars. Seven states passed laws like that in 2011, a number that dropped to two states in 2012.]]></description>
<dc:subject>abortion legal politics usa 2012 statistics</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/01/08/americas-hottest-year-on-record-in-two-charts/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>It’s official: 2012 was the hottest U.S. year on record</title>
    <dc:date>2013-01-09T03:52:54+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/01/08/americas-hottest-year-on-record-in-two-charts/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Not only that, but it was also a weird year for weather. Here’s NCDC’s “Climate Extremes Index,” measuring the portion of the United States affected by unusually wet or dry or warm or cold conditions. This was the second-most extreme year for weather on record, behind only 1988:

All this extreme weather was pricey. The United States went through 11 natural disasters last year that cost $1 billion or more, the second-most since this statistic was first kept. (That’s partly due to the wild weather itself, but also partly due to the fact that the nation’s population is growing and our infrastructure is becoming more costly.)
Now the big question: What does this all have to do with climate change? The mainland United States is a mere 2 percent of the Earth’s surface, so it doesn’t always line up with global warming trends. Note that 2012 is “only” expected to be the eighth-hottest year on record globally, although that won’t be official until next week. It’s not unusual to expect our tiny patch of land here to be leap far above or below global trends in any given year.
Still, a whole lot of Americans live in the mainland United States, so what happens here gets plenty of attention. And a year like last year is basically what scientists have predicted lies in store for the United States if global temperatures keep rising. This big 2009 report from the U.S. Global Change Research Program laid out some of the expected results of future warming: drought in the Great Plains, heat waves in the Northeast, more wildfires in the Southwest… In other words, a lot like 2012 — only considerably more intense.]]></description>
<dc:subject>climate climatechange science research environment 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:610fd45097b8/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20913591#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa">
    <title>US unemployment rate holds steady</title>
    <dc:date>2013-01-06T00:04:09+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20913591#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The US economy added a further 155,000 jobs in December, while the unemployment rate held steady at 7.8%, official figures show.

The jobs came mainly in the healthcare, manufacturing, construction and food services sectors, the Labor Department said.

The public sector shed 13,000 jobs, mainly at the local level, but this was more than offset by the private sector.

Separate figures suggested a sharp rise in activity in the US service sector.

The Institute of Supply Management said its service index rose to 56.1 in December, from 54.7 the previous month. Any reading above 50 suggests expansion.

The December reading was the highest since February and was stronger than analysts had expected.]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa employment politics statistics 2012 December</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:bb29bd78782e/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:December"/>
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<item rdf:about="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdHpla01oWE1jOFZRbnhJZkZpVFNKeVE&amp;pli=1#gid=19">
    <title>2012 National Popular Vote Tracker - Google Drive</title>
    <dc:date>2013-01-03T06:39:57+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdHpla01oWE1jOFZRbnhJZkZpVFNKeVE&amp;pli=1#gid=19</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><dc:subject>politics election mittromney statistics 2012 barackobama usa</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:28b608489983/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdHpla01oWE1jOFZRbnhJZkZpVFNKeVE#gid=19">
    <title>2012 National Popular Vote Tracker - Google Drive</title>
    <dc:date>2013-01-01T21:43:44+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdHpla01oWE1jOFZRbnhJZkZpVFNKeVE#gid=19</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><dc:subject>2012 election politics statistics mittromney barackobama president</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:03ebdbbfb705/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:election"/>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/12/31/auto-sales-saved-the-economy-in-2012/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>Auto sales saved the economy in 2012</title>
    <dc:date>2012-12-31T18:16:15+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/12/31/auto-sales-saved-the-economy-in-2012/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[It’s not too much of an exaggeration to say the U.S. economy was powered by car sales this year. Auto companies are now expected to have sold 14.5 million new vehicles in 2012, according to Kelley Blue Book. That’s a 13 percent rise over last year and the highest number of sales since the financial crisis hit.

And you get a car. And you get a car. (AP)

If cars hadn’t been flying out of dealerships, the year would have looked considerably bleaker. Vehicle purchases by consumers alone accounted for roughly 30 percent of all economic growth in the first half of the year, according to Credit Suisse.]]></description>
<dc:subject>automotive business economics economy usa statistics 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:be2fd094fa5a/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:business"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/29/were-obamas-early-ads-really-the-game-changer/">
    <title>Were Obama's Early Ads Really the Game Changer? - NYTimes.com</title>
    <dc:date>2012-12-31T05:27:56+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/29/were-obamas-early-ads-really-the-game-changer/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[What this graph shows is fairly remarkable, given this narrative about the Obama campaign “defining” Mr. Romney. Obama’s advantage on this indicator — an advantage Democratic presidential candidates have traditionally had — was in place in January 2012 and never shifted much during the entire campaign. When Ms. Vavreck and I looked more closely at the trend in battleground states, we saw little notable movement in the spring and summer.

So perhaps “front-loading” the ads, as Mr. Axelrod described it on Politico.com, wasn’t as effective as many believe. In fact, the polls throughout this time period resemble this description:

What’s been interesting to watch is that our data has been remarkably consistent really from last spring forward, and our battleground polls really didn’t fluctuate much. There were times when it would dip to where we had a two-point lead in the battleground states. There’s one poll over the course that we had a one-point lead. By and large, we’ve been three and four points ahead in the battleground polls.
Interestingly, that description was also provided by Mr. Axelrod.

To be sure, my claim is not that campaign advertising in the 2012 presidential election did not matter at all. As I noted earlier, an advertising advantage — if it is substantial enough and close to the election — can sway votes. So it would be folly for a candidate to unilaterally disarm and run no ads whatsoever. Moreover, this initial analysis cannot speak to other kinds of counterfactuals, including ones that the Romney camp is still pondering like, “What if we had run more positive ads?”

But the political science research and this initial evidence from 2012 suggests that the Obama campaign’s blitz of early advertising did little apparent damage to Mr. Romney in the minds of voters.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics republicans democrats advertising usa election 2012 barackobama mittromney</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:ae8ecc887a66/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:republicans"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:democrats"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:advertising"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:election"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:barackobama"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:mittromney"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.gallup.com/poll/159548/identify-christian.aspx">
    <title>In U.S., 77% Identify as Christian</title>
    <dc:date>2012-12-28T20:32:17+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.gallup.com/poll/159548/identify-christian.aspx</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[PRINCETON, NJ -- The large majority of Americans -- 77% of the adult population -- identify with a Christian religion, including 52% who are Protestants or some other non-Catholic Christian religion, 23% who are Catholic, and 2% who affiliate with the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. Another 18% of Americans do not have an explicit religious identity and 5% identify with a non-Christian religion.]]></description>
<dc:subject>religion poll 2012 usa atheist christian</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:a07cb10000fa/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:atheist"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:christian"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://tcf.org/blogs/botc/2012/12/the-best-and-worst-news-in-health-policy-2012">
    <title>The Best and Worst News in Health Policy: 2012 — The Century Foundation</title>
    <dc:date>2012-12-27T22:00:19+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://tcf.org/blogs/botc/2012/12/the-best-and-worst-news-in-health-policy-2012</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[From the perspective of expanding and implementing near-universal coverage, the best news of the year was probably the reelection of President Obama, for whom health reform serves as the domestic policy centerpiece of his administration. The second-best bit of news was the Supreme Court’s decision to uphold the Affordable Care Act (ACA) in National Federation of Independent Business v. Sebelius. Had Mitt Romney become president, or had the Supreme Court struck down the individual mandate as unconstitutional, we probably would have witnessed the downfall of the ACA only two years after its historic passage.

Yet, quite possibly the worst news was also contained in that same Supreme Court ruling—the court’s decision that ACA’s Medicaid expansion is now effectively optional for the states. This further delays and complicates the already-delayed and already-complicated trajectory of health reform. Implementation of health reform will be a daunting challenge under any circumstances. This component of the Court’s decision made things even harder.]]></description>
<dc:subject>health healthcare insurance medicaid AffordableCareAct usa barackobama politics congress 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:181ad28dc1ff/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:insurance"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:medicaid"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:AffordableCareAct"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:barackobama"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:congress"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20644187#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa">
    <title>US jobless rate at four-year low</title>
    <dc:date>2012-12-16T04:10:19+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20644187#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The US added 146,000 jobs in November, official data shows, as the economy seemingly shrugged off storm Sandy.

The unexpectedly strong performance brought the unemployment rate down to a four-year low of 7.7% of the workforce.

The jobs figure was well above most analysts’ expectations and continued a recent surge that began in July.

Weekly benefits data registered a sharp but short-lived jump in the number claiming unemployment benefits in the states ravaged by the storm last month.

“Our analysis leads us to conclude that Hurricane Sandy did not substantively impact the national employment and unemployment estimates for November,” said John Galvin, acting commissioner at the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS), which produced the jobs report.

The jobs survey data for the individual states - which can be used by analysts to determine what effect, if any, the storm had - will not be released until 21 December.]]></description>
<dc:subject>statistics research science usa economy economics employment 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:c183b780835d/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:employment"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/12/06/the-jobs-report-friday-is-going-to-be-a-giant-mess/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>The jobs report Friday is going to be a giant mess</title>
    <dc:date>2012-12-07T01:30:07+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/12/06/the-jobs-report-friday-is-going-to-be-a-giant-mess/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The November jobs report is scheduled to come out at 8:30 Friday morning, and will surely be accompanied by the usual hyperactive analysis, rapid-fire tweeting, and general sense of eager anticipation.
But the numbers themselves are likely to be a muddy mess, offering little clarity on the true state of the U.S. job market on the eve of the fiscal cliff. The biggest reason is Hurricane Sandy, which struck the Northeast at the tail end of October and has made most economic data in the last couple of weeks hard to parse. But the confusion goes deeper.]]></description>
<dc:subject>employment economics economy 2012 November statistics HurricaneSandy</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:01a91c43d179/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:November"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:HurricaneSandy"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20613339">
    <title>BBC News - US workers' productivity growing fastest in two years</title>
    <dc:date>2012-12-07T00:52:15+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20613339</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[US output per worker grew by its fastest rate since 2010 in the third quarter of this year, according to official data.

The Labor Department said that productivity among non-farm workers rose by an annual rate of 2.9% in the third quarter of this year.

Productivity measures hourly output per worker.

The rise suggests companies are finding ways of getting employees to work harder, rather than hiring extra staff.

Consumer spending remains weak in the US and the output is being driven by companies building up stocks.

Labour costs fell by 1.9%, more than the 0.1% fall initially estimated.

The productivity rate was revised upwards because the US economy grew more quickly in the third quarter than first estimated, with workers' hours unchanged.

Last week, other official figures showed the US economy grew at an annualised rate of 2.7% in the third quarter of the year, significantly higher than the 2% initial estimate that the Commerce Department released just before the presidential election.]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa employment business DeptOfLabor statistics 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:c3cfbe476255/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:business"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:DeptOfLabor"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/11/30/uh-oh-the-economy-might-be-hitting-a-rough-patch/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>Uh-oh: The economy might be hitting a rough patch</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-30T23:45:32+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/11/30/uh-oh-the-economy-might-be-hitting-a-rough-patch/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The bottom is falling out of economic forecasters’ expectations for U.S. economic growth in the final months of 2012. And if some of the more bearish estimates prove accurate, it will be the weakest rate of growth since the start of 2011.
Macroeconomic Advisers had been projecting a 1.4 percent annual rate of GDP growth in the fourth quarter. On Friday it revised that estimate down to 1.1 percent Friday morning–and then again to 0.8 percent Friday afternoon. J.P. Morgan slashed its number to 1.5 percent from 2 percent. Tom Porcelli of RBC cut his estimate all the way from 1 percent to 0.2 percent.]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics economy usa 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:6f1eda205aa9/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:usa"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/30/polls-show-below-average-post-election-approval-bounce-for-obama/">
    <title>Polls Show Below-Average Post-Election Approval Bounce for Obama - NYTimes.com</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-30T23:41:40+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/30/polls-show-below-average-post-election-approval-bounce-for-obama/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[As negotiations heat up between the Obama administration and Congress over how to resolve the looming fiscal crisis, for instance, Mr. Obama has decided to make his case outside the Beltway for raising tax rates on high-income earners, hoping to pressure Congress indirectly.

Mr. Obama has more political capital having won re-election, rather than negotiating a fiscal cliff resolution as a lame duck president. But his hand might have been even stronger had he received a more average post-election approval bounce.

Had his net job approval — now in the low 50s — improved on the order of Bill Clinton’s in 2000 or George W. Bush’s in 2004, it would be in the high 50s or approaching 60 percent, a level he has not reached since the summer of 2009, a few months after his inauguration.

But the era of large post-election approval bounces may be receding. In the four most recent elections, the bounce narrowed in each successive cycle. It is too soon to know if this is a real trend, but in an age with more hardened partisan lines and fewer true swing voters, there may be less potential for a post-election honeymoon.

The shift in Mr. Obama’s net job approval is the second smallest — positive or negative — in 60 years, behind only Truman’s one point decline in 1952.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics election poll barackobama 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:fbf128cda879/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:election"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:poll"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:barackobama"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nationalmemo.com/tea-party-nation-still-trying-to-make-romney-president/">
    <title>The National Memo » Tea Party Nation Still Trying To Make Romney President</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-30T07:19:51+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nationalmemo.com/tea-party-nation-still-trying-to-make-romney-president/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[After President Barack Obama was re-elected with a decisive 332-206 victory in the electoral college, many prominent Republicans decided that their party needed a new strategy. Adopting extreme right-wing positions and opposing Obama on every issue, no matter how trivial, hadn’t worked; as Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal put it, the GOP must “stop being the stupid party.”

Clearly, Judson Phillips never got that message.

Phillips, the founder of Tea Party Nation, is still refusing to give up on his dream of removing President Obama from office. If the voters won’t do it for him, Phillips and his far-right allies will just have to do it themselves.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics election 2012 USA TeaParty</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://instapaper.com/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:bf9e5751d235/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:TeaParty"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/11/28/romney-is-wall-streets-worst-bet-since-the-bet-on-subprime/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>‘Romney is Wall Street’s worst bet since the bet on subprime’</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-29T05:58:17+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/11/28/romney-is-wall-streets-worst-bet-since-the-bet-on-subprime/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Ezra Klein: You’ve written about the revolt of the very rich against President Obama, and all the money they spent and time they dedicated to defeating him. So what’s the mood in those circles now that they’ve lost?
Chrystia Freeland: There’s a great joke on Wall Street which is that the bet on Romney is Wall Street’s worst bet since the bet on subprime. But I found the hostility towards Obama astonishing. I found the commitment to getting him out astonishing. I found the absolute confidence that it would work astonishing. On that Tuesday, the big Romney backers I was talking to were sure he was going to win. They were all flying into Logan Airport for the victory party. There’s this stunned feeling of how could we be so wrong, and a feeling of alienation.
The Romney comments to his donors, for which he was roundly pounced on by Republican politicians, I think they accurately reflected the view of a lot of these money guys. It’s the continuation of this 47 percent idea. They believe that Obama has been shoring up the entitlement society, and if you give enough entitlements to enough people, they’ll vote for you.
EK: Here’s my question about those comments. Romney was promising the very rich either a huge tax cut or, if you believe he would’ve paid for every dime and dollar of his cut, protection from any tax increases. He was promising financiers that he would roll back Dodd-Frank and Sarbanex-Oxley. He was promising current seniors that he wouldn’t touch their benefit. How are these not “gifts”?
CF: Let me be clear that I’m not defending any of them. But I think the way it works — and I think Romney’s comments were very telling in this regard — there are two differences in the mind of this class. First, they’re absolutely convinced that they’re not asking for special privileges for themselves. They’re convinced that it just so happens that their self-interest coincides perfectly with the collective interest. That’s where you get this idea of the “job creators”. The view is that to seek a low tax environment or less regulation, that’s not special pleading for yourself, it’s not transactional politics. It’s that this set of rules is the most conducive to economic growth for everybody. It will grow the pie. Now, it also happens to be an incredibly convenient way of thinking. If you’ve developed an ideology that what’s good for you personally also happens to be good for everyone else, that’s quite wonderful because there’s no moral tension.
EK: You and I spoke shortly before the election for a piece I was doing on Romney’s history as a manager. These folks, too, are purportedly very data focused, very good at assimilating new information. So I find it genuinely scary that neither Romney nor his super-rich backers had any idea he was going to lose. All the polls, all the models, all the betting markets said he was likely to lose. How did a group of people who, in their jobs, have to be willing to read and respond to disappointing data convince themselves to ignore every piece of data we had?
CF: That’s the single most astonishing thing. By his own definition, Romney’s single strongest qualification to become president was analytically based, managerial excellence. And if the election campaign were the test of that, and even if you were ideologically his fan, you should think it right that he lost. Now, how could it happen? My first thought was it was also the case that all the smartest guys in the room managed to lose a lot of money in 2008 and managed to convince themselves of a set of very mistaken beliefs about where the markets where going to go. It was a lot of the same people on the wrong side of both bets.
But I find it truly mystifying. I don’t claim to have particularly unique insight. I think it could be a combination of things. One is a generic belief that in order to run for president you have to think you’re going to win. You can’t do it otherwise. A second thing, and this is not so much about the rich guys as about the Republican Party in America, I think Republicans have felt since the time of Ronald Reagan that they are the party that represents the true America, and that the Democrats might sometimes win, but it’s kind of an aberration. And when it comes to the super-rich guy dimension, and I imagine this has happened to Obama as well, when you’re a rich and powerful guy, it can make it hard to see reality, especially when you’re paying your campaign staff great salaries, as Romney was.]]></description>
<dc:subject>wallstreet politics taxes barackobama mittromney election republicans 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20397018#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa">
    <title>US home sales continue to rise</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-29T05:11:23+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20397018#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Sales of previously-owned homes in the US rose by more than expected in October, a report suggests, a sign that confidence is returning to the economy.

Sales rose by 2.1% on the previous month to an annual rate of 4.79 million, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) said.

Compared with a year earlier, sales rose by 11%.

A separate report suggested confidence among US house builders hit a six-year high in the month.

An improving jobs market and low interest rates are helping to support the housing market.

“Home sales continue to trend up and most October transactions were completed by the time [superstorm Sandy] hit, but the growing demand with limited inventory is pressuring home prices in much of the country,” said NAR economist Lawrence Yun.

The average price of a home rose to $178,600 (£112,240) in October.

The survey of house builder confidence from the National Association of Homebuilders and Wells Fargo rose to 46, up from 41 in September. A year ago, the index stood at 19. Any figure below 50 suggests negative sentiment.

“The housing market is continuing to improve,” said Patrick Newport at IHS Global Insight.

“It’s probably improving more than most economists were projecting earlier this year.”]]></description>
<dc:subject>housing economics economy usa 2012 october NationalAssociationOfRealtors</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:ea74427856e9/</dc:identifier>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/28/in-silicon-valley-technology-talent-gap-threatens-g-o-p-campaigns/">
    <title>In Silicon Valley, Technology Talent Gap Threatens G.O.P. Campaigns - NYTimes.com</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-29T04:22:03+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/28/in-silicon-valley-technology-talent-gap-threatens-g-o-p-campaigns/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[It does not require an algorithm to deduce that the sort of employees who may be willing to donate substantial money to a political campaign may also be those who would consider working for it.

Since Democrats had the support of 80 percent or 90 percent of the best and brightest minds in the information technology field, it shouldn’t be surprising that Mr. Obama’s information technology infrastructure was viewed as state-of-the-art exemplary, whereas everyone from Republican volunteers to Silicon Valley journalists have criticized Mr. Romney’s systems. Mr. Romney’s get-out-the-vote application, Project Orca, is widely viewed as having failed on Election Day, perhaps contributing to a disappointing Republican turnout.

This is not intended to absolve Mr. Romney and his campaign entirely. There were undoubtedly many bright and talented information technology professionals who worked for Mr. Romney, and who might have fielded a better product given better management.

Even if only 10 percent or 20 percent of elite information technology professionals would consider working for a Republican like Mr. Romney, this is still a reasonably large talent pool to draw from.

But Democrats are drawing from a much larger group of potential staff and volunteers in Silicon Valley.

Perhaps a different type of Republican candidate, one whose views on social policy were more in line with the tolerant and multicultural values of the Bay Area, and the youthful cultures of the leading companies here, could gather more support among information technology professionals.

Ron Paul, the libertarian-leaning Republican, raised about $42,000 from Google employees, considerably more than Mr. Romney did.]]></description>
<dc:subject>technology politics statistics election 2012 republicans barackobama mittromney google ibm intel apple amazon.com business democrats</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/28/jon-huntsman-republican-primary-2012_n_2206336.html?1354137196">
    <title>Jon Huntsman: GOP Primary Barriers To Entry Were 'Pretty Damn Low'</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-29T04:10:05+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/28/jon-huntsman-republican-primary-2012_n_2206336.html?1354137196</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[In an interview with The Huffington Post, Huntsman laid out his vision for the Republican Party going forward. He called for neo-conservatism to be sidelined, for states' rights on issues like gay marriage to be respected, for comprehensive immigration reform to be pursued. He also said the party had to be open to compromise, including on the idea of raising marginal tax rates (as a last resort).

His sharpest words were directed not to the future of the GOP but at the not-so-distant past. Huntsman described the Republican primary process as corrosive, producing pledge-signing, cookie-cutter candidates more interested in money and publicity than policy. Recalling one particular debate, Huntsman described the sensation he felt observing his fellow White House aspirants.

"Some do it professionally. Some were entertainers," he said of the Republican presidential field. "I looked down the debate stage, and half of them were probably on Fox contracts at one point in their career. You do that. You write some books. You go out and you sell some more. You get a radio gig or a TV gig out of it or something. And it's like, you say to yourself, the barriers of entry to this game are pretty damn low."

He chuckled a bit when reminded that a pizza conglomerate, in the person of Herman Cain, had led the Iowa caucus polls at one point. "It wasn't a period where rational thinking or any kind of commitment to reality or truth or optimism necessarily prevailed," Huntsman said. "It was how can you eviscerate the opposition."

The process engulfed him too. During one such debate in August 2011, Huntsman joined the chorus of opposition to a hypothetical deficit-reduction deal that had $10 of spending cuts for every $1 in revenue hikes. It was, he said now, "pretty much the low point of [my] campaign."

"That was my first debate I had ever attended in an auditorium of revved-up partisans," he said. "They had already dinged me up once on civil unions. Four people in the back had clapped for my answer. And I thought it was a completely nongermane question. ... They give you three seconds to respond, and you get to thinking, 'OK, I've never raised taxes in my career. I delivered the largest tax cut in the history of the state of Utah. ... Do I want to go out and have to defend my tax policy now because of this possible misfire?' So all that goes through your head in about three seconds."

More than 15 months later, Huntsman openly embraces a balanced deficit deal. He wants comprehensive tax reform alongside entitlement reform, something in the vein of Simpson-Bowles. But as part of the negotiating process, he's not willing to shut the door entirely on raising tax rates for the wealthy.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics election 2012 republicans taxes immigration usa JonHuntsmanJr</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/post/lets-hope-the-austerity-crisis-is-holding-back-business-spending/2012/11/27/ca3cd6f6-38a5-11e2-9258-ac7c78d5c680_blog.html?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>Let's hope the austerity crisis is holding back business spending</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-28T03:51:57+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/post/lets-hope-the-austerity-crisis-is-holding-back-business-spending/2012/11/27/ca3cd6f6-38a5-11e2-9258-ac7c78d5c680_blog.html?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said last week that 2013 could be a "very good year" if the fiscal cliff fears are addressed constructively. There is something to that forecast: Housing is already recovering and is poised to add meaningfully to growth in 2013 for the first time in seven years. Consumers have made considerable progress in paying down debts and righting their balance sheets, so their spending is poised to remain steady or rise further. State and local governments are largely through with their steep cutbacks in spending, which has been a drag on growth since 2010.

In other words, the stars would seem to be aligned for a pretty good year, as Bernanke suggested. But all that assumes that business spending isn't poised to become a drag on the economy, counteracting some of those positives. For that to be the case, it would be a great help if the falloff in the corporate sector is overwhelmingly a creation of government uncertainty, and not something more fundamental.

Already there are some positive signs that offer some hope that business investment is not collapsing, even with the fiscal cliff risks. While core capital goods shipments were down in October, orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft were up 1.7 percent, reversing weakness in the previous couple of months. The great hope for 2013 is that this is a better indication of the underlying optimism at the nation's major businesses than the tone of gloom and worry that hung over the last earnings season.]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa economics economy 2012 2013 federalreserve stastistics</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/11/27/romney_at_47_percent.html">
    <title>Romney at 47 Percent</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-28T03:32:49+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/11/27/romney_at_47_percent.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[It seemed only fair to Mitt Romney to wait on this one. His share of the popular vote, which stuck around 49 percent on election night, continued to fall as votes came in. Last week Greg Sargent rang the alarm, warning/gloating that Romney might sink below 47.5 percent of the vote. Yesterday, Aaron Blake announced Romney’s arrival at 47.4 percent, and started rounding down. I gave the guy more time. But now, via David Wasserman’s invaluable chart, we can make it official: Romney is down to 47.43 percent of the vote, making it impossible to round up. He is the 47 percent.

Other mostly random factoids:

- Obama’s margin over Romney is up to 4.4 million votes.

- There’s no state where the margin between Romney and Obama could have been erased by a switch of third party votes. Florida comes close, but the margin is about 15,000 votes greater than the total vote for all third parties.

- The effect of GOTV efforts is sizable, worth millions of votes. Overall, in swing states targeted by both campaigns, the raw vote decreased by only 0.22 percent. In other states, it fell by 4.34 percent. (The outlier in this latter group: Utah, up 6.12 percent for the first election with a Mormon candidate.*

*Not counting Joseph Smith’s first campaign.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics republicans election democrats 2012 MittRomney</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://instapaper.com/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20096380#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa">
    <title>US economic growth up sharply</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-24T22:27:12+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20096380#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The US economy grew more than expected in the three months to September, official figures showed.

The world’s largest economy expanded at an annualised rate of 2% in the third quarter, the Commerce Department said.

The jump was partly due to a large increase in government spending.

The figures are one of the last pieces of important economic data before the US presidential election between Barack Obama and his challenger Mitt Romney on 6 November.

Federal government expenditures and gross investment increased 9.6% compared with the previous quarter, while national defence spending rose by 13%. The Commerce Department said there was a jump in personal consumption as well.

A drought in the US, which was the worst for 50 years, cut farm output and took 0.4 percentage points off the GDP figures, the Commerce Department said.

With more than 20 million Americans unemployed and a huge public deficit, the economy has become one of the central issues of the campaign.

The US has now been growing for more than three years, since June 2009.]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa economy economics statistics 2012</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/A8aptCHCAAAWyqx.png:large">
    <title>Untitled (https://pbs.twimg.com/media/A8aptCHCAAAWyqx.png:large)</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-24T00:49:30+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://pbs.twimg.com/media/A8aptCHCAAAWyqx.png:large</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[RT @rich1: This chart showing how much 2012 is an outlier for temperatures is terrifying. #GlobalWarming ]]></description>
<dc:subject>climate climatechange statistics research science 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://twitter.com/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/03/bonus_quote_of_the_day.html">
    <title>Bonus Quote of the Day</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-15T10:31:46+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/03/bonus_quote_of_the_day.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["If you hadn't had the storm, there would have been more of a chance for the Romney campaign to talk about the deficit, the debt, the economy. There was a stutter in the campaign. When you have attention drawn away to somewhere else, to something else, it is not to his advantage."

-- Karl Rove, in an interview with the Washington Post.]]></description>
<dc:subject>HurricaneSandy mittromney karlrove politics election 2012 usa</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/nov/09/obama-second-term-soaring-rhetoric-lame-duck">
    <title>President Obama’s second term: from soaring rhetoric to lame duck - Paul Harris</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-13T03:17:10+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/nov/09/obama-second-term-soaring-rhetoric-lame-duck</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Many two-term presidents from both sides of the American political divide, such as Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan, are far more remembered for their first terms. Obama, too, is hindered by the fact that his share of the vote in 2012 – unlike Clinton and Reagan when they won re-election – has actually gone down from his first election victory.Indeed, to the disappointment of liberal hopes, that is typical for many modern presidents in their second terms. Historically, they have been more troubled than first terms, achieving less and seeing presidential authority beginning to leak away almost as soon they win re-election. Said Bowler:

“They get very ‘lame duck’ as they go on.”]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics barackobama election 2012 history usa congress</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.tnr.com/blog/electionate/110039/the-gop-has-problems-white-voters-too">
    <title>Big Ideas Live Here</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-13T02:55:57+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.tnr.com/blog/electionate/110039/the-gop-has-problems-white-voters-too</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[These states aren’t exactly representative of white voters elsewhere, but the big picture is about right: outside of the South, Romney ran behind Bush among white voters, but he made up for it in Appalachia and the rest of the South. ]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics demographics usa election statistics republicans 2012 democrats</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.theatlantic.com/sexes/archive/2012/11/why-demographics-cant-fully-predict-how-people-vote/265016/">
    <title>Why Demographics Can't Fully Predict How People Vote - Philip Cohen - The Atlantic</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-13T02:35:16+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.theatlantic.com/sexes/archive/2012/11/why-demographics-cant-fully-predict-how-people-vote/265016/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><dc:subject>demographics politics republicans voting statistics election 2012 democrats</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/12/turnout-steady-in-swing-states-and-down-in-others-but-many-votes-remain-uncounted/">
    <title>Turnout Steady in Swing States and Down in Others, But Many Votes Remain Uncounted - NYTimes.com</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-13T02:28:45+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/12/turnout-steady-in-swing-states-and-down-in-others-but-many-votes-remain-uncounted/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Still, it is likely that at least some of the split in turnout patterns will remain intact once all ballots are in.

Competitive states generally turn out voters at slightly higher rates than noncompetitive ones. But as the list of swing states narrows, and as the campaigns become increasingly effective at aiming their resources toward them, the discrepancies may widen in the coming years.

Americans outside the battleground states, knowing that their votes will make little difference in the Electoral College, may become less likely to vote at all]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics election 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:55b03080a108/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:2012"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://maddowblog.msnbc.com/_news/2012/11/10/15073187-this-week-in-god">
    <title>This Week in God</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-13T01:45:22+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://maddowblog.msnbc.com/_news/2012/11/10/15073187-this-week-in-god</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[There’s a fair amount of interesting data here, though the results among Roman Catholic voters are arguably the most electorally significant. In every recent cycle, Catholics have been considered a key swing constituency, particularly throughout Midwest battleground states, and President Obama narrowly won their support, 50% to 48%. It suggests Republicans’ efforts to focus on contraception and reproductive rights had limited success, and the Bishops’ lobbying largely fell on deaf ears.

Also note, while many on the right hoped 2012 would be the year that Jewish voters abandoned Democrats, that didn’t come close to happening. Though Obama fared slightly worse among Jewish voters as compared to 2008, he still enjoyed overwhelming support.

For the purposes of classification, “Other faiths” became a catch-all for a variety of minority religious traditions — Muslims, Hindus, Buddhists, Sikhs, and others — which on their own represent a very small percentage of the voting population. Their support for the GOP remains dismal.

And continue to keep an eye on the religiously unaffiliated — one of the fastest growing segments of the faith population — which includes atheists, agnostics, and theists who choose not to associate with any specific tradition. Their lopsided support for Obama reinforces yet another demographic problem for Republicans in the coming years.]]></description>
<dc:subject>religion politics election 2012 republicans catholic democrats</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:2f16d34dcab7/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:election"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:catholic"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:democrats"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2012/11/the_new_math_1.php?ref=fpblg">
    <title>The New Math | TPM Editors Blog</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-12T20:21:02+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2012/11/the_new_math_1.php?ref=fpblg</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[A number of TPM Readers have written in this morning saying, “Josh, how can you of all people be surprised that Republicans or at least Republican pollsters had created their own alternative numbers reality (or in Megan Kelly’s now immortal words, “Math you do as a Republican to make yourself feel better”) that wasn’t completely cut off from reality.”

To which I would say, good point, I guess. I’ve been making some version of this argument — as have many others — since early in the Bush administration. And we can see threads of it in the increasing conservative hostility to science. But it’s one thing to see these things in general, another quite this up close in particular. And not just in particular, but about something so concrete and critical for political peoples’ survival. What I mean is, having watched this game for a long time, every politico knows you need good private polling. Enough of the BS, in private you need good poll numbers. And yet this didn’t happen. And as I suggested last night it actually appears the Unskewed Polling Movement began inside the Romney campaign rather than them picking it up from the premier media unskewers.

So in a sense, we shouldn’t be surprised. Let’s not also pretend that what happened in polling is pervasive across all conservative thinking everywhere. But still, it’s disturbing, genuinely disturbing.

Let’s create our own science, our own cable news channel, our own media! We’ll never have to worry about liberal bias again! What could go wrong?]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics usa republicans poll science logic election 2012</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://thinkprogress.org/election/2012/11/12/1177841/texas-megachurch-pastor-obamas-re-election-will-lead-to-reign-of-the-antichrist/?mobile=nc">
    <title>Texas Megachurch Pastor: Obama's Re-election Will Lead To 'Reign Of The Antichrist' | ThinkProgress</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-12T18:24:15+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://thinkprogress.org/election/2012/11/12/1177841/texas-megachurch-pastor-obamas-re-election-will-lead-to-reign-of-the-antichrist/?mobile=nc</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Texas Megachurch pastor and former Rick Perry supporter Robert Jeffress predicted on the Sunday before Election Day that President Obama’s re-election “would lead to the reign of the Antichrist” in the United States:
“I want you to hear me tonight, I am not saying that President Obama is the Antichrist, I am not saying that at all. One reason I know he’s not the Antichrist is the Antichrist is going to have much higher poll numbers when he comes,” said Jeffress.
“President Obama is not the Antichrist. But what I am saying is this: the course he is choosing to lead our nation is paving the way for the future reign of the Antichrist.”
Jeffress added that “it is time for Christians to stand up and to push back against this evil that is overtaking our nation” and to do so via “the ballot box.”
The pastor last stirred controversy in 2011, when he implied that Christians shouldn’t vote for Mitt Romney because Mormonism is a “cult.” “As evangelical Christians, we understand that Mormonism is not Christianity,” he said at the Values Voters Summit in October. “The decision for evangelical Christians right now is going to be do we prefer someone who is truly a believer in Jesus Christ or someone…who is a part of a cult.” During the same interview, Jeffers insisted that “70 percent of the gay population” has AIDS.
Romney ended up winning white evangelicals by “essentially the same percentage (79 percent) that he won Mormons (78 percent).”]]></description>
<dc:subject>religion christianity politics election 2012 mittromney barackobama</dc:subject>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:mittromney"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.theamericanconservative.com/romney-and-the-dsouza-doctrine/">
    <title>Romney and the D’Souza Doctrine | The American Conservative</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-12T15:55:44+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.theamericanconservative.com/romney-and-the-dsouza-doctrine/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[But here’s the most offensive part of Romney’s floundering shtick: In propounding these inflammatory talking points, he echoes the sentiments of none other than Dinesh D’Souza, whose “2016: Obama’s America” propaganda “documentary” has become a smash hit at the box office. The central theme of D’Souza’s film is that deep-down, Obama harbors seething hatred for America, and thus his presidency has been designed to bring about its downfall by a host of surreptitious means. It’s a revolting hour-and-a-half of cinema, targeted at the most angst-ridden and pliable Americans looking for answers–Americans who in turn have certainly provided Mr. D’Souza with a sizable financial reward.

More importantly, however, the film perpetuates this bizarre conspiracy theory that Obama is some kind of radical “Manchurian Candidate” whose agenda–as Romney put it–is “foreign,” and who poses such an imminent danger to Americans’ way of life that he must be replaced at all costs in November. Lacking any coherent critique of the past four years, nor any positive platform of his own, Romney has now adopted this line of argument–a line which was once relegated to the ugly Internet fringes.]]></description>
<dc:subject>mittromney politics election republicans birther usa 2012 barackobama</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/83709.html">
    <title>Grover Norquist: Romney was ‘poopy head’</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-12T15:15:19+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/83709.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Grover Norquist on Monday described Mitt Romney as a “poopy head” as the anti-tax crusader tried to strip President Barack Obama of any mandate.

“The president was elected on the basis that he was not Romney and that Romney was a poopy-head and you should vote against Romney,” Norquist said on CBS’s “This Morning.” “[Obama] won by two points, but he didn’t make the case for higher taxes and higher spending. He kind of sounded like the opposite.”

The president campaigned for reelection on ending the Bush-era tax cuts for incomes above $250,000, and has said he would veto any extension of those rates, which would likely be part of any deal to avert the fiscal cliff. Obama also said tax hikes would be needed as part of a “balanced” approach to deficit reduction, which would include spending cuts.

But during a series of appearance on morning TV shows, Norquist, the leader of Americans for Tax Reform, tried to put the brakes on any deal that would include tax rate increases. At one point, he mischaracterized Obama’s positions.

“Obama is not interested in taxing the rich,” Norquist said on CBS. “He admits there’s no money there. He runs a $6.7 trillion debt assuming he raises taxes on high-income people.”

Norquist said Obama actually wanted to target the middle class with energy taxes.

Earlier this year, Obama proposed a rule named after investor Warren Buffett, which would require the rich to pay more in taxes.

Norquist also defended the group’s anti-tax pledge and made his case that boosting rates wouldn’t address the bigger issue facing Washington policymakers: out-of-control spending.]]></description>
<dc:subject>GroverNorquist taxes election politics 2012 budget mittromney barackobama republicans congress</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/11/opinion/sunday/dowd-romney-is-president.html?smid=tw-share">
    <title>Romney Is President</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-12T02:14:32+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/11/opinion/sunday/dowd-romney-is-president.html?smid=tw-share</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Team Romney has every reason to be shellshocked. Its candidate, after all, resoundingly won the election of the country he was wooing.

Mitt Romney is the president of white male America.

Maybe the group can retreat to a man cave in a Whiter House, with mahogany paneling, brown leather Chesterfields, a moose head over the fireplace, an elevator for the presidential limo, and one of those men’s club signs on the phone that reads: “Telephone Tips: ‘Just Left,’ 25 cents; ‘On His Way,’ 50 cents; ‘Not here,’ $1; ‘Who?’ $5.”

In its delusional death spiral, the white male patriarchy was so hard core, so redolent of country clubs and Cadillacs, it made little effort not to alienate women. The election had the largest gender gap in the history of the Gallup poll, with Obama winning the vote of single women by 36 percentage points.

As W.’s former aide Karen Hughes put it in Politico on Friday, “If another Republican man says anything about rape other than it is a horrific, violent crime, I want to personally cut out his tongue.”

Some Republicans conceded they were “a ‘Mad Men’ party in a ‘Modern Family’ world” (although “Mad Men” seems too louche for a candidate who doesn’t drink or smoke and who apparently dated only one woman). They also acknowledged that Romney’s strategists ran a 20th-century campaign against David Plouffe’s 21st-century one.

But the truth is, Romney was an unpalatable candidate. And shocking as it may seem, his strategists weren’t blowing smoke when they said they were going to win; they were just clueless.

Until now, Republicans and Fox News have excelled at conjuring alternate realities. But this time, they made the mistake of believing their fake world actually existed. As Fox’s Megyn Kelly said to Karl Rove on election night, when he argued against calling Ohio for Obama: “Is this just math that you do as a Republican to make yourself feel better?”

Romney and Tea Party loonies dismissed half the country as chattel and moochers who did not belong in their “traditional” America. But the more they insulted the president with birther cracks, the more they tried to force chastity belts on women, and the more they made Hispanics, blacks and gays feel like the help, the more these groups burned to prove that, knitted together, they could give the dead-enders of white male domination the boot.

The election about the economy also sounded the death knell for the Republican culture wars.

Romney was still running in an illusory country where husbands told wives how to vote, and the wives who worked had better get home in time to cook dinner. But in the real country, many wives were urging husbands not to vote for a Brylcreemed boss out of a ’50s boardroom whose party was helping to revive a 50-year-old debate over contraception.

Just like the Bushes before him, Romney tried to portray himself as more American than his Democratic opponent. But America’s gallimaufry wasn’t knuckling under to the gentry this time.

If 2008 was about exalting the One, 2012 was about the disenchanted Democratic base deciding: “We are the Ones we’ve been waiting for.”

Last time, Obama lifted up the base with his message of hope and change; this time the base lifted up Obama, with the hope he will change. He has not led the Obama army to leverage power, so now the army is leading Obama.

When the first African-American president was elected, his supporters expected dramatic changes. But Obama feared that he was such a huge change for the country to digest, it was better if other things remained status quo. Michelle played Laura Petrie, and the president was dawdling on promises. Having Joe Biden blurt out his support for gay marriage forced Obama’s hand.

The president’s record-high rate of deporting illegal immigrants infuriated Latinos. Now, on issues from loosening immigration laws to taxing the rich to gay rights to climate change to legalizing pot, the country has leapt ahead, pulling the sometimes listless and ruminating president by the hand, urging him to hurry up.

More women voted than men. Five women were newly elected to the Senate, and the number of women in the House will increase by at least three. New Hampshire will be the first state to send an all-female delegation to Congress. Live Pink or Dye.

Meanwhile, as Bill Maher said, “all the Republican men who talked about lady parts during the campaign, they all lost.”

The voters anointed a lesbian senator, and three new gay congressmen will make a total of five in January. Plus, three states voted to legalize same-sex marriage. Chad Griffin, the president of the Human Rights Campaign, told The Washington Post’s Ned Martel that gays, whose donations helped offset the Republican “super PACs,” wanted to see an openly gay cabinet secretary and an openly gay ambassador to a G-20 nation.

Bill O’Reilly said Obama’s voters wanted “stuff.” He was right. They want Barry to stop bogarting the change.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics feminism gender election 2012 republicans mittromney barackobama democrats</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/11/08/15024793-the-last-days-of-romneyland?lite">
    <title>The last days of Romneyland - First Read</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-11T00:47:14+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/11/08/15024793-the-last-days-of-romneyland?lite</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[In conversations on Wednesday, aides were generally wistful, not angry, at how the campaign ended. Most, like their boss, truly believed the campaign’s now almost comically inaccurate models, and that a victory was well within their grasp.

(Outside Republicans and donors are another story. Some are angry over what they felt was an overly rosy picture painted by the campaign, and at what amounts to the loss of their investment.)

Yesterday afternoon, campaign manager Matt Rhoades thanked the staff in one last meeting at the campaign’s Boston HQ, as did Romney and his wife, Ann.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics election USA 2012 MittRomney</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://instapaper.com/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.forbes.com/sites/helaineolen/2012/11/08/mitt-romneys-campaign-cancels-staffers-credit-cards-in-the-middle-of-the-night/">
    <title>Mitt Romney's Campaign Cancels Staffers' Credit Cards In The Middle Of The Night - Forbes</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-11T00:34:26+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.forbes.com/sites/helaineolen/2012/11/08/mitt-romneys-campaign-cancels-staffers-credit-cards-in-the-middle-of-the-night/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The next time you have the misfortune of hearing a Wall Street titan or other one-percenter whine about how their trickle-down contributions are not appreciated by the masses remember this tidbit, courtesy of Garrett Haake at NBC:

From the moment Mitt Romney stepped off stage Tuesday night, having just delivered a brief concession speech he wrote only that evening, the massive infrastructure surrounding his campaign quickly began to disassemble itself.

Aides taking cabs home late that night got rude awakenings when they found the credit cards linked to the campaign no longer worked.

In case you are wondering, this did not have to happen. The Mitt Romney for President entity does not end with Romney’s Tuesday night loss. There are papers to be filed with various federal commissions and bills to be paid ….]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics election 2012 MittRomney USA</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://instapaper.com/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/10/ryan_lost_his_hometown_badly.html">
    <title>Ryan Lost His Hometown Badly</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-10T20:25:14+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/10/ryan_lost_his_hometown_badly.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Even though Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) won re-election at the same time he was on the national ticket, the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel notes he was crushed in his hometown of Janesville, WI by challenger Rob Zerban (D), 55% to 44%. Ryan had never lost Janesville in a re-election campaign before.

In addition, the Obama-Biden ticket defeated Romney-Ryan ticket in Janesville by a whopping 25 points, 62% to 37%.

"The drop-off from the Ryan congressional vote to the Romney-Ryan presidential vote was much larger in Janesville (7.2 points) than it was in the rest of the congressional district (3 points). Put another way, there were more Ryan ticket-splitters in Janesville than other places: people who voted for Ryan for Congress but against Ryan for vice president."
]]></description>
<dc:subject>PaulRyan politics election mittromney 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:671e970490cf/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/obama-wins-florida-topping-romney-in-final-electoral-vote-tally-332-to-206/2012/11/10/a5600f7c-2b5f-11e2-aaa5-ac786110c486_story.html?tid=sm_twitter_washingtonpost">
    <title>President Barack Obama wins Florida, topping Romney in final electoral vote tally 332 to 206 - The Washington Post</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-10T18:34:22+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/obama-wins-florida-topping-romney-in-final-electoral-vote-tally-332-to-206/2012/11/10/a5600f7c-2b5f-11e2-aaa5-ac786110c486_story.html?tid=sm_twitter_washingtonpost</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[President Barack Obama was declared the winner of Florida’s 29 electoral votes Saturday, ending a four-day count with a razor-thin margin that narrowly avoided an automatic recount that would have brought back memories of 2000.

No matter the outcome, Obama had already clinched re-election and now has 332 electoral votes to Romney’s 206.]]></description>
<dc:subject>barackobama politics mittromney election florida voting 2012</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://blogmaverick.com/2012/11/08/fox-news-should-watch-dancing-with-the-stars/">
    <title>Fox News Should Watch Dancing with the Stars « blog maverick</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-09T02:54:23+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://blogmaverick.com/2012/11/08/fox-news-should-watch-dancing-with-the-stars/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Like Art Bell, Fox made you believe that a Romney win was all but assured.  In the last couple days it was all they focused on.  We got this. Here is the proof. Here are people you trust telling you that its the truth.

But Fox had two huge problems. THe first was that there audience was far, far bigger than MSNBC or the other networks. They were the biggest during the debates. They were the biggest time and again leading up to election day. You would think that was great for Governor Romney. Right ?

Wrong.

THe 2nd huge problem for Fox and as a result Governor Romney is that they didn’t know the Dancing with the Stars bottom two principle. You would think that when one of the couples on DWTS is in the bottom two, thats a horrible sign.  It must mean they are close to elimination. Not for couples with a large voting base. When you have a large voting base and find yourself in the bottom two, your voting base recognizes that you are at risk of losing. Because they want you to stay on the show and voting counts as much as the dancing, they will step up and vote and keep you on the show until you find yourself up against couples that have a bigger voting base than you.

So what does this have to do with Fox and the Presidential election ?

I truly believe that supporters of Romney that watched Fox News thought it was a no brainer and that Gov Romney would win. Living in Texas I was around a lot of Romney supporters on Tuesday night who had no doubt that Gov Romney would win. None.

On the flipside, MSNBC doesn’t have the audience or do as good a job at branding issues as Fox News.  Fox News viewers take to hear what MSNBC viewers don’t.  When President Obama’s team reached out to minorities , women and others who felt threatened, it was easy to convey to them that they were the underdog. That no one thinks they can win. That they could make a difference.

And they did.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics media journalism ethics foxnews mittromney election 2012</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/08/us/politics/little-to-show-for-cash-flood-by-big-donors.html?pagewanted=all">
    <title>Little to Show for Cash Flood by Big Donors - NYTimes.com</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-09T02:49:10+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/08/us/politics/little-to-show-for-cash-flood-by-big-donors.html?pagewanted=all</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[“All I can say is the American people have spoken,” said Kenneth Langone, the founder of Home Depot and one of Mr. Romney’s top fund-raisers, briskly plucking off his hat and settling into a couch.

The biggest single donor in political history, the casino billionaire Sheldon Adelson, mingled with other Romney backers at a postelection breakfast, fresh off a large gamble gone bad. Of the eight candidates he supported with tens of millions of dollars in contributions to “super PACs,” none were victorious on Tuesday.

And as calls came in on Wednesday from some of the donors who had poured more than $300 million into the pair of big-spending outside groups founded in part by Karl Rove — perhaps the leading political entrepreneur of the super PAC era — he offered them a grim upside: without us, the race would not have been as close as it was.

The most expensive election in American history drew to a close this week with a price tag estimated at more than $6 billion, propelled by legal and regulatory decisions that allowed wealthy donors to pour record amounts of cash into races around the country.

But while outside spending affected the election in innumerable ways — reshaping the Republican presidential nominating contest, clogging the airwaves with unprecedented amounts of negative advertising and shoring up embattled Republican incumbents in the House — the prizes most sought by the emerging class of megadonors remained outside their grasp. President Obama will return to the White House in January, and the Democrats have strengthened their lock on the Senate.

The election’s most lavishly self-financed candidate fared no better. Linda E. McMahon, a Connecticut Republican who is a former professional wrestling executive, spent close to $100 million — nearly all of it her own money — on two races for the Senate, conceding defeat on Tuesday for the second time in three years.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics election 2012 transparency usa government regulation</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.boston.com/politicalintelligence/2012/11/08/mitt-romney-planned-boston-harbor-fireworks-show-that-was-scotched-election-loss/qmgtVKPq4zNnDyb9FbLWeJ/story.html">
    <title>Mitt Romney planned Boston Harbor fireworks show that was scotched by election loss - Boston.com</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-09T02:15:25+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.boston.com/politicalintelligence/2012/11/08/mitt-romney-planned-boston-harbor-fireworks-show-that-was-scotched-election-loss/qmgtVKPq4zNnDyb9FbLWeJ/story.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Mitt Romney had planned to celebrate his election as the nationâs 45th president with an eight-minute fireworks display over Boston Harbor.

The same company that does some of the illuminations for Bostonâs Fourth of July celebration was poised to ignite fireworks within view of Romneyâs party at the Boston Convention & Exhibition Center to celebrate a win over President Obama.

A permit filed with the City of Boston said the detonation could occur any time between 7 p.m. Tuesday, just after the first polls closed, and 12:30 a.m. Wednesday, which ended up being just before Romney conceded the race.

Instead, Atlas Professional Fireworks Displays unloaded the pyrotechnics from mortars set up on a barge near the Bank of America Pavilion and carted them back to its headquarters in Jaffrey, N.H.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics mittromney usa election 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/11/08/cbo-letting-upper-income-tax-cuts-expire-would-barely-hurt-economy/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>CBO: Letting upper-income tax cuts expire would barely hurt economy</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-09T02:03:14+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/11/08/cbo-letting-upper-income-tax-cuts-expire-would-barely-hurt-economy/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The above shows how big each policy is as a share of the total impact of the cliff. Some policies are more important on the budget side than the GDP side. Letting the high-income Bush tax cuts lapse, for example, generates $42 billion in 2013 but hardly hurts GDP at all. By contrast, the defense cuts amount to $24 billion but hurts growth by 0.4 percent — quadruple the high-income cuts’ impact.
The report also drives home how much the cliff is a tax phenomenon. The sequester makes up less than 13 percent of the total deficit reduction the cliff accomplishes. The other 87 percent, except for the expiration of the unemployment insurance extension, is all tax increases: income, estate and capital gains increases from not renewing the Bush-era tax cuts, payroll tax increases from letting those cuts expire, and expiring stimulus tax credits (included in the payroll/unemployment insurance category in the above chart).
The CBO has predicted before that the nation would fall into recession if the fiscal cliff is not averted before the end of the year, when automatic spending cuts and tax increases would go into effect.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics economy taxes government budget usa congress 2012</dc:subject>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20254604">
    <title>BBC News - US trade deficit falls to near two-year low</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-09T01:33:38+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20254604</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The US trade deficit has fallen to its lowest level in almost two years, as exports reached an all-time high, official figures have shown.

The deficit in goods and services narrowed to $41.5bn (£26bn) in September, raising hopes of increased strength in the US economy.

The figure was 5.1% lower than August's $43.8bn deficit and the lowest since December 2010.

Exports rose 3.1% to $187bn, driven by sales of aircraft and heavy machinery.

Imports also increased in September, rising 1.5% to $228.5bn, led by consumer goods, clothing and toys.

The trade deficit with China widened to $29.1bn, from $28.7bn in August, the latest monthly data from the Commerce Department showed.

Recent figures from the US have suggested that the economy is picking up speed.]]></description>
<dc:subject>usa economy 2012 exports trade politics</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://news.yahoo.com/analysis--why-mitt-romney-may-have-taken-so-long-to-concede.html">
    <title>Analysis: Why Mitt Romney may have taken so long to concede</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-08T07:05:28+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://news.yahoo.com/analysis--why-mitt-romney-may-have-taken-so-long-to-concede.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Had Project ORCA succeeded, it would have been lauded as the ultimate voter-turnout tool. But the expected long-drawn-out fight had been called well before midnight East Coast time by several networks, including Fox News. It would take an additional 90 minutes or so before the challenger conceded at 12:55 a.m., but the shock still lingered not only over the loss, but also over Orca’s failings.

Some Romney aides were surprised, too, especially since they had put an enormous amount of effort into tracking the hour-by-hour whims of the electorate. In recent weeks the campaign came up with a super-secret, super-duper vote-monitoring system that was dubbed Project Orca. … Early in the evening, one aide said that, as of 4 p.m., Orca still projected a Romney victory of somewhere between 290 and 300 electoral votes. Obviously that didn’t happen. Later, another aide said Orca had pretty much crashed in the heat of the action. ‘Somebody said Orca is lying on the beach with a harpoon in it,’ said the aide. (Nov. 7, Washington Examiner)
The analyses of why Romney lost are already in full gear. Somewhere in that postmortem will be a prolonged debugging session.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics election information mittromney 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:11ee74a344de/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/07/us/politics/senate-races.html?ref=politics">
    <title>Democrats Keep Control of the Senate - NYTimes.com</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-08T06:51:29+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/07/us/politics/senate-races.html?ref=politics</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Democrats snatched Republican Senate seats in Indiana and Massachusetts on Tuesday, averted what once were considered likely defeats in Missouri, North Dakota and Montana, and expanded their control of the Senate, handing Republicans a string of stinging defeats for the second campaign season in a row.

With the concession of Representative Rick Berg, Republican of North Dakota, to Heidi Heitkamp, a Democrat, in the last outstanding Senate race, Democrats secured 55 seats, assuming independent former Gov. Angus King of Maine sides with them next year. That is a two-seat gain from the current Senate balance of power, a remarkable outcome for a Senate fight that was once expected to end with a Republican majority.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics congress election 2012 senate usa \</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/07/romneys_transition_site.html">
    <title>Romney's Transition Site</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-08T06:44:37+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/07/romneys_transition_site.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[It appears Mitt Romney's campaign prepared a transition site in the event that he won. ]]></description>
<dc:subject>mittromney politics election 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:f6398758da70/</dc:identifier>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/11/christie-lashes-knownothing-disgruntled-romney-aides-148645.html">
    <title>Christie lashes ‘know-nothing, disgruntled’ Romney aides</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-08T05:04:27+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/11/christie-lashes-knownothing-disgruntled-romney-aides-148645.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[After HuffPo’s Jon Ward last night quoted a Mitt Romney campaign source, complaining that Chris Christie hadn’t taken time to come to their rally in Pennsylvania, about 20 miles from the Trenton statehouse, on Sunday night, a Christie source told me that Romney had been personally told shortly after the storm that Christie couldn’t travel because of the devastation in his state]]></description>
<dc:subject>mittromney politics HurricaneSandy chrischristie election 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://entertainment.time.com/2012/11/07/election-watch-karl-rove-vs-the-arithmetic/">
    <title>Election Watch: Karl Rove Vs. the Arithmetic - TIME.com</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-08T04:52:38+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://entertainment.time.com/2012/11/07/election-watch-karl-rove-vs-the-arithmetic/</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[What is unusual–really, one of the most spectacular things I have ever seen on cable news–is for one arm of a network to basically turn against itself on-air. “Here’s what we’re going to do!” said anchor Bret Baier. “We’re going to get someone from the decision desk and we’re going to bring them in here and we’re going to have them on air and we’re going to interview them about this decision.”

That’s right: One of you nerds had better get in here and explain yourselves to Karl Rove! You have made an important Republican very upset!

As it turns out, a network decision desk is rather busy on a Presidential election night, so Fox instead had anchor Megyn Kelly walk down the hall–the camera following her in an Aaron Sorkin-style walking-and-talking shot–to interrogate the decision desk. Whose data guys, smiling uncomfortably, basically demolished Rove’s complaints. “We’re actually quite comfortable with the call,” one said. “Cleveland is overwhelmingly Democrat. As the vote comes in, we would expect the president’s margin to rise.”

It was a fitting moment for an election that often seemed to be a campaign over the idea of mathematical knowability itself. But it was also a glaring, and embarrassing, example of the extent to which Fox News has become an arm of the Republican Party and is expected by GOP operatives to behave as one. Rove may be a party big shot, but he’s just a guy giving analysis on Fox’s air. He does not run the network, even if his friends do.

And yet apparently no one in Fox’s studio felt empowered to tell him that, just because he’d raised a squillion dollars for his Republican SuperPAC this election, he is not entitled to have the decision desk hauled out to answer to him like chefs who sent out an undercooked steak. It’s the sort of thing that might cause you to examine your mission as a journalistic network. I’m not waiting up for that to happen, though.

In the end, Rove is a numbers guy too, and he finally had to concede to the arithmetic–but not before creating a defining image of a partisan, and a network, at war with the very reality it could not avoid reporting. Kelly, who at least took the whole interlude in good humor, at one point deadpanned, “That’s awkward.” Yes, it was. And kind of amazing.]]></description>
<dc:subject>media journalism foxnews karlrove politics 2012 election</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
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<item rdf:about="http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/11/rove-goes-rogue.html">
    <title>Rove Goes Rogue - The Dish</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-08T04:48:48+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/11/rove-goes-rogue.html</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Last night, Roger Ailes’ walls came tumbling down. Because their foundations were not based in reality, just ratings. Fox deserves a great deal of credit for re-electing president Obama. Because they refused to see who he actually was, they could not effectively counter him. They countered a figment of their imagination - and it was a particularly nasty, bilious, mean figment. Their universe became a black hole last night, sucking almost all of them in.]]></description>
<dc:subject>politics foxnews media journalism karlrove republicans election 2012 barackobama</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:83c33e812494/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:foxnews"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:media"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:journalism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:karlrove"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:republicans"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-11-07/women-winning-senate-races-will-set-record-in-january">
    <title>Women Winning Senate Races Will Set Record in January - Businessweek</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-07T17:28:14+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-11-07/women-winning-senate-races-will-set-record-in-january</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Women will occupy a record number of U.S. Senate seats -- roughly one in five -- in January, following historic victories in yesterday’s balloting.

As many as six women could win election to the Senate once all ballots are counted, with victors already declared in Wisconsin, Massachusetts, Hawaii and Nebraska, and races too close to call in North Dakota and Nevada. Currently, 17 women -- the most yet -- serve in the chamber, and two of them, Republicans Olympia Snowe of Maine and Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas, are retiring.

All but one of the women who prevailed at the ballot box are Democrats. They probably benefited from the momentum of President Barack Obama’s campaign and from Senate Democrats’ painting Republicans as waging a “war against women” that would limit reproductive rights, said Barbara Lee, founder and president of the Barbara Lee Family Foundation, which seeks to boost women’s representation in elective office.

At the same time, the increased numbers of women in both parties in Congress and governorships breeds more success, she said.

“The more women hold office, the more the barriers dissipate,” Lee said in an interview.

Before midnight, it was clear that the Senate would retain a record number of women, and it would be a bipartisan effort.]]></description>
<dc:subject>gender feminism congress senate politics election 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:01ec7a256314/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/t:congress"/>
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<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/11/06/i-admit-defeat-wonkblogs-june-election-model-beat-me/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">
    <title>I admit defeat: Wonkblog’s June election model beat me</title>
    <dc:date>2012-11-06T23:31:34+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/11/06/i-admit-defeat-wonkblogs-june-election-model-beat-me/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein</link>
    <dc:creator>jtyost2</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[As you can see, it’s less confident of an Obama victory than the models, but about as confident of an Obama victory as the betting markets. And, to repeat myself, the Wonkblog model is using data available months ago — long before the debates and the final rounds of ads and all the rest of it. 
Which is all to say that the model did a far better job than I did predicting where we’d be today. It also did a better job than much of the media, which spent the election anointing a new “gamechanger” almost every week, despite the fact that the game never really seemed to change. In presidential elections, the fundamentals are strong.
The model’s final test will come Wednesday (or as soon as we know the results of the election). The model predicted Obama would win 51.3 percent of the two-party vote, though it has a margin of error of about three percentage points. That’s a bit higher than what we’re seeing in the polls, but who knows? It’s been right before. And if it wins, then I, for one, will welcome our new algorithm-based overlords.]]></description>
<dc:subject>election poll politics statistics 2012</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:jtyost2/b:b22a199bed78/</dc:identifier>
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