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    <title>Pinboard (cshalizi)</title>
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    <description>recent bookmarks from cshalizi</description>
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      <rdf:Seq>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aao3580"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01621459.1948.10483278"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.jstor.org/stable/20684590?seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.00702"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctt7rgn0"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=25002"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-polisci-050317-070830"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105222"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/politics-international-relations/political-economy/warfare-wealth-military-origins-urban-prosperity-europe?format=PB&amp;isbn=9781316612590"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.ucpress.edu/book/9780520303812/deadly-quarrels?mc_cid=d39b6fa4f5&amp;mc_eid=3d88be13af"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11186-018-9305-y"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3057639"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://politybooks.com/bookdetail/?isbn=9780745645797"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://networks.h-net.org/node/3911/pages/5930/h-nationalism-interview-john-hall"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://jhupbooks.press.jhu.edu/content/revolution-and-resistance"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10638.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/E/bo20273102"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674967649"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/REST_a_00418"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.pnas.org/content/111/47/16712.abstract.html?etoc"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/law/comparative-law/warlords-strongman-governors-and-state-afghanistan?format=HB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2014/nov/06/afghanistan-shocking-indictment/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://the-toast.net/2014/06/05/german-rocket-cats-meditation/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/06/09/four-things-everyone-should-know-about-wartime-sexual-violence/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.pnas.org/content/111/6/2100.abstract"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10149.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aer.104.1.123"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/jep.27.4.165"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9963.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.cambridge.org/us/knowledge/isbn/item5562680/?site_locale=en_US"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2008.00499.x/abstract"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.chrisblattman.com/documents/research/2011.EconomicShocksAndConflict.pdf?9d7bd4"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.ucpress.edu/book.php?isbn=9780520268678"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.cambridge.org/gb/knowledge/isbn/item1151583/?site_locale=en_GB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9348.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2009/11/kaplan-civil-society-requires-perpetual-war.php"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.straightdope.com/columns/read/2877/did-soldiers-really-frag-officers-in-vietnam"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2009/0907.bergen.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://papers.nber.org/papers/w15095"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://edgeofthewest.wordpress.com/2009/04/21/a-medal-of-honor/-8932"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://edgeofthewest.wordpress.com/2009/03/20/the-propagation-of-false-news-in-wartime/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://mitpress.mit.edu/catalog/item/default.asp?ttype=2&amp;tid=10490"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://press.princeton.edu/titles/8734.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://cup.columbia.edu/book/978-0-231-70078-8/the-scientific-way-of-warfare"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.labyrinthbooks.com/sale_detail.aspx?isbn=9780521479585"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://jpr.sagepub.com/cgi/content/abstract/40/5/507"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/cup_detail.taf?ti_id=4732"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://crookedtimber.org/2008/04/30/charles-tilly/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/317/5844/1540?ijkey=S.Kb5wAK45Q5.&amp;keytype=ref&amp;siteid=sci"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/24/magazine/24afghanistan-t.html?_r=1&amp;oref=slogin&amp;pagewanted=print"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.registan.net/index.php/2007/03/16/repeating-the-past-the-failures-of-ncw/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/318/5850/636?etoc"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.sinno.com/book.htm"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://afghanistanica.com/2007/11/17/theorizing-conflict-in-afghanistan/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.press.uchicago.edu/cgi-bin/hfs.cgi/00/16135.ctl"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.poetryfoundation.org/journal/feature.html?id=180043"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.ucpress.edu/books/sale/pages/10101.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://turcopolier.typepad.com/sic_semper_tyrannis/2007/10/cortez-in-darie.html"/>
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  </channel><item rdf:about="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aao3580">
    <title>Trends and fluctuations in the severity of interstate wars | Science Advances</title>
    <dc:date>2026-06-04T15:54:36+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aao3580</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Since 1945, there have been relatively few large interstate wars, especially compared to the preceding 30 years, which included both World Wars. This pattern, sometimes called the long peace, is highly controversial. Does it represent an enduring trend caused by a genuine change in the underlying conflict-generating processes? Or is it consistent with a highly variable but otherwise stable system of conflict? Using the empirical distributions of interstate war sizes and onset times from 1823 to 2003, we parameterize stationary models of conflict generation that can distinguish trends from statistical fluctuations in the statistics of war. These models indicate that both the long peace and the period of great violence that preceded it are not statistically uncommon patterns in realistic but stationary conflict time series. This fact does not detract from the importance of the long peace or the proposed mechanisms that explain it. However, the models indicate that the postwar pattern of peace would need to endure at least another 100 to 140 years to become a statistically significant trend. This fact places an implicit upper bound on the magnitude of any change in the true likelihood of a large war after the end of the Second World War. The historical patterns of war thus seem to imply that the long peace may be substantially more fragile than proponents believe, despite recent efforts to identify mechanisms that reduce the likelihood of interstate wars."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB war kith_and_kin clauset.aaron social_measurement time_series</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e174e28da7ca/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:kith_and_kin"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:clauset.aaron"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_measurement"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:time_series"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01621459.1948.10483278">
    <title>Variation of the Frequency of Fatal Quarrels with Magnitude: Journal of the American Statistical Association: Vol 43, No 244 (1948)</title>
    <dc:date>2022-12-29T03:55:54+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01621459.1948.10483278</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["A record of wars during the interval A.D. 1820 to 1945 has been collected from the whole world, and has been classified according to the number of war-dead. The smaller incidents have been the more frequent, according to a fairly regular graph which can be extended to quarrels that caused a single death."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB heavy_tails richardson.lewis_fry violence war</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:dac87af772d0/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:heavy_tails"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:richardson.lewis_fry"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:violence"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
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<item rdf:about="https://www.jstor.org/stable/20684590?seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents">
    <title>Does Indiscriminate Violence Incite Insurgent Attacks? Evidence from Chechnya on JSTOR</title>
    <dc:date>2021-12-13T06:14:16+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.jstor.org/stable/20684590?seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>to:NB to_read causal_inference war via:henry_farrell</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:c0038c3fd650/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:causal_inference"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:henry_farrell"/>
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<item rdf:about="https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.00702">
    <title>[2103.00702] Dynamic Stochastic Blockmodel Regression for Network Data: Application to International Militarized Conflicts</title>
    <dc:date>2021-03-15T06:09:50+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.00702</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["A primary goal of social science research is to understand how latent group memberships predict the dynamic process of network evolution. In the modeling of international conflicts, for example, scholars hypothesize that membership in geopolitical coalitions shapes the decision to engage in militarized conflict. Such theories explain the ways in which nodal and dyadic characteristics affect the evolution of relational ties over time via their effects on group memberships. To aid the empirical testing of these arguments, we develop a dynamic model of network data by combining a hidden Markov model with a mixed-membership stochastic blockmodel that identifies latent groups underlying the network structure. Unlike existing models, we incorporate covariates that predict node membership in latent groups as well as the direct formation of edges between dyads. While prior substantive research often assumes the decision to engage in militarized conflict is independent across states and static over time, we demonstrate that conflict patterns are driven by states' evolving membership in geopolitical blocs. Changes in monadic covariates like democracy shift states between coalitions, generating heterogeneous effects on conflict over time and across states. The proposed methodology, which relies on a variational approximation to a collapsed posterior distribution as well as stochastic optimization for scalability, is implemented through an open-source software package."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB network_data_analysis networks_in_and_over_time war</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:70691a7e09c1/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:network_data_analysis"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:networks_in_and_over_time"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
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<item rdf:about="https://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctt7rgn0">
    <title>Heroes and Cowards: The Social Face of War on JSTOR</title>
    <dc:date>2020-01-26T18:09:46+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctt7rgn0</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>to:NB books:noted social_influence war moral_psychology downloaded</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:5630c38b7b3c/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_influence"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:moral_psychology"/>
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<item rdf:about="https://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=25002">
    <title>No Miracles: The Failure of Soviet Decision-Making in the Afghan War | Michael R. Fenzel</title>
    <dc:date>2019-05-30T23:53:34+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=25002</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["The Soviet experience in Afghanistan provides a compelling perspective on the far-reaching hazards of military intervention. In 1985, Mikhail Gorbachev decided that a withdrawal from Afghanistan should occur as soon as possible. The Soviet Union's senior leadership had become aware that their strategy was unraveling, their operational and tactical methods were not working, and the sacrifices they were demanding from the Soviet people and military were unlikely to produce the forecasted results. Despite this state of affairs, operations in Afghanistan persisted and four more years passed before the Soviets finally withdrew their military forces.
"In No Miracles, Michael Fenzel explains why and how that happened, as viewed from the center of the Soviet state. From that perspective, three sources of failure stand out: poor civil-military relations, repeated and rapid turnover of Soviet leadership, and the perception that Soviet global prestige and influence were inexorably tied to the success of the Afghan mission. Fenzel enumerates the series of misperceptions and misjudgments that led to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, tracing the hazards of their military intervention and occupation. Ultimately, he offers a cautionary tale to nation states and policymakers considering military intervention and the use of force."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB books:noted 20th_century_history ussr afghanistan war soviet-afghan_war decision-making</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7862ffdb5fa0/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:20th_century_history"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:afghanistan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:soviet-afghan_war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:decision-making"/>
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<item rdf:about="https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-polisci-050317-070830">
    <title>Climate Change and Conflict | Annual Review of Political Science</title>
    <dc:date>2019-05-26T16:58:09+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-polisci-050317-070830</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["The link between climate change and conflict has been discussed intensively in academic literature during the past decade. This review aims to provide a clearer picture of what the research community currently has to say with regard to this nexus. It finds that the literature has not detected a robust and general effect linking climate to conflict onset. Substantial agreement exists that climatic changes contribute to conflict under some conditions and through certain pathways. In particular, the literature shows that climatic conditions breed conflict in fertile grounds: in regions dependent on agriculture and in combination and interaction with other socioeconomic and political factors such as a low level of economic development and political marginalization. Future research should continue to investigate how climatic changes interact with and/or are conditioned by socioeconomic, political, and demographic settings to cause conflict and uncover the causal mechanisms that link these two phenomena."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB climate_change war</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7f1910348a14/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:climate_change"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105222">
    <title>Using Statistics to Assess Lethal Violence in Civil and Inter-State War | Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application</title>
    <dc:date>2019-05-26T16:53:49+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105222</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["What role can statistics play in assessing the patterns of lethal violence in conflict? This article highlights the evolution of statistical applications in assessing lethal violence, from the presentation of data in the Nuremberg trials to current questions around machine learning and training data. We present examples from work conducted by our organization, the Human Rights Data Analysis Group, and others, primarily researching killings in the context of civil wars and international conflict. The primary challenge we encounter in this work is the question of whether observed patterns of violence represent the true underlying pattern or are a reflection of reports of violence, which are subject to many sources of bias. This is where we find the foundations of twentieth-century statistics to be most important: Is this sample representative? What methods are best suited to reduce the bias in nonprobability samples? These questions lead us to the approaches presented here: multiple systems estimation, surveys, complete data, and the question of bias within training data for machine learning models. We close with memories of Steve Fienberg's influence on these questions and on us personally. “It's all inference,” he told us, and that insight informs our concerns about bias in data used to create historical memory and advance justice in the wake of mass violence."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB violence war war_crimes statistics</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:00acce442a15/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:violence"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war_crimes"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="https://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/politics-international-relations/political-economy/warfare-wealth-military-origins-urban-prosperity-europe?format=PB&amp;isbn=9781316612590">
    <title>Warfare wealth military origins urban prosperity europe | Political economy | Cambridge University Press</title>
    <dc:date>2018-12-14T17:16:47+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/politics-international-relations/political-economy/warfare-wealth-military-origins-urban-prosperity-europe?format=PB&amp;isbn=9781316612590</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["The economic rise of Europe over the past millennium represents a major human breakthrough. To explain this phenomenon, this book highlights a counterintuitive yet central feature of Europe's historical landscape: warfare. Historical warfare inflicted numerous costs on rural populations. Security was a traditional function of the city. To mitigate the high costs of conflict in the countryside, rural populations migrated to urban centers. Over time, the city's historical role as a safe harbor translated into local economic development through several channels, including urban political freedoms and human capital accumulation. To make this argument, the book performs a wide-ranging analysis of a novel quantitative database that spans more than one thousand years, from the fall of the Carolingian Empire to today. The book's study of urban Europe's historical path from warfare to wealth provides a new way to think about the process of long-run economic and political development."

--- I'm sure to read this, but I can't begin to see how a data set about _one_ region (i.e., Europe) can answer a question that's inherently about comparisons _across_ regions (i.e., the whole of the "Old World Oecumene").]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB books:noted economic_history war history early_modern_european_history great_transformation mother_courage_raises_the_west color_me_skeptical</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2811318d9414/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:early_modern_european_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:great_transformation"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:mother_courage_raises_the_west"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:color_me_skeptical"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://www.ucpress.edu/book/9780520303812/deadly-quarrels?mc_cid=d39b6fa4f5&amp;mc_eid=3d88be13af">
    <title>Deadly Quarrels by David Wilkinson - Paperback - University of California Press</title>
    <dc:date>2018-10-10T19:43:19+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.ucpress.edu/book/9780520303812/deadly-quarrels?mc_cid=d39b6fa4f5&amp;mc_eid=3d88be13af</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Lewis Fry Richardson was one of the first to develop the systematic study of the causes of war; yet his great war data archive, Statistics of Deadly Quarrels, posthumously published, has yet to be fully systematized and assimilated by war-causation scholars. David Wilkinson has reanalyzed Richardson's data and drawn together the results of kindred quantitative work on the causes of war, from other as well as from Richardson. He has translated this classic of international relations literature into contemporary idiom, fully and accurately presenting the substance of Richardson's idea and at the same time bringing it up to date with judicious comment, updating the references to the critical and successor literature, and dealing in some detail with Richardson himself. Professor Wilkinson lists among the findings: 1. the death toll of war is largely the product of a very few immense wars; 2. most wars do not escalate out of control, they are vey likely to be small, brief, and exclusive; 3. great powers have done most of the world's fighting, inflicting and suffering most of the casualties; 4. the propensity of any two groups to fight increases as the ethnocultural differences between them increase. Contemporary peace strategy would therefore seem to be to avoid World War III by promoting superpower detente, and reanimating, accelerating, and civilizing the process of world economic development.
"This title is part of UC Press's Voices Revived program, which commemorates University of California Press’s mission to seek out and cultivate the brightest minds and give them voice, reach, and impact. Drawing on a backlist dating to 1893, Voices Revived makes high-quality, peer-reviewed scholarship accessible once again using print-on-demand technology. This title was originally published in 1980."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB violence war heavy_tails lives_of_the_scholars books:noted</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:77e247de1f8e/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:violence"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:heavy_tails"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:lives_of_the_scholars"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11186-018-9305-y">
    <title>Have wars and violence declined? | SpringerLink</title>
    <dc:date>2018-04-17T13:36:06+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11186-018-9305-y</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["For over 150 years liberal optimism has dominated theories of war and violence. It has been repeatedly argued that war and violence either are declining or will shortly decline. There have been exceptions, especially in Germany and more generally in the first half of the twentieth century, but there has been a recent revival of such optimism, especially in the work of Azar Gat, John Mueller, Joshua Goldstein, and Steven Pinker who all perceive a long-term decline in war and violence through history, speeding up in the post-1945 period. Critiquing Pinker’s statistics on war fatalities, I show that the overall pattern is not a decline in war, but substantial variation between periods and places. War has not declined and current trends are slightly in the opposite direction. The conventional view is that civil wars in the global South have largely replaced inter-state wars in the North, but this is misleading since there is major involvement in most civil wars by outside powers, including those of the North. There is more support for their view that homicide has declined in the long-term, at least in the North of the world (with the United States lagging somewhat). This is reinforced by technological improvements in long-distance weaponry and the two transformations have shifted war, especially in the North, from being “ferocious” to “callous” in character. This renders war less visible and less central to Northern culture, which has the deceptive appearance of being rather pacific. Viewed from the South the view has been bleaker both in the colonial period and today. Globally war and violence are not declining, but they are being transformed."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB sociology history comparative_history imperialism war violence statistics mann.michael to_teach:data_over_space_and_time</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a12eadbbb6ef/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:sociology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:comparative_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:imperialism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:violence"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:mann.michael"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:data_over_space_and_time"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3057639">
    <title>Fortifications and Democracy in the Ancient Greek World by Josiah Ober, Barry R. Weingast :: SSRN</title>
    <dc:date>2017-11-06T21:39:55+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3057639</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["In the modern world, access-limiting fortification walls are not typically regarded as promoting democracy. But in Greek antiquity, increased investment in fortifications was correlated with the prevalence and stability of democracy. This paper sketches the background conditions of the Greek city-state ecology, analyzes a passage in Aristotle’s Politics, and assesses the choices of Hellenistic kings, Greek citizens, and urban elites, as modeled in a simple game. The paper explains how city walls promoted democracy and helps to explain several other puzzles: why Hellenistic kings taxed Greek cities at lower than expected rates; why elites in Greek cities supported democracy; and why elites were not more heavily taxed by democratic majorities. The relationship between walls, democracy, and taxes promoted continued economic growth into the late classical and Hellenistic period (4th-2nd centuries BCE), and ultimately contributed to the survival of Greek culture into the Roman era, and thus modernity. We conclude with a consideration of whether the walls-democracy relationship holds in modernity."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB ancient_history institutions democracy war ober.josiah via:henry_farrell</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:0deacdb9173f/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:ancient_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:institutions"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:democracy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:ober.josiah"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:henry_farrell"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://politybooks.com/bookdetail/?isbn=9780745645797">
    <title>War and Society</title>
    <dc:date>2017-06-21T17:43:25+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://politybooks.com/bookdetail/?isbn=9780745645797</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["War is a paradox. On the one hand, it destroys bodies and destroys communities. On the other hand, it is responsible for some of the strongest human bonds and has been the genesis of many of our most fundamental institutions.  
"War and Society addresses these paradoxes while providing a sociological exploration of this enigmatic phenomenon which has played a central role in human history, wielded an incredible power over human lives, and commanded intellectual questioning for countless generations. The authors offer an analytical account of the origins of war, its historical development, and its consequences for individuals and societies, adopting a comparative approach throughout. It ends with an appraisal of the contemporary role of war, looking to the future of warfare and the fundamental changes in the nature of violent conflict which we are starting to witness."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB books:noted war sociology via:gabriel_rossman</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:c4c246d5a8ec/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:sociology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:gabriel_rossman"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://networks.h-net.org/node/3911/pages/5930/h-nationalism-interview-john-hall">
    <title>H-Nationalism Interview with John Hall | H-Nationalism | H-Net</title>
    <dc:date>2016-12-13T18:13:36+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://networks.h-net.org/node/3911/pages/5930/h-nationalism-interview-john-hall</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>nationalism gellner.ernest sociology comparative_history war political_economy hall.john_a. interview via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:040d53b85eb2/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:nationalism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:gellner.ernest"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:sociology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:comparative_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:hall.john_a."/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:interview"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://jhupbooks.press.jhu.edu/content/revolution-and-resistance">
    <title>Revolution and Resistance: Moral Revolution, Military Might, and the End of Empire</title>
    <dc:date>2016-08-30T13:21:42+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://jhupbooks.press.jhu.edu/content/revolution-and-resistance</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["In this provocative history, David Tucker argues that "irregular warfare"—including terrorism, guerrilla warfare, and other insurgency tactics—is intimately linked to the rise and decline of Euro-American empire around the globe. Tracing the evolution of resistance warfare from the age of the conquistadors through the United States’ recent ventures in Afghanistan and Iraq, Revolution and Resistance demonstrates that contemporary conflicts in the Middle East, Africa, and Asia are simply the final stages in the unraveling of Euro-American imperialism.
"Tucker explores why it was so difficult for indigenous people and states to resist imperial power, which possessed superior military technology and was driven by a curious moral imperative to conquer. He also explains how native populations eventually learned to fight back by successfully combining guerrilla warfare with political warfare. By exploiting certain Euro-American weaknesses—above all, the instability created by the fading rationale for empire—insurgents were able to subvert imperialism by using its own ideologies against it. Tucker also examines how the development of free trade and world finance began to undermine the need for direct political control of foreign territory.
"Touching on Pontiac’s Rebellion of 1763, Abd el-Kader’s jihad in nineteenth-century Algeria, the national liberation movements that arose in twentieth-century Palestine, Vietnam, and Ireland, and contemporary terrorist activity, Revolution and Resistance shows how changing means have been used to wage the same struggle. Emphasizing moral rather than economic or technological explanations for the rise and fall of Euro-American imperialism, this concise, comprehensive book is required reading for anyone seeking to understand the character of contemporary conflict."]]></description>
<dc:subject>books:noted war imperialism terrorism in_NB guerillas</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a3a0d4b57e74/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:imperialism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:terrorism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:guerillas"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10638.html">
    <title>Kutz, C.: On War and Democracy (eBook and Hardcover).</title>
    <dc:date>2016-01-26T17:02:51+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10638.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["On War and Democracy provides a richly nuanced examination of the moral justifications democracies often invoke to wage war. In this compelling and provocative book, Christopher Kutz argues that democratic principles can be both fertile and toxic ground for the project of limiting war’s violence. Only by learning to view war as limited by our democratic values—rather than as a tool for promoting them—can we hope to arrest the slide toward the borderless, seemingly endless democratic "holy wars" and campaigns of remote killings we are witnessing today, and to stop permanently the use of torture and secret law.
"Kutz shows how our democratic values, understood incautiously and incorrectly, can actually undermine the goal of limiting war. He helps us better understand why we are tempted to believe that collective violence in the name of politics can be legitimate when individual violence is not. In doing so, he offers a bold new account of democratic agency that acknowledges the need for national defense and the promotion of liberty abroad while limiting the temptations of military intervention. Kutz demonstrates why we must address concerns about the means of waging war—including remote war and surveillance—and why we must create institutions to safeguard some nondemocratic values, such as dignity and martial honor, from the threat of democratic politics."]]></description>
<dc:subject>books:noted war democracy political_philosophy the_continuing_crises in_NB color_me_skeptical</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:0c79b6e88789/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:democracy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_philosophy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:the_continuing_crises"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:color_me_skeptical"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/E/bo20273102">
    <title>Elephants and Kings: An Environmental History, Trautmann</title>
    <dc:date>2015-09-02T00:35:09+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/E/bo20273102</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Because of their enormous size, elephants have long been irresistible for kings as symbols of their eminence. In early civilizations—such as Egypt, Mesopotamia, the Indus Civilization, and China—kings used elephants for royal sacrifice, spectacular hunts, public display of live captives, or the conspicuous consumption of ivory—all of them tending toward the elephant’s extinction. The kings of India, however, as Thomas R. Trautmann shows in this study, found a use for elephants that actually helped preserve their habitat and numbers in the wild: war.
"Trautmann traces the history of the war elephant in India and the spread of the institution to the west—where elephants took part in some of the greatest wars of antiquity—and Southeast Asia (but not China, significantly), a history that spans 3,000 years and a considerable part of the globe, from Spain to Java. He shows that because elephants eat such massive quantities of food, it was uneconomic to raise them from birth. Rather, in a unique form of domestication, Indian kings captured wild adults and trained them, one by one, through millennia. Kings were thus compelled to protect wild elephants from hunters and elephant forests from being cut down. By taking a wide-angle view of human-elephant relations, Trautmann throws into relief the structure of India’s environmental history and the reasons for the persistence of wild elephants in its forests."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB books:noted elephants ancient_history india war</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:edc1633e3d6c/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:elephants"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:ancient_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:india"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/history/european-history-after-1450/business-war-military-enterprise-and-military-revolution-early-modern-europe?format=PB">
    <title>The Business of War | Cambridge University Press</title>
    <dc:date>2015-08-14T16:41:00+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/history/european-history-after-1450/business-war-military-enterprise-and-military-revolution-early-modern-europe?format=PB</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["This is a major new approach to the military revolution and the relationship between warfare and the power of the state in early modern Europe. Whereas previous accounts have emphasised the growth of state-run armies during this period, David Parrott argues instead that the delegation of military responsibility to sophisticated and extensive networks of private enterprise reached unprecedented levels. This included not only the hiring of troops but their equipping, the supply of food and munitions, and the financing of their operations. The book reveals the extraordinary prevalence and capability of private networks of commanders, suppliers, merchants and financiers who managed the conduct of war on land and at sea, challenging the traditional assumption that reliance on mercenaries and the private sector results in corrupt and inefficient military force. In so doing, the book provides essential historical context to contemporary debates about the role of the private sector in warfare."]]></description>
<dc:subject>in_NB books:noted early_modern_european_history mother_courage_raises_the_west war</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f229b463cc50/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:early_modern_european_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:mother_courage_raises_the_west"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674967649">
    <title>Empire of Chance — Anders Engberg-Pedersen | Harvard University Press</title>
    <dc:date>2015-03-11T22:54:15+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674967649</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Napoleon’s campaigns were the most complex military undertakings in history before the nineteenth century. But the defining battles of Austerlitz, Borodino, and Waterloo changed more than the nature of warfare. Concepts of chance, contingency, and probability became permanent fixtures in the West’s understanding of how the world works. Empire of Chance examines anew the place of war in the history of Western thought, showing how the Napoleonic Wars inspired a new discourse on knowledge.
"Soldiers returning from the battlefields were forced to reconsider basic questions about what it is possible to know and how decisions are made in a fog of imperfect knowledge. Artists and intellectuals came to see war as embodying modernity itself. The theory of war espoused in Carl von Clausewitz’s classic treatise responded to contemporary developments in mathematics and philosophy, and the tools for solving military problems—maps, games, and simulations—became models for how to manage chance. On the other hand, the realist novels of Balzac, Stendhal, and Tolstoy questioned whether chance and contingency could ever be described or controlled."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB history_of_ideas 19th_century_history war probability color_me_skeptical</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7cd5e40329e0/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:history_of_ideas"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:19th_century_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:probability"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:color_me_skeptical"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/REST_a_00418">
    <title>Opium for the Masses? Conflict-Induced Narcotics Production in Afghanistan</title>
    <dc:date>2014-12-06T20:10:21+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/REST_a_00418</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["To explain the rise in Afghan opium production, we explore how rising conflicts change the incentives of farmers. Conflicts make illegal opportunities more profitable as they increase the perceived lawlessness and destroy infrastructure crucial to alternative crops. Exploiting a unique data set, we show that Western hostile casualties, our proxy for conflict, have a strong impact on subsequent local opium production. Using the period after the planting season as a placebo test, we show that conflict has a strong effect before but no effect after planting, indicating causality."

- Replication data available?]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB to_read war afghanistan causal_inference drugs time_series statistics to_teach:undergrad-ADA economics to_teach:data_over_space_and_time</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e6e53bf6cd0b/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:afghanistan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:causal_inference"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:drugs"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:time_series"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:undergrad-ADA"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:data_over_space_and_time"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.pnas.org/content/111/47/16712.abstract.html?etoc">
    <title>Effects of temperature and precipitation variability on the risk of violence in sub-Saharan Africa, 1980–2012</title>
    <dc:date>2014-11-25T22:50:56+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.pnas.org/content/111/47/16712.abstract.html?etoc</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Ongoing debates in the academic community and in the public policy arena continue without clear resolution about the significance of global climate change for the risk of increased conflict. Sub-Saharan Africa is generally agreed to be the region most vulnerable to such climate impacts. Using a large database of conflict events and detailed climatological data covering the period 1980–2012, we apply a multilevel modeling technique that allows for a more nuanced understanding of a climate–conflict link than has been seen heretofore. In the aggregate, high temperature extremes are associated with more conflict; however, different types of conflict and different subregions do not show consistent relationship with temperature deviations. Precipitation deviations, both high and low, are generally not significant. The location and timing of violence are influenced less by climate anomalies (temperature or precipitation variations from normal) than by key political, economic, and geographic factors. We find important distinctions in the relationship between temperature extremes and conflict by using multiple methods of analysis and by exploiting our time-series cross-sectional dataset for disaggregated analyses."

- Last tag inspired by the supposed existence of replication R code.]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB war violence instrumental_variables social_science_methodology statistics causal_inference hierarchical_statistical_models political_science to_teach:undergrad-ADA</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:98da9e18db34/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:violence"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:instrumental_variables"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_science_methodology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:causal_inference"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:hierarchical_statistical_models"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_science"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:undergrad-ADA"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/law/comparative-law/warlords-strongman-governors-and-state-afghanistan?format=HB">
    <title>Warlords, Strongman Governors, and the State in Afghanistan | Comparative law | Cambridge University Press</title>
    <dc:date>2014-10-28T23:08:57+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/law/comparative-law/warlords-strongman-governors-and-state-afghanistan?format=HB</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Warlords have come to represent enemies of peace, security, and “good governance” in the collective intellectual imagination. In this book Dipali Mukhopadhyay asserts that, in fact, not all warlords are created equal. Under certain conditions, some of these much-maligned actors are both able and willing to become effective governors on behalf of the state. This provocative argument is based on extensive fieldwork in Afghanistan, where Mukhopadhyay examined warlord-governors who have served as valuable exponents of the Karzai regime in its struggle to assert control over key segments of the countryside. She explores the complex ecosystems that came to constitute provincial political life after 2001 and goes on to expose the rise of “strongman” governance in two important Afghan provinces. While this brand of governance falls far short of international expectations, its emergence reflects the reassertion of the Afghan state in material and symbolic terms that deserve our attention. This book pushes past canonical views of warlordism and state building to consider the logic of the weak state as it has arisen in challenging, conflict-ridden societies like Afghanistan."]]></description>
<dc:subject>in_NB afghanistan war state-building</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:33ff2e31a878/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:afghanistan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:state-building"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2014/nov/06/afghanistan-shocking-indictment/">
    <title>Afghanistan: ‘A Shocking Indictment’ by Rory Stewart | The New York Review of Books</title>
    <dc:date>2014-10-21T16:40:29+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2014/nov/06/afghanistan-shocking-indictment/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>books:noted book_reviews afghanistan the_continuing_crises state-building corruption war</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a083f8b709b8/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:book_reviews"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:afghanistan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:the_continuing_crises"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:state-building"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:corruption"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://the-toast.net/2014/06/05/german-rocket-cats-meditation/">
    <title>German Rocket Cats: A Meditation</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-14T19:55:36+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://the-toast.net/2014/06/05/german-rocket-cats-meditation/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>funny:geeky funny:laughing_instead_of_screaming funny:sad cats early_modern_european_history war via:making_light to:blog</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:aa22ac3d1b7f/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:funny:geeky"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:funny:laughing_instead_of_screaming"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:funny:sad"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:cats"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:early_modern_european_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:making_light"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/06/09/four-things-everyone-should-know-about-wartime-sexual-violence/">
    <title>Four things everyone should know about wartime sexual violence - The Washington Post</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-14T19:30:51+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/06/09/four-things-everyone-should-know-about-wartime-sexual-violence/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>war war_crimes misogyny data_sets</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:cbf21913539c/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war_crimes"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:misogyny"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:data_sets"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.pnas.org/content/111/6/2100.abstract">
    <title>Reconciling disagreement over climate–conflict results in Africa</title>
    <dc:date>2014-03-11T20:58:37+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.pnas.org/content/111/6/2100.abstract</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["A recent study by Burke et al. [Burke M, Miguel E, Satyanath S, Dykema J, Lobell D (2009) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106(49):20670–20674] reports statistical evidence that the likelihood of civil wars in African countries was elevated in hotter years. A following study by Buhaug [Buhaug H (2010) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 107(38):16477–16482] reports that a reexamination of the evidence overturns Burke et al.’s findings when alternative statistical models and alternative measures of conflict are used. We show that the conclusion by Buhaug is based on absent or incorrect statistical tests, both in model selection and in the comparison of results with Burke et al. When we implement the correct tests, we find there is no evidence presented in Buhaug that rejects the original results of Burke et al."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB to_read track_down_references climate_change war to_teach:undergrad-ADA</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e1655e05c150/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:track_down_references"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:climate_change"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:undergrad-ADA"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10149.html">
    <title>Auerswald, D. and Saideman, S.: NATO in Afghanistan: Fighting Together, Fighting Alone. (eBook and Cloth)</title>
    <dc:date>2014-01-16T02:13:11+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10149.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["NATO in Afghanistan explores how government structures and party politics in NATO countries shape how battles are waged in the field. Drawing on more than 250 interviews with senior officials from around the world, David Auerswald and Stephen Saideman find that domestic constraints in presidential and single-party parliamentary systems--in countries such as the United States and Britain respectively--differ from those in countries with coalition governments, such as Germany and the Netherlands. As a result, different countries craft different guidelines for their forces overseas, most notably in the form of military caveats, the often-controversial limits placed on deployed troops."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB books:noted international_relations war us_military afghanistan the_continuing_crises</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:012771a50067/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:international_relations"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_military"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:afghanistan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:the_continuing_crises"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aer.104.1.123">
    <title>AER (104,1) p. 123 - Violence and Risk Preference: Experimental Evidence from Afghanistan</title>
    <dc:date>2014-01-03T19:57:51+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aer.104.1.123</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["We investigate the relationship between violence and economic risk preferences in Afghanistan combining: (i) a two-part experimental procedure identifying risk preferences, violations of Expected Utility, and specific preferences for certainty; (ii) controlled recollection of fear based on established methods from psychology; and (iii) administrative violence data from precisely geocoded military records. We document a specific preference for certainty in violation of Expected Utility. The preference for certainty, which we term a Certainty Premium, is exacerbated by the combination of violent exposure and controlled fearful recollections. The results have implications for risk taking and are potentially actionable for policymakers and marketers."

- Presumably the geocoded administrative data is Wikileaks?]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB to_read experimental_economics decision-making violence afghanistan risk_vs_uncertainty war of_course_we_shouldn't_forget_the_marketers</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:78416a60301c/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:experimental_economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:decision-making"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:violence"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:afghanistan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:risk_vs_uncertainty"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:of_course_we_shouldn't_forget_the_marketers"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/jep.27.4.165">
    <title>JEP (27,4) p. 165 - Gifts of Mars: Warfare and Europe's Early Rise to Riches</title>
    <dc:date>2013-11-19T22:59:23+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/jep.27.4.165</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Western Europe surged ahead of the rest of the world long before technological growth became rapid. Europe in 1500 already had incomes twice as high on a per capita basis as Africa, and one-third greater than most of Asia. In this essay, we explain how Europe's tumultuous politics and deadly penchant for warfare translated into a sustained advantage in per capita incomes. We argue that Europe's rise to riches was driven by the nature of its politics after 1350 -- it was a highly fragmented continent characterized by constant warfare and major religious strife. No other continent in recorded history fought so frequently, for such long periods, killing such a high proportion of its population. When it comes to destroying human life, the atomic bomb and machine guns may be highly efficient, but nothing rivaled the impact of early modern Europe's armies spreading hunger and disease. War therefore helped Europe's precocious rise to riches because the survivors had more land per head available for cultivation. Our interpretation involves a feedback loop from higher incomes to more war and higher land-labor ratios, a loop set in motion by the Black Death in the middle of the 14th century."

- That's an... interesting notion.]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB early_modern_european_history economics war mother_courage_raises_the_west</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e25483e1bc1e/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:early_modern_european_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:mother_courage_raises_the_west"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9963.html">
    <title>MacLeish, K.: Making War at Fort Hood: Life and Uncertainty in a Military Community.</title>
    <dc:date>2013-03-06T17:19:25+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9963.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Making War at Fort Hood offers an illuminating look at war through the daily lives of the people whose job it is to produce it. Kenneth MacLeish conducted a year of intensive fieldwork among soldiers and their families at and around the US Army's Fort Hood in central Texas. He shows how war's reach extends far beyond the battlefield into military communities where violence is as routine, boring, and normal as it is shocking and traumatic.
"Fort Hood is one of the largest military installations in the world, and many of the 55,000 personnel based there have served multiple tours in Iraq and Afghanistan. MacLeish provides intimate portraits of Fort Hood's soldiers and those closest to them, drawing on numerous in-depth interviews and diverse ethnographic material. He explores the exceptional position that soldiers occupy in relation to violence--not only trained to fight and kill, but placed deliberately in harm's way and offered up to die. The death and destruction of war happen to soldiers on purpose. MacLeish interweaves gripping narrative with critical theory and anthropological analysis to vividly describe this unique condition of vulnerability. Along the way, he sheds new light on the dynamics of military family life, stereotypes of veterans, what it means for civilians to say "thank you" to soldiers, and other questions about the sometimes ordinary, sometimes agonizing labor of making war.
"Making War at Fort Hood is the first ethnography to examine the everyday lives of the soldiers, families, and communities who personally bear the burden of America's most recent wars."]]></description>
<dc:subject>books:noted ethnography war us_military the_continuing_crises moral_psychology</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:d3c6a212fd69/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:ethnography"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_military"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:the_continuing_crises"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:moral_psychology"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.cambridge.org/us/knowledge/isbn/item5562680/?site_locale=en_US">
    <title>War, Democracy and Culture in Classical Athens - Academic and Professional Books - Cambridge University Press</title>
    <dc:date>2013-01-04T23:30:55+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.cambridge.org/us/knowledge/isbn/item5562680/?site_locale=en_US</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Athens is famous for its direct democracy and its innovative culture. Not widely known is its contemporaneous military revolution. Athens invented or perfected new forms of combat, strategy and military organisation and was directly responsible for raising the scale of Greek warfare to a different order of magnitude. The timing of this revolution is striking: it followed directly the popular uprising of 508 BC and coincided with the flowering of Athenian culture, which was largely brought about by democracy. This raises the intriguing possibility that popular government was one of the major causes of Athenian military success. Ancient writers may have thought as much, but the traditional assumptions of ancient historians and political scientists have meant that the impact of democracy on war has received almost no scholarly attention. This volume brings together ancient historians, archaeologists, classicists and political scientists to explore this important but neglected problem from multiple perspectives."
]]></description>
<dc:subject>in_NB books:noted democracy war ancient_history ancient_greece re:democratic_cognition</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:8518924b317d/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:democracy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:ancient_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:ancient_greece"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:re:democratic_cognition"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2008.00499.x/abstract">
    <title>Contagion or Confusion? Why Conflicts Cluster in Space - Buhaug - 2008 - International Studies Quarterly - Wiley Online Library</title>
    <dc:date>2012-04-16T14:20:49+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2008.00499.x/abstract</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Civil wars cluster in space as well as time. In this study, we develop and evaluate empirically alternative explanations for this observed clustering. We consider whether the spatial pattern of intrastate conflict simply stems from a similar distribution of relevant country attributes or whether conflicts indeed constitute a threat to other proximate states. Our results strongly suggest that there is a genuine neighborhood effect of armed conflict, over and beyond what individual country characteristics can account for. We then examine whether the risk of contagion depends on the degree of exposure to proximate conflicts. Contrary to common expectations, this appears not to be the case. Rather, we find that conflict is more likely when there are ethnic ties to groups in a neighboring conflict and that contagion is primarily a feature of separatist conflicts. This suggests that transnational ethnic linkages constitute a central mechanism of conflict contagion."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB contagion political_science war re:critique_of_diffusion</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:91ca580aae93/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:contagion"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_science"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:re:critique_of_diffusion"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.chrisblattman.com/documents/research/2011.EconomicShocksAndConflict.pdf?9d7bd4">
    <title>“Economic Shocks and Conflict: The (Absence of?) Evidence from Commodity Prices</title>
    <dc:date>2012-02-17T17:11:47+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.chrisblattman.com/documents/research/2011.EconomicShocksAndConflict.pdf?9d7bd4</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Replication files":
http://www.chrisblattman.com/documents/data/shocks-conflict/Bazzi-Blattman.zip?9d7bd4]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB statistics to_read data_analysis economics political_economy war violence political_science blattman.chris to_teach:undergrad-ADA</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:9f6b55893ac2/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:data_analysis"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:violence"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_science"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:blattman.chris"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:undergrad-ADA"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.ucpress.edu/book.php?isbn=9780520268678">
    <title>Eating Mud Crabs in Kandahar : Stories of Food during Wartime by the World's Leading Correspondents - Edited by Matt McAllester - University of California Press</title>
    <dc:date>2011-11-01T13:20:40+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.ucpress.edu/book.php?isbn=9780520268678</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>books:noted food journalism war</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:3b71f760ec1a/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:food"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:journalism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.cambridge.org/gb/knowledge/isbn/item1151583/?site_locale=en_GB">
    <title>Violence and Democracy - Academic and Professional Books - Cambridge University Press</title>
    <dc:date>2010-11-21T17:49:02+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.cambridge.org/gb/knowledge/isbn/item1151583/?site_locale=en_GB</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Taking issue with the common sense view that 'human nature' is violent, Keane shows why mature democracies do not wage war upon each other, and why they are unusually sensitive to violence. He argues that we need to think more discriminatingly about the origins of violence, its consequences, its uses and remedies. He probes the disputed meanings of the term violence, and asks why violence is the greatest enemy of democracy, and why today's global 'triangle of violence' is tempting politicians to invoke undemocratic emergency powers. Throughout, Keane gives prominence to ethical questions, such as the circumstances in which violence can be justified, and argues that violent behaviour and means of violence can and should be 'democratised' - made publicly accountable to others, so encouraging efforts to erase surplus violence from the world."
]]></description>
<dc:subject>books:noted democracy war violence</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2bfb3d2a727a/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:democracy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:violence"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9348.html">
    <title>Owen, J.M., IV: The Clash of Ideas in World Politics: Transnational Networks, States, and Regime Change, 1510-2010.</title>
    <dc:date>2010-08-17T19:12:46+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9348.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["examines more than two hundred cases of forcible regime promotion over the past five centuries, offering the first systematic study of this common state practice. He looks at conflicts between Catholicism and Protestantism between 1520 and the 1680s; republicanism and monarchy between 1770 and 1850; and communism, fascism, and liberal democracy from 1917 until the late 1980s...."
]]></description>
<dc:subject>books:noted war the_continuing_crises political_networks</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a6a9ef939e94/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:the_continuing_crises"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_networks"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2009/11/kaplan-civil-society-requires-perpetual-war.php">
    <title>Matthew Yglesias » Kaplan: Civil Society Requires Perpetual War</title>
    <dc:date>2009-11-10T20:53:26+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2009/11/kaplan-civil-society-requires-perpetual-war.php</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Kaplan is merely highlighting the fundamental difference between neoconservative thinking and thinking undertaken by people with a moral compass. As Alex Massie says, present-day Europe’s state of peace, prosperity, and physical security is a good thing. Neoconservatives, however, see war and death as good things. Irving Kristol told Corey Robin that market-oriented conservatism is too “boring” (”The notion of devoting your life to it is horrifying if only because it’s so repetitious. It’s like sex.”) so you need to inject some death and destruction into the mix to keep things interesting.

The world would be a better place if people looking for cheap thrills would stick to the black metal scene or maybe take up extreme sports rather than foreign policy punditry. But the point is that it’s extremely dangerous to take advice from people with this mindset—they’re not even trying to enhance the country’s security, they’re trying to embroil the country in wars."
]]></description>
<dc:subject>moral_depravity utter_stupidity europe neo-conservatism decadence yglesias.matthew war war_is_the_health_of_the_state kaplan.robert</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:8ae13c0d726a/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:moral_depravity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:utter_stupidity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:europe"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:neo-conservatism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:decadence"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:yglesias.matthew"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war_is_the_health_of_the_state"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:kaplan.robert"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.straightdope.com/columns/read/2877/did-soldiers-really-frag-officers-in-vietnam">
    <title>The Straight Dope: Did soldiers really frag officers in Vietnam?</title>
    <dc:date>2009-07-20T22:36:47+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.straightdope.com/columns/read/2877/did-soldiers-really-frag-officers-in-vietnam</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>war vietnam_war us_military</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:c85b6de0dc1d/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:vietnam_war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_military"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2009/0907.bergen.html">
    <title>Winning the Good War - Peter Bergen</title>
    <dc:date>2009-07-16T12:20:25+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2009/0907.bergen.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>afghanistan the_continuing_crises us_military american_hegemony war bergen.peter</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:941615083147/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:afghanistan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:the_continuing_crises"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_military"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:american_hegemony"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bergen.peter"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://papers.nber.org/papers/w15095">
    <title>War and Relatedness</title>
    <dc:date>2009-06-23T03:29:27+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://papers.nber.org/papers/w15095</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Oh sweet heaven no: "We develop a theory of interstate conflict in which the degree of genealogical relatedness between populations has a positive effect on their conflict propensities because more closely related populations, on average, tend to interact more and develop more disputes over sets of common issues. We examine the empirical relationship between the occurrence of interstate conflicts and the degree of relatedness between countries, showing that populations that are genetically closer are more prone to go to war with each other, even after controlling for a wide set of measures of geographic distance and other factors that affect conflict, including measures of trade and democracy."
]]></description>
<dc:subject>utter_stupidity gives_economists_a_bad_name war human_genetics color_me_skeptical</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:79f8dc4761d4/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:utter_stupidity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:gives_economists_a_bad_name"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:human_genetics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:color_me_skeptical"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://edgeofthewest.wordpress.com/2009/04/21/a-medal-of-honor/-8932">
    <title>A Medal of Honor « The Edge of the American West</title>
    <dc:date>2009-04-22T03:18:49+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://edgeofthewest.wordpress.com/2009/04/21/a-medal-of-honor/-8932</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Then I tried to pry the grenade out of [my] dead fist with my other hand..." The LBJ quote in the first comment is great, too; that would've made for an interesting history.
]]></description>
<dc:subject>inouye.daniel war racism WWII</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e0f43f4937e4/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inouye.daniel"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:racism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:WWII"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://edgeofthewest.wordpress.com/2009/03/20/the-propagation-of-false-news-in-wartime/">
    <title>The propagation of false news in wartime. « The Edge of the American West</title>
    <dc:date>2009-03-21T13:34:08+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://edgeofthewest.wordpress.com/2009/03/20/the-propagation-of-false-news-in-wartime/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Eric Rauchway describes, with excerpts, an essay by on this subject by Maurice Bloch, with illustrations from WWI.  Sounds astonishingly like Dan Sperber, only with an unfortunate collectivist overlay.
]]></description>
<dc:subject>war cultural_transmission rauchway.eric historiography historical_myths bloch.maurice rumors epidemiology_of_representations</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:633e4d04d7de/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:cultural_transmission"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:rauchway.eric"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:historiography"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:historical_myths"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bloch.maurice"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:rumors"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:epidemiology_of_representations"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://mitpress.mit.edu/catalog/item/default.asp?ttype=2&amp;tid=10490">
    <title>The Heirs of Archimedes: Science and the Art of War Through the Age of Enlightenment - The MIT Press</title>
    <dc:date>2009-02-06T15:20:10+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://mitpress.mit.edu/catalog/item/default.asp?ttype=2&amp;tid=10490</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["examines the emergence during the early modern era of mathematicians, chemists, and natural philosophers who, along with military engineers, navigators, and artillery officers, followed in the footsteps of Archimedes and synthesized scientific theory and military practice. It is the first collaborative scholarly assessment of these early military-scientific relationships  ... investigates the deep connections between two central manifestations of Western power, examining the military context of the Scientific Revolution and the scientific context of the Military Revolution. Unlike the classic narratives of the Scientific Revolution that focus on the theories of, and conflicts between, Aristotelian and Platonic worldviews, ... highlights the emergence of the Archimedean ideal—... a symbiosis ... between the supply of mechanistic science and the demand for military capability. "
]]></description>
<dc:subject>books:noted great_transformation scientific_revolution military_revolution history_of_science early_modern_european_history war</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b651eeaeb9f8/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:great_transformation"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:scientific_revolution"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:military_revolution"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:history_of_science"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:early_modern_european_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://press.princeton.edu/titles/8734.html">
    <title>Costa, D.L. and Kahn, M.E.: Heroes and Cowards: The Social Face of War.</title>
    <dc:date>2009-01-11T19:53:06+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://press.princeton.edu/titles/8734.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>american_history us_civil_war social_networks solidarity war books:noted</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:16a4e37a28b0/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:american_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_civil_war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_networks"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:solidarity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://cup.columbia.edu/book/978-0-231-70078-8/the-scientific-way-of-warfare">
    <title>The Scientific Way of Warfare: Order and Chaos on the Battlefields of Modernity (Bousquet)</title>
    <dc:date>2009-01-01T15:51:44+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://cup.columbia.edu/book/978-0-231-70078-8/the-scientific-way-of-warfare</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Sounds splendidly cracked (and anyway didn't DeLanda do this already?)

"Beginning with the Scientific Revolution and concluding with today's terrorist networks, Antoine J. Bousquet advances a novel history of scientific methodology in the context of the battlefield. ... Marked by an increasingly tight symbiosis between technology, science, and conflict, the constitution and perpetuation of this scientific way of warfare are best understood as an attempt by the state to turn violent aggression into a rational instrument of policy. In his study, Bousquet explores the relative benefits (such a unique chain of command to safeguard the use of nuclear weapons) and decentralizing (such as the flexible networks that connect insurgents) military affairs. He then follows with specific scientific approaches to war: mechanistic, thermodynamic, cybernetic, and "chaoplexic," a network-centric theory allied with the non-linear sciences."
]]></description>
<dc:subject>books:noted war history_of_science the_french_disease</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2b4930634303/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:history_of_science"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:the_french_disease"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.labyrinthbooks.com/sale_detail.aspx?isbn=9780521479585">
    <title>Military Revolution: Military Innovation and the Rise of the West, 1500-1800 - Parker (@Labyrinth)</title>
    <dc:date>2008-08-21T01:36:56+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.labyrinthbooks.com/sale_detail.aspx?isbn=9780521479585</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[How Europeans got to be so good at killing people.
]]></description>
<dc:subject>books:recommended early_modern_european_history war mother_courage_raises_the_west great_transformation parker.geoffrey</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:545e22b639b0/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:recommended"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:early_modern_european_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:mother_courage_raises_the_west"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:great_transformation"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:parker.geoffrey"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://jpr.sagepub.com/cgi/content/abstract/40/5/507">
    <title>Policing the Remnants of War -- Mueller 40 (5): 507 -- Journal of Peace Research</title>
    <dc:date>2008-08-05T23:21:40+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://jpr.sagepub.com/cgi/content/abstract/40/5/507</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[A teaser for the book _Remnants of War_, arguing that most major violent conflict is now the work of "surprisingly small" bands of thugs, and amendable to policing.
]]></description>
<dc:subject>war mueller.john institutions state-building crime have_read</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:196c605689b1/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:mueller.john"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:institutions"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:state-building"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:crime"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/cup_detail.taf?ti_id=4732">
    <title>THE REMNANTS OF WAR - John Mueller</title>
    <dc:date>2008-08-05T23:15:15+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/cup_detail.taf?ti_id=4732</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>books:noted mueller.john war institutions books:owned</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:664c966dbe7f/</dc:identifier>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://crookedtimber.org/2008/04/30/charles-tilly/">
    <title>Crooked Timber » » Charles Tilly</title>
    <dc:date>2008-04-30T13:37:38+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/04/30/charles-tilly/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[RIP one of the great social scientists of our time.
]]></description>
<dc:subject>tilly.charles obituaries sociology organizations war social_science_methodology war_is_the_health_of_the_state early_modern_european_history</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:c0a6ac642138/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:organizations"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_science_methodology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war_is_the_health_of_the_state"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:early_modern_european_history"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/317/5844/1540?ijkey=S.Kb5wAK45Q5.&amp;keytype=ref&amp;siteid=sci">
    <title>Global Pattern Formation and Ethnic/Cultural Violence -- Lim et al. 317 (5844): 1540 -- Science</title>
    <dc:date>2008-04-26T20:15:10+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/317/5844/1540?ijkey=S.Kb5wAK45Q5.&amp;keytype=ref&amp;siteid=sci</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The astonishing news is that territorial ethnic conflict requires the geographic proximity of (self-perceived) ethnic groups, and is rare in locales where one group is an overwhelming majority.  The attention paid here seems due to a computational version
]]></description>
<dc:subject>bad_science statistical_mechanics war bar-yam.yaneer lim.may metzler.richard</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:35e7ba7f199d/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bar-yam.yaneer"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:lim.may"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:metzler.richard"/>
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</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/24/magazine/24afghanistan-t.html?_r=1&amp;oref=slogin&amp;pagewanted=print">
    <title>Battle Company Is Out There</title>
    <dc:date>2008-02-24T21:22:52+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/24/magazine/24afghanistan-t.html?_r=1&amp;oref=slogin&amp;pagewanted=print</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Fuck, fuck, fuck.
]]></description>
<dc:subject>afghanistan war the_continuing_crises via:klk antidepressants post-traumatic_stress_disorder disasters_of_war counter-insurgency rubin.elizabeth</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f63585d83c27/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:the_continuing_crises"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:klk"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:antidepressants"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:post-traumatic_stress_disorder"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:disasters_of_war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:counter-insurgency"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:rubin.elizabeth"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.registan.net/index.php/2007/03/16/repeating-the-past-the-failures-of-ncw/">
    <title>Registan.net » Repeating the Past &amp; the Failures of NCW</title>
    <dc:date>2007-12-01T20:17:35+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.registan.net/index.php/2007/03/16/repeating-the-past-the-failures-of-ncw/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Network-centric warfare": not actually any good at dealing with a decentralized opponent.  (Oh, the DARPA meetings I sat through about "joint battlespace 2020"...)
]]></description>
<dc:subject>afghanistan war network-centric_warfare soviet-afghan_war guerrilla_warfare</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6c329d796fbd/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:network-centric_warfare"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:soviet-afghan_war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:guerrilla_warfare"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/318/5850/636?etoc">
    <title>The Coevolution of Parochial Altruism and War -- Choi and Bowles 318 (5850): 636 -- Science</title>
    <dc:date>2007-11-19T16:33:09+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/318/5850/636?etoc</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>bowles.samuel war human_evolution evolutionary_psychology evolution_of_cooperation agent-based_models to_teach:complexity-and-inference choi.jung-kyoo</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:195b3ee71fa4/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bowles.samuel"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:human_evolution"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:evolutionary_psychology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:evolution_of_cooperation"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:agent-based_models"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:complexity-and-inference"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:choi.jung-kyoo"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.sinno.com/book.htm">
    <title>Organizations at War in Afghanistan &amp; Beyond</title>
    <dc:date>2007-11-18T00:54:43+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.sinno.com/book.htm</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>sinno.abdulkader war afghanistan institutions collective_action books:noted books:owned</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b6f6940720b5/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:sinno.abdulkader"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:afghanistan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:institutions"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:collective_action"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:owned"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://afghanistanica.com/2007/11/17/theorizing-conflict-in-afghanistan/">
    <title>Theorizing Conflict In Afghanistan « Afghanistanica</title>
    <dc:date>2007-11-18T00:54:01+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://afghanistanica.com/2007/11/17/theorizing-conflict-in-afghanistan/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>sinno.abdulkader war afghanistan institutions collective_action</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6188cabc8ff1/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:sinno.abdulkader"/>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:afghanistan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:institutions"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:collective_action"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.press.uchicago.edu/cgi-bin/hfs.cgi/00/16135.ctl">
    <title>Politkovskaya, Anna: A Small Corner of Hell</title>
    <dc:date>2007-11-14T19:47:06+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.press.uchicago.edu/cgi-bin/hfs.cgi/00/16135.ctl</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>to:NB books:noted war chechnya post-soviet_politics politkovskaya.anna</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2005630f5c80/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:chechnya"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:post-soviet_politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:politkovskaya.anna"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.poetryfoundation.org/journal/feature.html?id=180043">
    <title>An ex-soldier's take on recent war poetry (Nathaniel Fick)</title>
    <dc:date>2007-11-14T13:42:25+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.poetryfoundation.org/journal/feature.html?id=180043</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>poetry war the_continuing_crises via:3qd</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:ee90e38f426d/</dc:identifier>
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	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:the_continuing_crises"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:3qd"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.ucpress.edu/books/sale/pages/10101.html">
    <title>Shadows of War: Violence, Power, and International Profiteering in the Twenty-First Century (Carolyn Nordstrom)</title>
    <dc:date>2007-10-31T14:22:51+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.ucpress.edu/books/sale/pages/10101.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>war war_crimes anthropology corruption violence globalization books:noted</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b8dd3db2d299/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war_crimes"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:anthropology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:corruption"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:violence"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:globalization"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:noted"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://turcopolier.typepad.com/sic_semper_tyrannis/2007/10/cortez-in-darie.html">
    <title>Sic Semper Tyrannis 2007: &quot;Cortez in Darien&quot; Alan Farrell</title>
    <dc:date>2007-10-24T20:42:15+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://turcopolier.typepad.com/sic_semper_tyrannis/2007/10/cortez-in-darie.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[On reading Homer in Vietnam
]]></description>
<dc:subject>homer war farrell.alan via:? to:blog</dc:subject>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:9200d5d23ed6/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:homer"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:farrell.alan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:?"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
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