<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
 <rdf:RDF xmlns="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/" xmlns:rdf="http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:taxo="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/taxonomy/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:cc="http://web.resource.org/cc/" xmlns:syn="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/" xmlns:admin="http://webns.net/mvcb/">
  <channel rdf:about="http://pinboard.in">
    <title>Pinboard (cshalizi)</title>
    <link>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/public/</link>
    <description>recent bookmarks from cshalizi</description>
    <items>
      <rdf:Seq>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3795626"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.06178"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.nber.org/papers/w26084"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://eml.berkeley.edu//~crwalters/papers/reasonable_doubt.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/333571096_The_Standard_Errors_of_Persistence"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://historymatters.gmu.edu/d/5750"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://web.williams.edu/Mathematics/lg5/Rota.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://profiles.nlm.nih.gov/ps/access/SCBBKN.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10734-018-0275-9"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://arxiv.org/abs/1608.00060"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/files/Piketty2018.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.ginandtacos.com/2017/08/23/resource-harvesting/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://cwmemory.com/2017/05/30/w-e-b-dubois-on-robert-e-lee/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-champions-of-the-401-k-lament-the-revolution-they-started-1483382348"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/moneyball-for-professors/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://networks.h-net.org/node/3911/pages/5930/h-nationalism-interview-john-hall"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13600818.2014.961414"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://piie.com/system/files/documents/pb16-11.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/trump-putin-yes-it-s-really-a-thing"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/halcepnwp/hal-01314335.htm"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2709088"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.nber.org/papers/w22011"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-010-9967-6"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/0002828054201305"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-science-of-grading-teachers-gets-high-marks/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.nber.org/papers/w21260"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://public.econ.duke.edu/~kdh9/Source%20Materials/Research/Reductionism-Economics14May2015.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.vox.com/2015/4/30/8404201/wedding-dress-cost"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.nber.org/papers/w21021"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2015/03/jaumotte.htm"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.bis.org/publ/work490.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/leecon/dp14-19.pdf?uol_r=d307e306"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.russellsage.org/sites/all/files/Rethinking-Finance/Philippon_v3.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2015/february/economic-growth-information-technology-factor-productivity/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/labor-saving-technology-by-dani-rodrik-2015-01"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://potemkinreview.com/pikettyinterview/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.powells.com/biblio?isbn=978-0199392001"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://law.duke.edu/boylesite/bork.htm"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/10/16/of-gamers-gates-and-disco-demolition-the-roots-of-reactionary-rage.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://nihoncassandra.blogspot.com/2014/09/the-rule-of-law-is-vastly-under-priced.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://www.jacobinmag.com/2014/08/reading-hamilton-from-the-left/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.walterjonwilliams.net/2014/07/amazonia/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/ad8e6204-0d38-11e4-bcb2-00144feabdc0.html?ftcamp=published_links/rss/comment/feed//product#axzz37pswH1bH"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.pieria.co.uk/articles/capital_in_pikettys_capital_2"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/06/29/magazine/whats-the-matter-with-eastern-kentucky.html?_r=0"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://equitablegrowth.org/research/pikettys-treatment-housing-excuse-ignore/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.vox.com/2014/6/17/5818094/this-disruptive-think-piece-will-change-the-world"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.interfluidity.com/v2/5149.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.interfluidity.com/v2/5117.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.newrepublic.com/article/118048/william-pattersons-robert-heinlein-biography-hagiography"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://delong.typepad.com/files/edwards---april-2014.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.vox.com/2014/4/23/5642116/liberal-climate-denial"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://baselinescenario.com/2014/03/26/a-book-that-needed-to-be-written/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.theawl.com/2014/03/the-service-economy-trap-inside-brooklyns-barista-class"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://sociology.berkeley.edu/sites/default/files/faculty/fligstein/Why%20the%20Federal%20Reserve%20Failed%20to%20See%20the%20Crisis%20of%202008%20v.2.6.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&amp;aid=9176762"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://worthwhile.typepad.com/worthwhile_canadian_initi/2013/12/microfoundations-we-like-vs-microfoundations-we-can-solve.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://m.mind.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2013/10/31/mind.fzt073.full?keytype=ref&amp;ijkey=JaKp6eczj44oA1I"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://teaching.berkeley.edu/blog/what-evaluations-measure-part-ii"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://teaching.berkeley.edu/blog/evaluating-evaluations-part-1"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://jeffweintraub.blogspot.com/2013/07/adam-smiths-conceptual-sleight-of-hand.html"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.ithaka.org/sites/default/files/files/ITHAKA-TheCostDiseaseinHigherEducation.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://k.web.umkc.edu/keltons/Papers/501/functional%20finance.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://itself.wordpress.com/2013/04/09/my-radical-pedagogical-program/"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2013/01/17/1342082/a-tempest-in-a-spreadsheet/?"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.25.2.111"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.international.ucla.edu/media/files/Smith.pdf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/5e8e3902-9db1-11e1-9a9e-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1v2OEC2fU"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://nymag.com/print/?/news/features/gop-primary-chait-2012-3/"/>
      </rdf:Seq>
    </items>
  </channel><item rdf:about="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3795626">
    <title>Inequality's Economic and Social Roots: The Role of Social Networks and Homophily by Matthew O. Jackson :: SSRN</title>
    <dc:date>2021-10-18T15:55:06+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3795626</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["I discuss economic and social sources of inequality and elaborate on the role of social networks in inequality, economic immobility, and economic inefficiencies. The lens of social networks clarifies how the entanglement of people's information, opportunities, and behaviors with those of their peers and communities leads to persistent differences in outcomes across groups in education, employment, health, income and wealth. The key role of homophily in dividing groups within the network is highlighted. A network perspective's policy implications differ substantially from a strictly economic perspective. I discuss the importance of ``policy cocktails'' that include aspects that are aimed at both the economic and social forces driving inequality."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB to_read social_networks inequality homophily jackson.matthew_o. to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination to_teach:baby-nets via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:1f1b4bcf53e4/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_networks"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:homophily"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:jackson.matthew_o."/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:baby-nets"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.06178">
    <title>[2004.06178] Estimating the COVID-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem</title>
    <dc:date>2020-04-19T18:58:12+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.06178</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["As a consequence of missing data on tests for infection and imperfect accuracy of tests, reported rates of population infection by the SARS CoV-2 virus are lower than actual rates of infection. Hence, reported rates of severe illness conditional on infection are higher than actual rates. Understanding the time path of the COVID-19 pandemic has been hampered by the absence of bounds on infection rates that are credible and informative. This paper explains the logical problem of bounding these rates and reports illustrative findings, using data from Illinois, New York, and Italy. We combine the data with assumptions on the infection rate in the untested population and on the accuracy of the tests that appear credible in the current context. We find that the infection rate might be substantially higher than reported. We also find that the infection fatality rate in Italy is substantially lower than reported."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB partial_identification time_series epidemic_models coronavirus_pandemic_of_2019-- missing_data to_read via:jbdelong manski.charles_f.</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b420fd7d7fdd/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:partial_identification"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:time_series"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:epidemic_models"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:coronavirus_pandemic_of_2019--"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:missing_data"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:manski.charles_f."/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://www.nber.org/papers/w26084">
    <title>The Cost of a Carbon-Free Electricity System in the U.S.</title>
    <dc:date>2019-12-19T02:03:30+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.nber.org/papers/w26084</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["I calculate the cost of replacing all power stations in the U.S. using coal and gas by wind and solar power stations by 2050, leaving electric power generation in the U.S. carbon free. Allowing for the savings in the cost of fossil fuel arising from the replacement of fossil fuel plants this is roughly $55 billion annually. Allowing in addition for the fact that most fossil plants in the U.S. are already old and would have to be replaced before 2050 even if we were not to go fossil free, this annual cost is reduced to $23 billion."

--- Encouraging, if true.]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB economics climate_change via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:05c5d3fafb69/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:climate_change"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://eml.berkeley.edu//~crwalters/papers/reasonable_doubt.pdf">
    <title>Audits as Evidence</title>
    <dc:date>2019-10-29T14:04:23+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://eml.berkeley.edu//~crwalters/papers/reasonable_doubt.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["We develop tools for utilizing correspondence experiments to detect illegal discrimination by individual employers. Employers violate US employment law if their propensity to contact applicants depends on protected characteristics such as race or sex. We establish identification of higher moments of the causal effects of protected characteristics on callback rates as a function of the number of fictitious applications sent to each job ad. These moments are used to bound the fraction of jobs that illegally discriminate. Applying our results to three experimental datasets, we find evidence of significant employer heterogeneity in discriminatory behavior, with the standard deviation of gaps in job-specific callback probabilities across protected groups averaging roughly twice the mean gap. In a recent experiment manipulating racially distinctive names, we estimate that at least 85% of jobs that contact both of two white applications and neither of two black applications are engaged in illegal discrimination. To assess more carefully the tradeoff between type I and II errors presented by these behavioral patterns, we consider the performance of a series of decision rules for investigating suspicious callback behavior under a simple two-type model that rationalizes the experimental data. Though, in our preferred specification, only 17% of employers are estimated to discriminate on the basis of race, we find that an experiment sending 10 applications to each job would enable accurate detection of 7-10% of discriminators while falsely accusing fewer than 0.2% of non-discriminators. A minimax decision rule acknowledging partial identification of the joint distribution of callback rates yields higher error rates but more investigations than our baseline two-type model. Our results suggest illegal labor market discrimination can be reliably monitored with relatively small modifications to existing audit designs."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB racism sociology statistics audit_studies via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:139c77eab521/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:racism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:sociology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:audit_studies"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/333571096_The_Standard_Errors_of_Persistence">
    <title>The Standard Errors of Persistence</title>
    <dc:date>2019-07-17T13:38:45+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.researchgate.net/publication/333571096_The_Standard_Errors_of_Persistence</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["A large literature on persistence finds that many modern outcomes strongly reflect characteristics of the same places in the distant past. However, alongside unusually high t statistics, these regressions display severe spatial auto-correlation in residuals, and the purpose of this paper is to examine whether these two properties might be connected. We start by running artificial regressions where both variables are spatial noise and find that, even for modest ranges of spatial correlation between points, t statistics become severely inflated leading to significance levels that are in error by several orders of magnitude. We analyse 27 persistence studies in leading journals and find that in most cases if we replace the main explanatory variable with spatial noise the fit of the regression commonly improves; and if we replace the dependent variable with spatial noise, the persistence variable can still explain it at high significance levels. We can predict in advance which persistence results might be the outcome of fitting spatial noise from the degree of spatial au-tocorrelation in their residuals measured by a standard Moran statistic. Our findings suggest that the results of persistence studies, and of spatial regressions more generally, might be treated with some caution in the absence of reported Moran statistics and noise simulations."]]></description>
<dc:subject>econometrics regression spatial_statistics to_teach:data_over_space_and_time via:jbdelong in_NB have_read to_teach:linear_models</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a2dddfc99614/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:econometrics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:regression"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:spatial_statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:data_over_space_and_time"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:linear_models"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://historymatters.gmu.edu/d/5750">
    <title>Andrew Carnegie's Ode to Steelmaking</title>
    <dc:date>2019-05-25T22:44:34+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://historymatters.gmu.edu/d/5750</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Andrew Carnegie’s Ode to Steelmaking
Known best by his knack for moneymaking, turn-of-the-century steel magnate Andrew Carnegie nonetheless found a moment to pen a one-sided poetic tribute to the “eighth wonder” of the world—steel manufacturing in his Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, plant. This brief poem reflected how he (and other contemporaries) viewed the monumental process of steelmaking. The poem was notable for its use of passive voice and the absence of workers—miners, railroad men, or blast furnace crews—from the process by which “one pound of solid steel” came to be.

The eighth wonder of the world is this:

two pounds of iron-stone purchased on

the shores of lake Superior and

transported to Pittsburgh;

two pounds of coal mined in Connellsville

and manufactured into coke and

brought to Pittsburgh;

one half pound of limestone mined

east of the Alleghenies and

brought to Pittsburgh;

a little manganese ore,

mined in Virginia and

brought to Pittsburgh.

And these four and one half pounds of material

manufactured into one pound of solid steel

and sold for one cent.

That’s all that need be said

about the steel business.

Source: Harold Livesay, Andrew Carnegie and the Rise of Big Business (Boston: Little Brown, 1975), 189.]]></description>
<dc:subject>carnegie.andrew pittsburgh via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:eb01b2ee62da/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:carnegie.andrew"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:pittsburgh"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://web.williams.edu/Mathematics/lg5/Rota.pdf">
    <title>TEN LESSONS I WISH I HAD LEARNED BEFORE I STARTED TEACHING DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS (Gian-Carlo Rota)</title>
    <dc:date>2019-01-28T15:20:07+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://web.williams.edu/Mathematics/lg5/Rota.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>mathematics pedagogy dynamical_systems teaching rota.gian-carlo via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f0094a7c42d8/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:mathematics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:pedagogy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:dynamical_systems"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:teaching"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:rota.gian-carlo"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://profiles.nlm.nih.gov/ps/access/SCBBKN.pdf">
    <title>Francis Crick to James Watson, 13 April 1967</title>
    <dc:date>2019-01-04T17:06:09+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://profiles.nlm.nih.gov/ps/access/SCBBKN.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Wow.]]></description>
<dc:subject>molecular_biology lives_of_the_scientists via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:24a7b2d1fbab/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:molecular_biology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:lives_of_the_scientists"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10734-018-0275-9">
    <title>A study exploring the impact of lecture capture availability and lecture capture usage on student attendance and attainment | SpringerLink</title>
    <dc:date>2018-09-20T16:20:00+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10734-018-0275-9</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Lecture capture is widely used within higher education as a means of recording lecture material for online student viewing. However, there is some uncertainty around whether this is a uniformly positive development for students. The current study examines the impact of lecture capture introduction and usage in a compulsory second year research methods module in a undergraduate BSc degree. Data collected from a matched cohort before (N = 161) and after (N = 160) lecture capture introduction showed that attendance substantially dropped in three matched lectures after capture became available. Attendance, which predicts higher attainment (controlling for students’ previous grade and gender), mediates a negative relationship between lecture capture availability and attainment. Lecture capture viewing shows no significant relationship with attainment whilst factoring in lecture attendance; capture viewing also fails to compensate for the impact that low attendance has on attainment. Thus, the net effect of lecture capture introduction on the cohort is generally negative; the study serves as a useful example (that can be communicated students) of the pitfalls of an over-reliance on lecture capture as a replacement for lecture attendance."

--- tl;dr: Butts in seats rules, OK?]]></description>
<dc:subject>education pedagogy via:jbdelong i_want_to_believe</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:86c16584d252/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:education"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:pedagogy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:i_want_to_believe"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://arxiv.org/abs/1608.00060">
    <title>[1608.00060] Double/Debiased Machine Learning for Treatment and Causal Parameters</title>
    <dc:date>2018-07-31T13:49:25+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://arxiv.org/abs/1608.00060</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Most modern supervised statistical/machine learning (ML) methods are explicitly designed to solve prediction problems very well. Achieving this goal does not imply that these methods automatically deliver good estimators of causal parameters. Examples of such parameters include individual regression coefficients, average treatment effects, average lifts, and demand or supply elasticities. In fact, estimates of such causal parameters obtained via naively plugging ML estimators into estimating equations for such parameters can behave very poorly due to the regularization bias. Fortunately, this regularization bias can be removed by solving auxiliary prediction problems via ML tools. Specifically, we can form an orthogonal score for the target low-dimensional parameter by combining auxiliary and main ML predictions. The score is then used to build a de-biased estimator of the target parameter which typically will converge at the fastest possible 1/root(n) rate and be approximately unbiased and normal, and from which valid confidence intervals for these parameters of interest may be constructed. The resulting method thus could be called a "double ML" method because it relies on estimating primary and auxiliary predictive models. In order to avoid overfitting, our construction also makes use of the K-fold sample splitting, which we call cross-fitting. This allows us to use a very broad set of ML predictive methods in solving the auxiliary and main prediction problems, such as random forest, lasso, ridge, deep neural nets, boosted trees, as well as various hybrids and aggregators of these methods."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB statistics estimation high-dimensional_statistics via:jbdelong robins.james_m.</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6dc0d3189ad8/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:estimation"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:high-dimensional_statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:robins.james_m."/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/files/Piketty2018.pdf">
    <title>Brahmin Left vs Merchant Right: Rising Inequality &amp; the Changing Structure of Political Conflict (Evidence from France, Britain and the US, 1948-2017)</title>
    <dc:date>2018-03-29T20:39:28+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/files/Piketty2018.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Abstract. Using post-electoral surveys from France, Britain and the US, this paper documents a striking long-run evolution in the structure of political cleavages. In the 1950s-1960s, the vote for left-wing (socialist-labour-democratic) parties was associated with lower education and lower income voters. It has gradually become associated with higher education voters, giving rise to a “multiple-elite” party system in the 2000s-2010s: high-education elites now vote for the “left”, while high-income/high-wealth elites still vote for the “right” (though less and less so). I argue that this can contribute to explain rising inequality and the lack of democratic response to it, as well as the rise of “populism”. I also discuss the origins of this evolution (rise of globalization/migration cleavage, and/or educational expansion per se) as well as future prospects: “multiple-elite” stabilization; complete realignment of the party system along a “globalists” (high-education, high-income) vs “nativists” (low-education, low-income) cleavage; return to class-based redistributive conflict (either from an internationalist or nativist perspective). Two main lessons emerge. First, with multi-dimensional inequality, multiple political equilibria and bifurcations can occur. Next, without a strong egalitarian-internationalist platform, it is difficult to unite low-education, low-income voters from all origins within the same party. "]]></description>
<dc:subject>inequality political_science political_economy piketty.thomas via:jbdelong to:NB</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:004b86015873/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_science"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:piketty.thomas"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.ginandtacos.com/2017/08/23/resource-harvesting/">
    <title>RESOURCE HARVESTING | Gin and Tacos</title>
    <dc:date>2017-08-26T16:48:29+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.ginandtacos.com/2017/08/23/resource-harvesting/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["The people of Huntington, WV are not dumb enough to believe that the Mexican gang MS-13 – the President’s new obsession – is responsible for the shuttered factories, soaring unemployment rate, stagnant wages, and addiction problems that plague their community. But when all of those problems exist for so long that they are viewed as simple facts of life no more controllable than the weather, venting anger at a sinister, foreign Other is cathartic if nothing else.
"Trump is not dumb either. He knows that when his administration veers unsettlingly close to chaos, people in rural Ohio, upstate New York, central Pennsylvania, and other declining areas of the country will not judge him on the specifics. They don’t expect him to solve their problems because they have come to believe over time and from repeated experience that their underlying problems are unsolvable. They only want him to keep up the Trump Show, to get under the skin of the groups in society that they blame for their struggles, to rile the establishment even when doing so is pointless and unproductive.
"Decline has been a part of life in the Rust Belt for so long that only the oldest residents can remember a time when it wasn’t the defining theme in the life of their communities. The oft-analyzed demographic that dominates these areas – whites with minimal education – does not truly believe that Donald Trump will solve their problems. They do believe that he will deliver the next best thing: an opportunity for revenge. If failure is seen as inevitable, then lashing out in anger at enemies, real or perceived, at least offers a sense of power and control that has been absent from these areas for two generations."]]></description>
<dc:subject>us_politics trump.donald whats_gone_wrong_with_america via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:46cecacfa335/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:trump.donald"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:whats_gone_wrong_with_america"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://cwmemory.com/2017/05/30/w-e-b-dubois-on-robert-e-lee/">
    <title>W.E.B. DuBois on Robert E. Lee – CIVIL WAR MEMORY</title>
    <dc:date>2017-08-24T13:44:22+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://cwmemory.com/2017/05/30/w-e-b-dubois-on-robert-e-lee/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Each year on the 19th of January there is renewed effort to canonize Robert E. Lee, the greatest confederate general. His personal comeliness, his aristocratic birth and his military prowess all call for the verdict of greatness and genius. But one thing–one terrible fact–militates against this and that is the inescapable truth that Robert E. Lee led a bloody war to perpetuate slavery. Copperheads like the New York Times may magisterially declare: “of course, he never fought for slavery.” Well, for what did he fight? State rights? Nonsense. The South cared only for State Rights as a weapon to defend slavery. If nationalism had been a stronger defense of the slave system than particularism, the South would have been as nationalistic in 1861 as it had been in 1812.
"No. People do not go to war for abstract theories of government. They fight for property and privilege and that was what Virginia fought for in the Civil War. And Lee followed Virginia. He followed Virginia not because he particularly loved slavery (although he certainly did not hate it), but because he did not have the moral courage to stand against his family and his clan. Lee hesitated and hung his head in shame because he was asked to lead armies against human progress and Christian decency and did not dare refuse. He surrendered not to Grant, but to Negro Emancipation.
"Today we can best perpetuate his memory and his nobler traits not by falsifying his moral debacle, but by explaining it to the young white south. What Lee did in 1861, other Lees are doing in 1928. They lack the moral courage to stand up for justice to the Negro because of the overwhelming public opinion of their social environment. Their fathers in the past have condoned lynching and mob violence, just as today they acquiesce in the disfranchisement of educated and worthy black citizens, provide wretchedly inadequate public schools for Negro children and endorse a public treatment of sickness, poverty and crime which disgraces civilization.
"It is the punishment of the South that its Robert Lees and Jefferson Davises will always be tall, handsome and well-born. That their courage will be physical and not moral. That their leadership will be weak compliance with public opinion and never costly and unswerving revolt for justice and right. it is ridiculous to seek to excuse Robert Lee as the most formidable agency this nation ever raised to make 4 million human beings goods instead of men. Either he knew what slavery meant when he helped maim and murder thousands in its defense, or he did not. If he did not he was a fool. If he did, Robert Lee was a traitor and a rebel–not indeed to his country, but to humanity and humanity’s God."]]></description>
<dc:subject>us_civil_war dubois.w.e.b. american_history evisceration via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:21221af6a286/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_civil_war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:dubois.w.e.b."/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:american_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:evisceration"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-champions-of-the-401-k-lament-the-revolution-they-started-1483382348">
    <title>The Champions of the 401(k) Lament the Revolution They Started - WSJ</title>
    <dc:date>2017-01-03T17:13:11+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-champions-of-the-401-k-lament-the-revolution-they-started-1483382348</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>financialization pensions whats_gone_wrong_with_america class_struggles_in_america 401_k have_read via:jbdelong market_failures_in_everything</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:327708f1696a/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:financialization"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:pensions"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:whats_gone_wrong_with_america"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:class_struggles_in_america"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:401_k"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:market_failures_in_everything"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/moneyball-for-professors/">
    <title>‘Moneyball’ for Professors?</title>
    <dc:date>2016-12-19T19:21:54+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/moneyball-for-professors/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[The key paragraph:

"Using a hand-curated data set of 54 scholars who obtained doctorates after 1995 and held assistant professorships at top-10 operations research programs in 2003 or earlier, these statistical models made different decisions than the tenure committees for 16 (30%) of the candidates. Specifically, these new criteria yielded a set of scholars who, in the future, produced more papers published in the top journals and research that was cited more often than the scholars who were actually selected by tenure committees"

--- In other words, "success" here is defined entirely through the worst sort of abuse of citation metrics, i.e., through doing the things which everyone who has seriously studied citation metrics says you should _not_ use them for.  (Cf. https://arxiv.org/abs/0910.3529 .)  If the objective was to making academic hiring decisions _even less_ sensitive to actually intellectual quality, one could hardly do better.
I am sure that this idea will, however, be widely adopted and go from strength to strength.]]></description>
<dc:subject>bad_data_analysis academia bibliometry social_networks network_data_analysis prediction utter_stupidity have_read via:jbdelong to:blog</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:5ae58096219e/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bad_data_analysis"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:academia"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bibliometry"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_networks"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:network_data_analysis"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:prediction"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:utter_stupidity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://networks.h-net.org/node/3911/pages/5930/h-nationalism-interview-john-hall">
    <title>H-Nationalism Interview with John Hall | H-Nationalism | H-Net</title>
    <dc:date>2016-12-13T18:13:36+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://networks.h-net.org/node/3911/pages/5930/h-nationalism-interview-john-hall</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>nationalism gellner.ernest sociology comparative_history war political_economy hall.john_a. interview via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:040d53b85eb2/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:nationalism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:gellner.ernest"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:sociology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:comparative_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:war"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:hall.john_a."/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:interview"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13600818.2014.961414">
    <title>Randomisation, Causality and the Role of Reasoned Intuition: Oxford Development Studies: Vol 42, No 4</title>
    <dc:date>2016-12-13T14:33:12+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13600818.2014.961414</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["The method of randomisation has been a major driver in the recent rise to prominence of empirical development economics. It has helped uncover patterns and facts that had earlier escaped attention. But it has also given rise to debate and controversy. This paper evaluates the method of randomisation and concludes that while the method of randomisation is the gold standard for description, and does uncover what is here called “circumstantial causality”, it is not able to demonstrate generalised causality. Nor does it, in itself, lead to policy conclusions, as is often claimed by its advocates. To get to policy conclusions requires combining the findings of randomised experiments with human intuition, which, being founded in evolution, has innate strengths. Moreover, even non-randomised empirical methods combined with reasoned intuition can help in crafting a development policy."

--- On first skimming, my reaction is that if "reasoned intuition" could do this, we would not need systematic empirical data of any kind, in any science.]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB to_read experimental_economics development_economics economics social_science_methodology causal_inference via:jbdelong color_me_skeptical</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:dbca4f581b8a/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:experimental_economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:development_economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_science_methodology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:causal_inference"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:color_me_skeptical"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://piie.com/system/files/documents/pb16-11.pdf">
    <title>Do DSGE Models Have a Future?</title>
    <dc:date>2016-08-11T15:31:24+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://piie.com/system/files/documents/pb16-11.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>to:NB to_read re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks economics macroeconomics blanchard.olivier via:jbdelong color_me_skeptical</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:5126eeee81ba/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:macroeconomics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:blanchard.olivier"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:color_me_skeptical"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/trump-putin-yes-it-s-really-a-thing">
    <title>Trump &amp; Putin. Yes, It's Really a Thing</title>
    <dc:date>2016-07-25T03:29:30+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/trump-putin-yes-it-s-really-a-thing</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>us_politics have_read russia trump.donald our_decrepit_institutions via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:314202289346/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:russia"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:trump.donald"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:our_decrepit_institutions"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/halcepnwp/hal-01314335.htm">
    <title>EconPapers: Is the market really a good teacher ?</title>
    <dc:date>2016-05-29T17:35:29+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/halcepnwp/hal-01314335.htm</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["This paper proposes to model market mechanisms as a collective learning process for firms in a complex adaptive system, namely Jamel, an agent-based, stock-flow consistent macroeconomic model. Inspired by Alchian's (1950) " blanketing shotgun process " idea, our learning model is an ever-adapting process that puts a significant weight on exploration vis-à-vis exploitation. We show that decentralized market selection allows firms to collectively adapt their overall debt strategies to the changes in the macroeconomic environment so that the system sustains itself, but at the cost of recurrent deep downturns. We conclude that, in complex evolving economies, market processes do not lead to the selection of optimal behaviors, as the characterization of successful behaviors itself constantly evolves as a result of the market conditions that these behaviors contribute to shape. Heterogeneity in behavior remains essential to adaptation in such an ever-changing environment. We come to an evolutionary characterization of a crisis, as the point where the evolution of the macroeconomic system becomes faster than the adaptation capabilities of the agents that populate it, and the so far selected performing behaviors suddenly cease to be, and become instead undesirable."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB to_read evolutionary_economics economics via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:3eeaf8cb3e94/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:evolutionary_economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2709088">
    <title>The Unequal Gains from Product Innovations by Xavier Jaravel :: SSRN</title>
    <dc:date>2016-05-22T15:23:32+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2709088</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Using detailed product-level data in the retail sector in the United States from 2004 to 2013, this paper shows that product innovations disproportionately benefited high-income households due to increasing inequality and the endogenous response of supply to market size. Annualized quality-adjusted inflation was 0.65 percentage points lower for high-income households, relative to low-income households. Using national and local changes in market size driven by demographic trends plausibly exogenous to supply factors, the paper provides causal evidence that a shock to the relative demand for goods (1) affects the direction of product innovations, and (2) leads to a decrease in the relative price of the good for which demand became relatively larger (i.e. the long-term supply curve is downward sloping). A calibration shows that this channel can explain most of the observed difference in quality-adjusted inflation rates across the income distribution."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB economics economic_growth inequality via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:630dd648874d/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_growth"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nber.org/papers/w22011">
    <title>School Finance Reform and the Distribution of Student Achievement</title>
    <dc:date>2016-02-29T17:34:38+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nber.org/papers/w22011</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["We study the impact of post-1990 school finance reforms, during the so-called "adequacy" era, on gaps in spending and achievement between high-income and low-income school districts. Using an event study design, we find that reform events--court orders and legislative reforms--lead to sharp, immediate, and sustained increases in absolute and relative spending in low-income school districts. Using representative samples from the National Assessment of Educational Progress, we also find that reforms cause gradual increases in the relative achievement of students in low-income school districts, consistent with the goal of improving educational opportunity for these students. The implied effect of school resources on educational achievement is large."

- Last tag depends on replication data, which might not be available.]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB education inequality us_politics causal_inference to_teach:undergrad-ADA via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:71a0661dc297/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:education"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:causal_inference"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:undergrad-ADA"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-010-9967-6">
    <title>Negishi welfare weights in integrated assessment models: the mathematics of global inequality - Springer</title>
    <dc:date>2016-02-06T15:22:05+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-010-9967-6</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["In a global climate policy debate fraught with differing understandings of right and wrong, the importance of making transparent the ethical assumptions used in climate-economics models cannot be overestimated. Negishi weighting is a key ethical assumption in climate-economics models, but it is virtually unknown to most model users. Negishi weights freeze the current distribution of income between world regions; without this constraint, IAMs that maximize global welfare would recommend an equalization of income across regions as part of their policy advice. With Negishi weights in place, these models instead recommend a course of action that would be optimal only in a world in which global income redistribution cannot and will not take place. This article describes the Negishi procedure and its origin in theoretical and applied welfare economics, and discusses the policy implications of the presentation and use of Negishi-weighted model results, as well as some alternatives to Negishi weighting in climate-economics models."

Ungated: http://sei-us.org/Publications_PDF/SEI-Stanton2010_ClimaticChange_Negishi.pdf]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB economics economic_policy cost-benefit_analysis moral_philosophy inequality climate_change have_read via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:96d3d4d2b483/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_policy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:cost-benefit_analysis"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:moral_philosophy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:climate_change"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/0002828054201305">
    <title>AEAweb: AER (95,3) p. 546 - The Rise of Europe: Atlantic Trade, Institutional Change, and Economic Growth</title>
    <dc:date>2016-01-28T22:04:22+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/0002828054201305</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["The rise of Western Europe after 1500 is due largely to growth in countries with access to the Atlantic Ocean and with substantial trade with the New World, Africa, and Asia via the Atlantic. This trade and the associated colonialism affected Europe not only directly, but also indirectly by inducing institutional change. Where "initial" political institutions (those established before 1500) placed significant checks on the monarchy, the growth of Atlantic trade strengthened merchant groups by constraining the power of the monarchy, and helped merchants obtain changes in institutions to protect property rights. These changes were central to subsequent economic growth."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB economics economic_history institutions economic_growth to_teach:undergrad-ADA via:jbdelong have_read</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:55b51ec6d05a/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:institutions"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_growth"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:undergrad-ADA"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-science-of-grading-teachers-gets-high-marks/">
    <title>The Science Of Grading Teachers Gets High Marks | FiveThirtyEight</title>
    <dc:date>2015-09-01T23:33:35+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-science-of-grading-teachers-gets-high-marks/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Errr, if there's a _systematic_ flaw in the research design, which is what the critics are saying, then it's not surprising that applying the same design to a different data set gives similar results!  (That's pretty much what it means for the flaw to be systematic.)]]></description>
<dc:subject>track_down_references value-added_measurement_in_education econometrics via:jbdelong have_read</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7528904d0471/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:track_down_references"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:value-added_measurement_in_education"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:econometrics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nber.org/papers/w21260">
    <title>Expectations and Investment</title>
    <dc:date>2015-08-20T20:23:44+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nber.org/papers/w21260</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Using micro data from ... quarterly survey of Chief Financial Officers, we show that corporate investment plans as well as actual investment are well explained by CFOs’ expectations of earnings growth. The information in expectations data is not subsumed by traditional variables, such as Tobin’s Q or discount rates. We also show that errors in CFO expectations of earnings growth are predictable from past earnings and other data, pointing to extrapolative structure of expectations and suggesting that expectations may not be rational. This evidence, like earlier findings in finance, points to the usefulness of data on actual expectations for understanding economic behavior."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB economics decision-making via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:995847b56b90/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:decision-making"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://public.econ.duke.edu/~kdh9/Source%20Materials/Research/Reductionism-Economics14May2015.pdf">
    <title>Reductionism in Economics: Intentionality and Eschatological Justification in the Microfoundations of Macroeconomics</title>
    <dc:date>2015-08-03T04:31:42+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://public.econ.duke.edu/~kdh9/Source%20Materials/Research/Reductionism-Economics14May2015.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Macroeconomists overwhelmingly believe that macroeconomics requires microfoundations, typically understood as a strong eliminativist reductionism. Microfoundations aims to recover intentionality. In the face of technical and data constraints macroeconomists typically employ a representative-agent model, in which a single agent solves microeconomic optimization problem for the whole economy, and take it to be microfoundationally adequate. The characteristic argument for the representative-agent model holds that the possibility of the sequential elaboration of the model to cover any number of individual agents justifies treating the policy conclusions of the single-agent model as practically relevant. This eschatological justification is examined and rejected."]]></description>
<dc:subject>have_read economics reductionism macroeconomics social_science_methodology philosophy_of_science re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks via:jbdelong in_NB</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:844091280b33/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:reductionism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:macroeconomics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_science_methodology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:philosophy_of_science"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2015/4/30/8404201/wedding-dress-cost">
    <title>How wedding dresses got so expensive and roast chickens got so cheap - Vox</title>
    <dc:date>2015-04-30T21:05:47+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2015/4/30/8404201/wedding-dress-cost</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Referring to "making up a story" as "economic naturalism" is either horridly sarcastic or deeply oblivious, and Frank does not appear to be sarcastic at all.  What's conspicuously missing from this is _any pretense of gathering empirical evidence_ to _check the proposed explanation_.  God knows there are problems with the myth of "scientific method" that gets taught in junior high, but here at least it would be an improvement.  As it is, there's no more value to his, or his students', stories about costs than there would've been to a psychoanalyst's stories.

N.B., despite my criticism on this point, Frank has done much excellent work, and he's actually much better about trying to make contact with reality than many of his colleagues.  The issue is that _even_ Frank is awful about this.]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:blog have_read economics methodological_advice why_oh_why_cant_we_have_a_better_intelligentsia one_effort_more_economists_if_you_would_be_scientists via:jbdelong social_science_methodology</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:1d18b25d3f1e/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:methodological_advice"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:why_oh_why_cant_we_have_a_better_intelligentsia"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:one_effort_more_economists_if_you_would_be_scientists"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_science_methodology"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.nber.org/papers/w21021">
    <title>New Evidence on the Impact of Financial Crises in Advanced Countries</title>
    <dc:date>2015-03-18T17:44:33+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.nber.org/papers/w21021</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["This paper examines the aftermath of financial crises in advanced countries in the four decades before the Great Recession. We construct a new series on financial distress in 24 OECD countries for the period 1967–2007. The series is based on assessments of the health of countries’ financial systems from a consistent, real-time narrative source; and it classifies financial distress on a relatively fine scale, rather than treating it as a 0-1 variable. We find that output declines following financial crises in modern advanced countries are highly variable, on average only moderate, and often temporary. One important driver of the variation in outcomes across crises appears to be the severity and persistence of the financial distress itself."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB finance financial_crises macroeconomics economics via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f5d7571dfa40/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:finance"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:financial_crises"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:macroeconomics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2015/03/jaumotte.htm">
    <title>Power from the People -- Finance &amp; Development, March 2015</title>
    <dc:date>2015-03-11T02:59:06+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2015/03/jaumotte.htm</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Well, the final project _will_ be assigned on May Day --- see if data's available...]]></description>
<dc:subject>inequality economics political_economy unions track_down_references via:jbdelong to_teach:undergrad-ADA</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:14babf2833e8/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:unions"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:track_down_references"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:undergrad-ADA"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.bis.org/publ/work490.pdf">
    <title>Why does financial sector growth crowd out real economic growth?</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-18T04:43:51+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.bis.org/publ/work490.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["In this paper we examine the negative relationship between the rate of growth of the financial sector and the rate of growth of total factor productivity. We begin by showing that by disproportionately benefiting high collateral/low productivity projects, an exogenous increase in finance reduces total factor productivity growth. Then, in a model with skilled workers and endogenous financial sector growth, we establish the possibility of multiple equilibria. In the equilibrium where skilled labour works in finance, the financial sector grows more quickly at the expense of the real economy. We go on to show that consistent with this theory, financial growth disproportionately harms financially dependent and R&D-intensive industries."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB to_read economics financialization productivity via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:050adf2ea77f/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:financialization"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:productivity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/leecon/dp14-19.pdf?uol_r=d307e306">
    <title>On the Interpretation of Instrumental Variables in the Presence of Specification Errors</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-17T17:23:40+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/leecon/dp14-19.pdf?uol_r=d307e306</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["The method of instrumental variables (IV) and the generalized method of moments (GMM), and their applications to the estimation of errors-in-variables and simultaneous equations models in econometrics, require data on a sufficient number of instrumental variables that are both exogenous and relevant. We argue that, in general, such instruments (weak or strong) cannot exist."

--- I think they are too quick to dismiss non-parametric IV; if what one wants is consistent estimates of the partial derivatives at a given point, you _can_ get that by (e.g.) splines or locally linear regression.  Need to think through this in terms of Pearl's graphical definition of IVs.]]></description>
<dc:subject>instrumental_variables misspecification regression linear_regression causal_inference statistics econometrics via:jbdelong have_read to_teach:undergrad-ADA re:ADAfaEPoV in_NB</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:5e670302d3ca/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:instrumental_variables"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:misspecification"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:regression"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:linear_regression"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:causal_inference"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:econometrics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:undergrad-ADA"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:re:ADAfaEPoV"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.russellsage.org/sites/all/files/Rethinking-Finance/Philippon_v3.pdf">
    <title>Finance vs. Wal-Mart: Why are Financial Services so Expensive?</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-14T05:26:47+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.russellsage.org/sites/all/files/Rethinking-Finance/Philippon_v3.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Despite its fast computers and credit derivatives, the current financial system does not seem better at transferring funds from savers to borrowers than the financial system of 1910."

--- I really wish papers like this would give more details about their calculations, and not use graphs which are so freaking painful to the eye.

--- ETA: Also, he never does get around to answering the question in his subtitle!]]></description>
<dc:subject>finance financialization economics whats_gone_wrong_with_america via:jbdelong have_read in_NB</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:4cbe9d1314e1/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:finance"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:financialization"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:whats_gone_wrong_with_america"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2015/february/economic-growth-information-technology-factor-productivity/">
    <title>Federal Reserve Bank San Francisco | The Recent Rise and Fall of Rapid Productivity Growth |</title>
    <dc:date>2015-02-14T04:35:56+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2015/february/economic-growth-information-technology-factor-productivity/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Information technology fueled a surge in U.S. productivity growth in the late 1990s and early 2000s. However, this rapid pace proved to be temporary, as productivity growth slowed before the Great Recession. Furthermore, looking through the effects of the economic downturn on productivity, the reduced pace of productivity gains has continued and suggests that average future output growth will likely be relatively slow."

--- But mightn't these also be sectors where measuring value-added is particularly difficult?  (Especially when a lot of the valuable product is supposed to be given away.)]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB have_read economics productivity innovation via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:52d745d34e63/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:productivity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:innovation"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/labor-saving-technology-by-dani-rodrik-2015-01">
    <title>From Welfare State to Innovation State by Dani Rodrik - Project Syndicate</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-15T23:02:52+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/labor-saving-technology-by-dani-rodrik-2015-01</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[I have a simpler proposal which would have much the same effect: http://bactra.org/weblog/438.html .]]></description>
<dc:subject>political_economy modest_proposals rodrik.dani via:jbdelong have_read blogged</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:15bf2dbc417b/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:modest_proposals"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:rodrik.dani"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:blogged"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://potemkinreview.com/pikettyinterview/">
    <title>Potemkin Review: Interview with Thomas Piketty</title>
    <dc:date>2015-01-15T21:47:50+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://potemkinreview.com/pikettyinterview/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>piketty.thomas political_economy economics inequality have_read via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:629c953da597/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:piketty.thomas"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.powells.com/biblio?isbn=978-0199392001">
    <title>Hall of Mirrors: The Great Depression, the Great Recession, and the Uses-And Misuses-Of History by Barry Eichengreen - Powell's Books</title>
    <dc:date>2014-11-24T02:11:29+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.powells.com/biblio?isbn=978-0199392001</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["There have been two global financial crises in the past century: the Great Depression of the 1930s and the Great Recession that began in 2008. Both featured loose credit, precarious real estate and stock market bubbles, suspicious banking practices, an inflexible monetary system, and global imbalances; both had devastating economic consequences. In both cases, people in the prosperous decade preceding the crash believed they were living in a post-volatility economy, one that had tamed the cycle of boom and bust. When the global financial system began to totter in 2008, policymakers were able to draw on the lessons of the Great Depression in order to prevent a repeat, but their response was still inadequate to prevent massive economic turmoil on a global scale.
"In Hall of Mirrors, renowned economist Barry Eichengreen provides the first book-length analysis of the two crises and their aftermaths. Weaving together the narratives of the 30s and recent years, he shows how fear of another Depression greatly informed the policy response after the Lehman Brothers collapse, with both positive and negative results. On the positive side, institutions took the opposite paths that they had during the Depression; government increased spending and cut taxes, and central banks reduced interest rates, flooded the market with liquidity, and coordinated international cooperation. This in large part prevented the bank failures, 25% unemployment rate, and other disasters that characterized the Great Depression. But they all too often hewed too closely and too literally to the lessons of the Depression, seeing it as a mirror rather than focusing on the core differences. Moreover, in their haste to differentiate themselves from their forbears, today's policymakers neglected the constructive but ultimately futile steps that the Federal Reserve took in the 1930s. While the rapidly constructed policies of late 2008 did succeed in staving off catastrophe in the years after, policymakers, institutions, and society as a whole were too eager to get back to normal, even when that meant stunting the recovery via harsh austerity policies and eschewing necessary long-term reforms. The result was a grindingly slow recovery in the US and a devastating recession in Europe."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB economics economic_history macroeconomics great_depression financial_crisis_of_2007-- via:jbdelong books:owned eichengreen.barry books:recommended have_read</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f96f0c7b6742/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:macroeconomics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:great_depression"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:financial_crisis_of_2007--"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:owned"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:eichengreen.barry"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:books:recommended"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://law.duke.edu/boylesite/bork.htm">
    <title>A Process of Denial: Bork and Postmodern Conservatism by James Boyle (1991)</title>
    <dc:date>2014-11-05T17:45:40+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://law.duke.edu/boylesite/bork.htm</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>law political_philosophy running_dogs_of_reaction conservatism liberalism evisceration us_politics bork.robert via:jbdelong have_read</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:00106330ae22/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:law"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_philosophy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:running_dogs_of_reaction"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:conservatism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:liberalism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:evisceration"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bork.robert"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/10/16/of-gamers-gates-and-disco-demolition-the-roots-of-reactionary-rage.html">
    <title>Of Gamers, Gates, and Disco Demolition: The Roots of Reactionary Rage - The Daily Beast</title>
    <dc:date>2014-10-17T00:07:36+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/10/16/of-gamers-gates-and-disco-demolition-the-roots-of-reactionary-rage.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[I can only imagine how he chortled over the ending.]]></description>
<dc:subject>cultural_criticism nerdworld have_read via:jbdelong no_really_via:jbdelong to:blog</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:314a1c6a277a/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:cultural_criticism"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:nerdworld"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:no_really_via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://nihoncassandra.blogspot.com/2014/09/the-rule-of-law-is-vastly-under-priced.html">
    <title>Cassandra Does Tokyo: The Rule of Law is Vastly Under-Priced</title>
    <dc:date>2014-09-27T18:34:49+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://nihoncassandra.blogspot.com/2014/09/the-rule-of-law-is-vastly-under-priced.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>political_philosophy inequality political_economy via:jbdelong have_read</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:53ef4f79b553/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_philosophy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="https://www.jacobinmag.com/2014/08/reading-hamilton-from-the-left/">
    <title>Reading Hamilton From the Left | Jacobin</title>
    <dc:date>2014-08-31T12:40:39+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>https://www.jacobinmag.com/2014/08/reading-hamilton-from-the-left/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>american_history political_economy economic_policy economic_growth hamilton.alexander have_read via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a3326fc81c7a/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:american_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_policy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_growth"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:hamilton.alexander"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.walterjonwilliams.net/2014/07/amazonia/">
    <title>Amazonia</title>
    <dc:date>2014-07-29T00:16:05+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.walterjonwilliams.net/2014/07/amazonia/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>publishing amazon market_failures_in_everything have_read via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:900cce3e5214/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:publishing"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:amazon"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:market_failures_in_everything"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/ad8e6204-0d38-11e4-bcb2-00144feabdc0.html?ftcamp=published_links/rss/comment/feed//product#axzz37pswH1bH">
    <title>A peek into the IMF machine - FT.com</title>
    <dc:date>2014-07-23T05:42:39+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/ad8e6204-0d38-11e4-bcb2-00144feabdc0.html?ftcamp=published_links/rss/comment/feed//product#axzz37pswH1bH</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>book_reviews institutions organizations ethnography imf economics have_read via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:94f39754f274/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:book_reviews"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:institutions"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:organizations"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:ethnography"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:imf"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.pieria.co.uk/articles/capital_in_pikettys_capital_2">
    <title>Capital in Pikettys Capital</title>
    <dc:date>2014-07-01T18:08:54+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.pieria.co.uk/articles/capital_in_pikettys_capital_2</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[This is, I think, the best explanation of why the Cambridge Capital Controversy is quite irrelevant here.]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics piketty.thomas via:jbdelong have_read</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b5b8e44a8244/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:piketty.thomas"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/06/29/magazine/whats-the-matter-with-eastern-kentucky.html?_r=0">
    <title>What’s the Matter With Eastern Kentucky? - NYTimes.com</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-30T16:06:59+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/06/29/magazine/whats-the-matter-with-eastern-kentucky.html?_r=0</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["The public debate about the haves and the have-nots tends to focus on the 1 percent, especially on the astonishing, breakaway wealth in cities like New York, San Francisco and Washington and the great disparities contained therein. But what has happened in the smudge of the country between New Orleans and Pittsburgh — the Deep South and Appalachia — is in many ways as remarkable as what has happened in affluent cities. In some places, decades of growth have failed to raise incomes, and of late, poverty has become more concentrated not in urban areas but in rural ones."

--- My experience of living in this part of the country is that lots of these places look like they lost the Cold War.  Maybe in some sense they did.
--- I also think the ghost of LBJ could fairly complain about much of the political framing in this article.  "Does the welfare state actually make life better for these poor people?" is a very different question from "has the welfare state eliminated poverty?", let alone from "has the welfare state brought equal prosperity to all areas of the country?"]]></description>
<dc:subject>have_read inequality class_struggles_in_america rural_decay appalachia poverty whats_gone_wrong_with_america via:jbdelong to:blog</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e583c5ee1435/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:class_struggles_in_america"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:rural_decay"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:appalachia"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:poverty"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:whats_gone_wrong_with_america"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://equitablegrowth.org/research/pikettys-treatment-housing-excuse-ignore/">
    <title>Is Piketty’s treatment of housing an excuse to ignore him? | Washington Center for Equitable Growth</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-25T20:53:45+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://equitablegrowth.org/research/pikettys-treatment-housing-excuse-ignore/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[There seems to be a lot of very weird stuff all through this line of argument on all sides -- physical units vs. monetary values, for starters.  (E.g., something seems very off if, in equilibrium, a marginal extra $1 of capital stock doesn't lead to a marginal increase in production whose net present value is $1.)]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics inequality piketty.thomas have_read via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:c2f9bec5cf43/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:piketty.thomas"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2014/6/17/5818094/this-disruptive-think-piece-will-change-the-world">
    <title>This disruptive think piece will change the world - Vox</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-19T00:06:13+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2014/6/17/5818094/this-disruptive-think-piece-will-change-the-world</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[This is the kind of thing which has put me off Yglesias.
0. The shorter, plainer version of this is "It's 100% true that calling your business 'disruptive' is all hype and bullshit aimed at hoodwinking rich idiots, but it benefits me right now, and at least once it led to genuine progress."
1. If you're going to respond to a piece, link to the piece.  In this case: Jill Lepore's New Yorker piece attacking Christensen's ideas about disruptive innovation.
2. The message of Lepore's piece wasn't that "disruption" is an annoying buzzword.  Rather, it was that the actual case for "disruption" as a phenomenon in economic history is very weak: it makes bad predictions, and lots of Christensen's own case studies don't fit his theory or didn't actually happen as he presents them.  In other words: it's bad scholarship.  (From Harvard! Shock!)  Yglesias doesn't even begin to address this charge.]]></description>
<dc:subject>innovation ideology utter_stupidity yglesias.matthew via:jbdelong have_read the_wired_ideology</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:875ba8c5bc54/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:innovation"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:ideology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:utter_stupidity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:yglesias.matthew"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:the_wired_ideology"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.interfluidity.com/v2/5149.html">
    <title>interfluidity » Welfare economics: an introduction (part 1 of a series)</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-11T00:45:05+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.interfluidity.com/v2/5149.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>economics moral_philosophy via:jbdelong allocative_efficiency to:blog</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b477ae71c24c/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:moral_philosophy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:allocative_efficiency"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.interfluidity.com/v2/5117.html">
    <title>interfluidity » Should markets clear?</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-11T00:44:49+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.interfluidity.com/v2/5117.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Yes.  This should all be obvious.  Yes.]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics inequality moral_philosophy via:jbdelong market_failures_in_everything allocative_efficiency to:blog</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6877baf3788d/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:inequality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:moral_philosophy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:market_failures_in_everything"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:allocative_efficiency"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.newrepublic.com/article/118048/william-pattersons-robert-heinlein-biography-hagiography">
    <title>William Patterson's Robert Heinlein Biography Is a Hagiography | New Republic</title>
    <dc:date>2014-06-09T03:17:49+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.newrepublic.com/article/118048/william-pattersons-robert-heinlein-biography-hagiography</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>book_reviews science_fiction heinlein.robert via:jbdelong have_read running_dogs_of_reaction</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:338d5f46c0aa/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:book_reviews"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:science_fiction"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:heinlein.robert"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:running_dogs_of_reaction"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://delong.typepad.com/files/edwards---april-2014.pdf">
    <title>Economic Revolution: Song China and England</title>
    <dc:date>2014-04-28T20:54:42+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://delong.typepad.com/files/edwards---april-2014.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["I claim that China during the Song Dynasty (960 – 1279 AD) (Song China hereafter) experienced the onset of an Economic Revolution, preceding England’s by nearly a millennium. The concept of Economic Revolution is defined to include two types – one Premodern (non-science based) with a low growth rate of per capita product and one Modern (science-based) with a high growth rate of per capita product. It is argued that the Song China vs. England comparison is more relevant than other comparisons with England. Using both the Song China and England episodes, I introduce a new definition of the “onset of an Economic Revolution” that identifies preliminary social changes. I call this the Embryonic Stage and contend that it causes firm formation, household changes and an increase in the pace of technological innovation. I argue the Embryonic Stage more clearly identifies and dates the onset of an Economic Revolution. This has important implications for causal theories."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to_read economics industrial_revolution world_history medieval_eurasian_history china economic_history economic_growth great_transformation via:jbdelong entableted in_NB</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b477368baf8a/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:industrial_revolution"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:world_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:medieval_eurasian_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:china"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_growth"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:great_transformation"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:entableted"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.vox.com/2014/4/23/5642116/liberal-climate-denial">
    <title>What’s the liberal equivalent of climate denial? - Vox</title>
    <dc:date>2014-04-23T22:24:58+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.vox.com/2014/4/23/5642116/liberal-climate-denial</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Political reasoning doesn't take place inside our heads. It takes place inside our parties."]]></description>
<dc:subject>us_politics ideology collective_cognition social_life_of_the_mind re:democratic_cognition via:jbdelong have_read</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e0a766075384/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:ideology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:collective_cognition"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_life_of_the_mind"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:re:democratic_cognition"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://baselinescenario.com/2014/03/26/a-book-that-needed-to-be-written/">
    <title>A Book That Needed To Be Written | The Baseline Scenario</title>
    <dc:date>2014-04-08T16:53:55+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://baselinescenario.com/2014/03/26/a-book-that-needed-to-be-written/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[How does it compare to _No One Makes You Shop At Walmart_?]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics debunking via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:3cc387a02071/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:debunking"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.theawl.com/2014/03/the-service-economy-trap-inside-brooklyns-barista-class">
    <title>Inside The Barista Class - The Awl</title>
    <dc:date>2014-03-31T17:39:25+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.theawl.com/2014/03/the-service-economy-trap-inside-brooklyns-barista-class</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>class_struggles_in_america service_industry via:jbdelong economics class have_read to:blog</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:5f284fa2b742/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:class_struggles_in_america"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:service_industry"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:class"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://sociology.berkeley.edu/sites/default/files/faculty/fligstein/Why%20the%20Federal%20Reserve%20Failed%20to%20See%20the%20Crisis%20of%202008%20v.2.6.pdf">
    <title>Why the Federal Reserve Failed to See the Financial Crisis of 2008: The Role of “Macroeconomics” as a Sensemaking and Cultural Frame</title>
    <dc:date>2014-03-06T23:17:08+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://sociology.berkeley.edu/sites/default/files/faculty/fligstein/Why%20the%20Federal%20Reserve%20Failed%20to%20See%20the%20Crisis%20of%202008%20v.2.6.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["One of the puzzles about the financial crisis of 2008 is why the regulators were so slow to recognize the impending collapse of the financial system. In this, paper, we propose a novel account of what happened. We analyze the meeting transcripts of the Federal Reserve’s main decision-making body, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), to show that they had surprisingly little recognition that there was a serious financial crisis brewing as late as December 2007. This lack of awareness was a function of the inability of the FOMC to connect the unfolding events into a narrative reflecting the links between the housing market, the subprime mortgage market, and the financial instruments being used to package the mortgages into securities. We use the idea of sensemaking to explain how this happened. The Fed’s main analytic framework for making sense of the economy, macroeconomic theory, made it difficult for them to connect the disparate events that comprised the financial crisis into a coherent whole. We use topic modeling to analyze transcripts of FOMC meetings held between 2000 and 2007, demonstrating that the framework provided by macroeconomics dominated FOMC conversations throughout this period. The topic models also show that each of the issues involved in the crisis remained a separate discussion and were never connected together. A close reading of the texts supports this argument. We conclude with implications for future such crises and for thinking about culture and sensemaking more generally."

- Topic models FTW.]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB to_read topic_models text_mining macroeconomics economic_policy economics sociology social_life_of_the_mind groupthink via:jbdelong ideology</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e25393650a3b/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:topic_models"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:text_mining"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:macroeconomics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_policy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:sociology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_life_of_the_mind"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:groupthink"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:ideology"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&amp;aid=9176762">
    <title>Cambridge Journals Online - The Journal of Economic History - Abstract - Plagues, Wages, and Economic Change in the Islamic Middle East, 700–1500</title>
    <dc:date>2014-03-06T23:13:45+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&amp;aid=9176762</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["This study establishes long-term trends in the purchasing power of the wages of unskilled workers and develops estimates for GDP per capita for medieval Egypt and Iraq. Wages were heavily influenced by two long-lasting demographic shocks, the Justinian Plague and the Black Death and the slow population recovery that followed. As a result, they remained above the subsistence minimum for most of the medieval era. We also argue that the environment of high wages that emerged after the Justinian Plague contributed to the Golden Age of Islam by creating demand for higher income goods."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB economic_history medieval_eurasian_history islamic_civilization via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:28ef8d94b766/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:medieval_eurasian_history"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:islamic_civilization"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://worthwhile.typepad.com/worthwhile_canadian_initi/2013/12/microfoundations-we-like-vs-microfoundations-we-can-solve.html">
    <title>Worthwhile Canadian Initiative: Microfoundations we like vs microfoundations we can solve</title>
    <dc:date>2013-12-20T14:32:29+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://worthwhile.typepad.com/worthwhile_canadian_initi/2013/12/microfoundations-we-like-vs-microfoundations-we-can-solve.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[I fail to see why conclusion #4 is not altogether correct, and if it's outside the current comfort zone and skill-set of economists, well, that's just sad.]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics macroeconomics social_science_methodology agent-based_models simulation via:jbdelong to:blog</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:1357df5cfb2f/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:macroeconomics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_science_methodology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:agent-based_models"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:simulation"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://m.mind.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2013/10/31/mind.fzt073.full?keytype=ref&amp;ijkey=JaKp6eczj44oA1I">
    <title>Mind: Review of &quot;Basic Structures of Reality: Essays in Meta-Physics&quot;, by Colin McGinn.</title>
    <dc:date>2013-11-04T18:29:45+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://m.mind.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2013/10/31/mind.fzt073.full?keytype=ref&amp;ijkey=JaKp6eczj44oA1I</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Oh, my.]]></description>
<dc:subject>book_reviews evisceration philosophy_of_science utter_stupidity mcginn.colin philosophy_of_physics via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:57255dd94ea5/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:book_reviews"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:evisceration"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:philosophy_of_science"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:utter_stupidity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:mcginn.colin"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:philosophy_of_physics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://teaching.berkeley.edu/blog/what-evaluations-measure-part-ii">
    <title>What Evaluations Measure: Part II | Center for Teaching and Learning</title>
    <dc:date>2013-10-23T22:06:04+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://teaching.berkeley.edu/blog/what-evaluations-measure-part-ii</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>education academia bad_data_analysis statistics via:jbdelong stark.philip_b.</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:69330b162c0f/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:education"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:academia"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bad_data_analysis"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:stark.philip_b."/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://teaching.berkeley.edu/blog/evaluating-evaluations-part-1">
    <title>Evaluating Evaluations: Part 1 | Center for Teaching and Learning</title>
    <dc:date>2013-10-23T22:05:40+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://teaching.berkeley.edu/blog/evaluating-evaluations-part-1</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>education academia statistics bad_data_analysis via:jbdelong stark.philip_b.</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e51789fa3624/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:education"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:academia"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bad_data_analysis"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:stark.philip_b."/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://jeffweintraub.blogspot.com/2013/07/adam-smiths-conceptual-sleight-of-hand.html">
    <title>Jeff Weintraub: Adam Smith's conceptual sleight-of-hand on exchange, cooperation, and the foundations of social order</title>
    <dc:date>2013-07-08T17:07:32+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://jeffweintraub.blogspot.com/2013/07/adam-smiths-conceptual-sleight-of-hand.html</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>political_economy social_theory smith.adam weintraub.jeff via:jbdelong have_read moral_psychology</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:88e7ab2f1152/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:political_economy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_theory"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:smith.adam"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:weintraub.jeff"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:moral_psychology"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.ithaka.org/sites/default/files/files/ITHAKA-TheCostDiseaseinHigherEducation.pdf">
    <title>The &quot;Cost Disease&quot; in Higher Education: Is Technology the Answer? (Bowen, 2012)</title>
    <dc:date>2013-06-04T13:43:06+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.ithaka.org/sites/default/files/files/ITHAKA-TheCostDiseaseinHigherEducation.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>to_read education academia moocs bowen.william_g. economics via:jbdelong in_NB cost_disease</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:d50be3baa7ee/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:education"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:academia"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:moocs"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bowen.william_g."/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:cost_disease"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://k.web.umkc.edu/keltons/Papers/501/functional%20finance.pdf">
    <title>Functional Finance and the Federal Debt</title>
    <dc:date>2013-04-26T03:16:47+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://k.web.umkc.edu/keltons/Papers/501/functional%20finance.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>economics economic_policy lerner.abba have_read via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:ad2f9f6872e8/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economic_policy"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:lerner.abba"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://itself.wordpress.com/2013/04/09/my-radical-pedagogical-program/">
    <title>My radical pedagogical program | An und für sich</title>
    <dc:date>2013-04-10T15:33:21+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://itself.wordpress.com/2013/04/09/my-radical-pedagogical-program/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[Worth quoting in full:

"First, you need to read good books. To get the most out of those books, you need to talk about them with other people who are also trying to work their way through them. In addition, you need to write about them in a disciplined and focused way. Both of these tasks require supervision and guidance by more experienced learners — preferably those who have already gone through an educational program that takes both discussion and written analysis to the highest level.
"Second, for some types of skills — such as language acquisition, mathematical manipulation, and technical lab skills — there’s no way around requiring carefully targetted and supervised exercises. Preferably, these exercises would be developed and overseen by someone with a high degree of technical proficiency and experience in the field in question, as such a person would have the best view of which skills were most valuable.
"Finally, for command of facts, limited use of rote memorization can provide a baseline, but the main focus should be on learning how best to search for information and assess the trustworthiness of the sources found. All of this is best done in close dialogue with someone who has a lot of experience with research.
"I believe that the pedagogical research would bear all this out, and my own experience at an institution that embraces this model shows me that it works.
"Starting from these premises, certain natural consequences inevitably present themselves.
"First, we must minimize the number of full-time faculty at our institutions and rely heavily on less experienced instructors such as grad students. Second, we need to invest as many resources as possible in administration and capital-intensive projects such as new buildings and cutting-edge computer technology. Third, in order to increase access to quality education, we need to vastly “scale up” lecture courses to the point where students will have no direct contact with the instructor at all. (Indeed, we should repeatedly re-use recorded lectures so that the instructor doesn’t even need to be involved with the course on an ongoing basis.) Finally, in developing our programs, we need to be guided above all by the whims of wealthy donors — after all, if they’re willing to pay for it, it must be worth doing.
"Only by using such an evidence-based model of higher education can we continue the tradition of excellence that has made the American university system the envy of the world."]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:blog moocs education academia funny:academic funny:laughing_instead_of_screaming funny:pointed via:jbdelong kotsko.adam</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:c98fe75b2a34/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:moocs"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:education"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:academia"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:funny:academic"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:funny:laughing_instead_of_screaming"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:funny:pointed"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:kotsko.adam"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2013/01/17/1342082/a-tempest-in-a-spreadsheet/?">
    <title>A tempest in a spreadsheet | FT Alphaville</title>
    <dc:date>2013-01-17T22:13:43+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2013/01/17/1342082/a-tempest-in-a-spreadsheet/?</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>utter_stupidity financial_markets modeling spreadsheets via:jbdelong to_teach:statcomp</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:53cb54e3083b/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:utter_stupidity"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:financial_markets"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:modeling"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:spreadsheets"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:statcomp"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm">
    <title>Online Data - Robert Shiller</title>
    <dc:date>2013-01-14T15:07:38+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[I feel that the Kids are excessively interested in finance, so I'd rather not feed that, but at the same time, showing how crazy many of the models they're taught in their other classes are is a legitimate pedagogical goal...]]></description>
<dc:subject>data_sets finance to_teach:undergrad-ADA via:jbdelong have_taught</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f81e72ea96c5/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:data_sets"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:finance"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_teach:undergrad-ADA"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:have_taught"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.25.2.111">
    <title>Offshoring Bias in U.S. Manufacturing</title>
    <dc:date>2012-12-15T15:06:12+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.25.2.111</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["In this paper, we show that the substitution of imported for domestically produced goods and services—often known as offshoring—can lead to overestimates of U.S. productivity growth and value added. We explore how the measurement of productivity and value added in manufacturing has been affected by the dramatic rise in imports of manufactured goods, which more than doubled from 1997 to 2007. We argue that, analogous to the widely discussed problem of outlet substitution bias in the literature on the Consumer Price Index, the price declines associated with the shift to low-cost foreign suppliers are generally not captured in existing price indexes. Just as the CPI fails to capture fully the lower prices for consumers due to the entry and expansion of big-box retailers like Wal-Mart, import price indexes and the intermediate input price indexes based on them do not capture the price drops associated with a shift to new low-cost suppliers in China and other developing countries. As a result, the real growth of imported inputs has been understated. And if input growth is understated, it follows that the growth in multifactor productivity and real value added in the manufacturing sector have been overstated. We estimate that average annual multifactor productivity growth in manufacturing was overstated by 0.1 to 0.2 percentage point and real value added growth by 0.2 to 0.5 percentage point from 1997 to 2007. Moreover, this bias may have accounted for a fifth to a half of the growth in real value added in manufacturing output excluding the computer and electronics industry."]]></description>
<dc:subject>economics statistics whats_gone_wrong_with_america via:jbdelong in_NB</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6b3198a59cc6/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:statistics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:whats_gone_wrong_with_america"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:in_NB"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.international.ucla.edu/media/files/Smith.pdf">
    <title>Constructivist and Ecological Rationality in Economics</title>
    <dc:date>2012-10-05T23:27:14+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.international.ucla.edu/media/files/Smith.pdf</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA[It's rather remarkable to give so much space to the California electric market crisis, without mentioning terms like "fraud", "manipulation", or even "Enron".]]></description>
<dc:subject>to:NB economics bounded_rationality experimental_economics social_science_methodology self-organization smith.vernon via:jbdelong to_read rationality social_engineering color_me_skeptical</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:d83aeda11930/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:NB"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:bounded_rationality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:experimental_economics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_science_methodology"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:self-organization"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:smith.vernon"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to_read"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:rationality"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:social_engineering"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:color_me_skeptical"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/5e8e3902-9db1-11e1-9a9e-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1v2OEC2fU">
    <title>Era of a diminished superpower - FT.com</title>
    <dc:date>2012-05-16T13:08:23+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/5e8e3902-9db1-11e1-9a9e-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1v2OEC2fU</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><dc:subject>whats_gone_wrong_with_america via:jbdelong</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:856191aa6f15/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:whats_gone_wrong_with_america"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://nymag.com/print/?/news/features/gop-primary-chait-2012-3/">
    <title>2012 or Never</title>
    <dc:date>2012-03-04T16:47:38+00:00</dc:date>
    <link>http://nymag.com/print/?/news/features/gop-primary-chait-2012-3/</link>
    <dc:creator>cshalizi</dc:creator><description><![CDATA["Republicans are worried this election could be their last chance to stop history. This is fear talking. But not paranoia."]]></description>
<dc:subject>us_politics running_dogs_of_reaction chait.jonathan via:jbdelong to:blog</dc:subject>
<dc:source>https://pinboard.in/</dc:source>
<dc:identifier>https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:d8960c004c90/</dc:identifier>
<taxo:topics><rdf:Bag>	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:us_politics"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:running_dogs_of_reaction"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:chait.jonathan"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:via:jbdelong"/>
	<rdf:li rdf:resource="https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/t:to:blog"/>
</rdf:Bag></taxo:topics>
</item>
</rdf:RDF>