Pinboard (cshalizi) https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/public/ recent bookmarks from cshalizi [2603.12277] Prompt Injection as Role Confusion 2026-07-15T01:42:49+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.12277 cshalizi or . We trace prompt injection to role confusion: models perceive the source of text from how it sounds, not its labeled role. A command hidden in a webpage hijacks an agent simply because it sounds like text, despite its label. We design role probes to measure how LLMs internally perceive "who is speaking," and find that injected text occupies the same representational space as the trusted role it imitates. We demonstrate this with CoT Forgery, a zero-shot attack that injects fabricated reasoning into user prompts and tool outputs. Models mistake the forgery for their own thoughts, yielding 60% attack success against frontier models with near-zero baselines. Strikingly, the degree of role confusion predicts attack success before a single token is generated. This mechanism generalizes beyond CoT Forgery to standard agent prompt injections, revealing prompt injection as a measurable consequence of role perception. To the model, sounding like a role is indistinguishable from being one. Project page and writeup: this https URL" --- See [https://role-confusion.github.io/] for engaging plain-language write-up.]]> to:NB to_read large_language_models_(so_called) https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b289438036ed/ What Do Historical Language Models Model? 2026-06-26T02:40:52+00:00 https://philpapers.org/archive/POIWDH.pdf cshalizi to:NB to_read large_language_models_(so_called) historiography historiography_101 social_science_methodology social_measurement via:henry_farrell ginzburg!_thou_shouldst_be_living_at_this_hour https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:be678eb46e38/ Conceptualizing Academic Freedom | Annual Reviews 2026-06-18T14:27:59+00:00 https://www.annualreviews.org/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-polisci-032624-025000 cshalizi to:NB to_read academic_freedom via:henry_farrell https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:01dff0f0ccd5/ [2606.13280] Generalization Bounds for Transformer-Based Next-Token Prediction in a Language Model 2026-06-17T16:26:17+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.13280 cshalizi to:NB to_read learning_theory natural_language_processing large_language_models_(so_called) via:mraginsky https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:87e01de8c417/ Empires (Doyle, 1986) 2026-05-20T16:50:03+00:00 https://hdl.handle.net/2027/heb01869.0001.001 cshalizi to:NB books:noted to_read imperialism comparative_history re:do-institutions-evolve via:aeo https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e53f31fe26c3/ Volume 23 Issue 3-4 | Foundations and Trends in Communications and Information Theory | Emerald Publishing 2026-05-19T15:46:33+00:00 https://doi.org/10.1108/FTCIT-09-2025-0149 cshalizi to_read information_theory learning_theory learning_under_dependence in_NB low-regret_learning online_learning https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:eb2f88390f74/ [2504.09762] Position: Stop Anthropomorphizing Intermediate Tokens as Reasoning/Thinking Traces! 2026-05-01T13:41:17+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.09762 cshalizi via:rvenkat to_read to:NB large_language_models_(so_called) chain-of-thought_(so_called) https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:ade957324966/ [2604.19560] Separating Geometry from Probability in the Analysis of Generalization 2026-04-22T20:22:34+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.19560 cshalizi to:NB to_read recht.benjamin raginsky.maxim learning_theory optimization via:mraginsky to_teach:childs_garden_of_statistical_learning_theory straight_into_my_veins interpolation https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:963cc7aaa897/ AI & I: An Intellectual History of Artificial Intelligence | Books Gateway | MIT Press 2026-04-16T16:45:59+00:00 https://direct.mit.edu/books/monograph/5848/AI-amp-IAn-Intellectual-History-of-Artificial cshalizi in_NB books:noted downloaded to_read artificial_intelligence machine_learning charniak.eugene https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:ae501489213b/ The Great Energy Transition: America from 1876 to 1929 | Books Gateway | MIT Press 2026-04-16T13:16:40+00:00 https://direct.mit.edu/books/monograph/6116/The-Great-Energy-TransitionAmerica-from-1876-to cshalizi to:NB books:noted to_read american_history 19th_century_history 20th_century_history great_transformation the_present_before_it_was_widely_distributed re:the_singularity_in_our_past_light-cone books:suggest_to_library https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e461d24ea7cb/ Carnapian Inductive Logic for Exponential Smoothing | Philosophy of Science | Cambridge Core 2026-04-15T13:16:02+00:00 https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/philosophy-of-science/article/abs/carnapian-inductive-logic-for-exponential-smoothing/84DD31142459DFD0289CCE8915E79952?WT.mc_id=New%2520Cambridge%2520Alert%2520-%2520Articles cshalizi to:NB prediction statistics non-stationarity induction to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:0b80819ed32c/ How Do You Identify a Good Manager?* | The Quarterly Journal of Economics | Oxford Academic 2026-04-13T19:40:03+00:00 https://academic.oup.com/qje/article/141/2/1581/8435315?nbd=45497357721 cshalizi to:NB experimental_economics management economics to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a8ebab345ac7/ Dennett's Real Patterns in Science and Nature | Books Gateway | MIT Press 2026-04-08T17:36:05+00:00 https://direct.mit.edu/books/oa-edited-volume/6112/Dennett-s-Real-Patterns-in-Science-and-Nature cshalizi books:noted philosophy_of_science emergence dennett.daniel_c. to_read downloaded in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:3fd27bfc9cb4/ [2601.10825] Reasoning Models Generate Societies of Thought 2026-04-08T16:58:19+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.10825 cshalizi to:NB to_read artificial_intelligence large_language_models_(so_called) ensemble_methods evans.james kith_and_kin https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f2cf63b3474b/ Measured Inference: Scales, Statistics, and Scientific Inference | Philosophy of Science | Cambridge Core 2026-04-08T16:56:58+00:00 https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/philosophy-of-science/article/measured-inference-scales-statistics-and-scientific-inference/527F6793A1C954F01A321E72F780E931?WT.mc_id=New%2520Cambridge%2520Alert%2520-%2520Issues cshalizi to:NB measurement philosophy_of_science statistics mayo-wilson.conor to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:cb7083aa4fd5/ OPEC, the Seven Sisters, and oil market dominance: An evolutionary game theory and agent-based modeling approach - ScienceDirect 2026-03-27T19:56:07+00:00 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0167268116301202?via%3Dihub cshalizi to:NB to_read economic_history agent-based_models evolutionary_game_theory via:aeo 20th_century_history https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:ceba46bcf38f/ Communicate with Ollama to Run Large Language Models Locally • rollama 2026-03-26T16:16:04+00:00 https://jbgruber.github.io/rollama/ cshalizi to:NB to_read large_language_models_(so_called) to_teach:statistics_and_generative_ai via:phnk https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:04a78f4bc198/ [2602.15902] Doc-to-LoRA: Learning to Instantly Internalize Contexts 2026-03-11T14:08:14+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.15902 cshalizi to:NB large_language_models_(so_called) to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:012f6f18ff71/ [1108.0799] Ito calculus without probability in idealized financial markets 2026-03-10T10:53:13+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1108.0799 cshalizi to:NB to_read stochastic_differential_equations mathematics vovk.vladimir finance via:mraginsky https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:d0fd5a421d09/ The American Fever Dream: How Generative Models Privatize the Social Fabric 2026-02-26T17:37:29+00:00 https://anadodik.github.io/publication/fever-dream/fever-dream.pdf cshalizi to:NB to_read large_language_models_(so_called) re:ai_as_social_technology https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f8ca0b2d610b/ [2501.00663] Titans: Learning to Memorize at Test Time 2026-02-19T06:14:58+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.00663 cshalizi to_read large_language_models_(so_called) neural_networks via:absfac in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:9af070ea390c/ [2602.04250] A Note on Physical Dependence and Mixing Conditions for Triangular Arrays 2026-02-05T14:10:03+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.04250 cshalizi to_read mixing re:codename:catherine_wheel in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a231e8b97c1d/ [2512.24999] Basic Inequalities for First-Order Optimization with Applications to Statistical Risk Analysis 2026-01-07T15:13:39+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.24999 cshalizi to:NB to_read optimization statistics re:HEAS tibshirani.ryan telgarsky.matus via:mraginsky https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:00ba72cd5eb8/ Measure-Theoretic Time-Delay Embedding | Journal of Statistical Physics 2025-12-26T14:25:12+00:00 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10955-025-03555-1 cshalizi to:NB to_read state-space_reconstruction dynamical_systems stochastic_processes re:codename:catherine_wheel https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:ddcab3885772/ A local–global principle for nonequilibrium steady states | PNAS 2025-12-18T02:50:13+00:00 https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2411731121 cshalizi to:NB non-equilibrium self-organization statistical_mechanics stochastic_processes markov_models randall.dana to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:1730b51f604e/ [2512.00175] Comparing Two Proxy Methods for Causal Identification 2025-12-07T15:10:34+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.00175 cshalizi to:NB causal_inference statistics ogburn.elizabeth to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:17f84a7565d6/ [2512.02208] Projective limits of probabilistic symmetries and their applications to random graph limits 2025-12-06T14:27:58+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.02208 cshalizi to:NB graph_theory graph_limits point_processes symmetry to_read krioukov.dmitri https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6f35f1d08be2/ [2512.02193] From monoliths to modules: Decomposing transducers for efficient world modelling 2025-12-06T14:26:05+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.02193 cshalizi to:NB to_read transducers theoretical_computer_science automata_theory prediction https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:c73c05eb44db/ [2212.01987] Fractal dimensions for Iterated Graph Systems 2025-12-03T20:39:06+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.01987 cshalizi to:NB fractals networks graph_theory re:fractal_network_asymptotics to_read scooped? via:vaguery https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:0d244921ef96/ [2510.15511] Language Models are Injective and Hence Invertible 2025-11-06T15:56:39+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.15511 cshalizi to_read large_language_models_(so_called) via:mraginsky in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e4c52e75e008/ OSF | Network structure explains intellectual discourse across human history 2025-10-28T17:50:12+00:00 https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/ep3ub_v3 cshalizi to_read color_me_skeptical social_networks social_life_of_the_mind https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:581c5eeb9956/ [2510.16250] One-Bit Quantization for Random Features Models 2025-10-25T20:06:30+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.16250 cshalizi to_read random_features neural_networks in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:8c8e1f29f66c/ Complex Contagion in Social Networks: Causal Evidence from a Country-Scale Field Experiment 2025-10-25T20:05:30+00:00 https://sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12-28-685/ cshalizi to:NB contagion diffusion_of_innovations social_networks re:homophily_and_confounding lazer.david to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:69d0da3f7294/ Density‐Valued ARMA Models by Spline Mixtures - Matsuda - Journal of Time Series Analysis - Wiley Online Library 2025-10-25T20:02:50+00:00 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/jtsa.70025?campaign=wolearlyview cshalizi to:NB splines time_series nonparametrics to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2c29c195dd77/ [2403.02579] Geometric Dynamics of Signal Propagation Predict Trainability of Transformers 2025-10-22T19:00:48+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.02579 cshalizi to_read interacting_particle_systems large_language_models_(so_called) re:large_language_models_in_statistical_perspective in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:79276f50856c/ Precise Asymptotic Analysis of Deep Random Feature Models 2025-09-27T10:58:52+00:00 https://proceedings.mlr.press/v195/bosch23a.html cshalizi to:NB to_read random_features via:mraginsky https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:5b927f9752dd/ A Stepping Stone Approach to Norm Transitions - American Economic Association 2025-09-22T17:14:04+00:00 https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20230458 cshalizi to:NB to_read young.h_peyton institutions cultural_evolution re:do-institutions-evolve evolutionary_game_theory https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:97fbe7c5d5da/ [2509.04664] Why Language Models Hallucinate 2025-09-22T16:18:57+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.04664 cshalizi to:NB to_read via:everyone to_teach:statistics_and_generative_ai large_language_models_(so_called) https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e279ffa5ce6d/ On some alleged philosophical implications of mathematical logic (Benes, 1953) | Philosophical Studies 2025-09-05T16:19:56+00:00 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF02333197 cshalizito:NB to_read mathematics logic philosophy via:mraginsky https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:647cf3750676/ Social Conflict and the Evolution of Unequal Conventions | Journal of the European Economic Association | Oxford Academic 2025-09-05T16:13:38+00:00 https://academic.oup.com/jeea/article-abstract/22/5/2261/7582277?redirectedFrom=PDF&login=false cshalizi to:NB to_read cultural_evolution institutions inequality bowles.samuel naidu.suresh to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination via:henry_farrell https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:de97228cfc12/ [2502.05148] An Annotated Reading of 'The Singer of Tales' in the LLM Era 2025-09-05T16:07:32+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.05148 cshalizi oral_epics re:gopnikism large_language_models_(so_called) via:henry_farrell to_read in_NB re:the_singer_of_tales_and_the_house_of_intellect https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2c883327eae9/ Computational Hermeneutics: Evaluating Generative AI as a Cultural Technology by Cody Kommers, Ruth Ahnert, Maria Antoniak, Emmanouil Benetos, Steve Benford, Mercedes Bunz, Baptiste Caramiaux, Shauna Concannon, Martin Disley, James Dobson, Yali Du, Edgar 2025-09-05T15:05:09+00:00 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5409144 cshalizi to:NB to_read large_language_models_(so_called) humanities interpretation re:gopnikism https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a9eb550e3ac3/ Fast Computation of Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation for $k$-NN Regression | OpenReview 2025-09-02T19:30:09+00:00 https://openreview.net/forum?id=SBE2q9qwZj cshalizi to:NB to_read nearest_neighbors to_teach:data-mining to_teach:undergrad-ADA via:? https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a7ddd207a4f6/ [2508.21055] Modern aspects of Markov chains: entropy, curvature and the cutoff phenomenon 2025-09-02T02:49:02+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.21055 cshalizi to:NB to_read markov_models stochastic_processes https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:4b52c6b91f38/ Doing AI differently | The Alan Turing Institute 2025-08-25T13:52:18+00:00 https://www.turing.ac.uk/news/publications/doing-ai-differently cshalizi to:NB to_read artificial_intelligence large_language_models_(so_called) humanities https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:ade8f35f82e9/ [1807.03819] Universal Transformers 2025-08-20T03:25:31+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1807.03819 cshalizi to_read large_language_models_(so_called) in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2ebbe7c393ac/ [2508.05776] Whither symbols in the era of advanced neural networks? 2025-08-16T13:20:46+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.05776 cshalizi to:NB cognitive_science artificial_intelligence large_language_models_(so_called) neural_networks via:melanie_mitchell to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:35961d1fced6/ The dynamics and geometry of choice in the premotor cortex | Nature 2025-08-15T22:37:22+00:00 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09199-1 cshalizi to:NB to_read neuroscience neural_coding_and_decoding neural_control_of_action decision-making https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:51b6338e7543/ A brief introduction to Reservoir Computing | Francesco Martinuzzi 2025-08-07T15:03:08+00:00 https://martinuzzifrancesco.github.io/posts/a-brief-introduction-to-reservoir-computing/ cshalizito:NB to_read reservoir_computing dynamical_systems prediction re:codename:catherine_wheel https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b949b5cf35ce/ [2412.13212] An introduction to reservoir computing 2025-08-07T14:51:00+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.13212 cshalizi to:NB reservoir_computing to_read re:codename:catherine_wheel https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f06002878a5c/ [1808.04962] Recent Advances in Physical Reservoir Computing: A Review 2025-08-07T14:49:55+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.04962 cshalizi to:NB reservoir_computing to_read re:codename:catherine_wheel https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:89a2d8414d87/ Emerging opportunities and challenges for the future of reservoir computing | Nature Communications 2025-08-07T14:44:41+00:00 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-45187-1 cshalizi to:NB reservoir_computing re:codename:catherine_wheel to_read prediction dynamical_systems https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:951abc62d069/ Competing social influence in contested diffusion: contention and the spread of the early reformation1 | Social Forces | Oxford Academic 2025-08-06T18:02:45+00:00 https://academic.oup.com/sf/advance-article/doi/10.1093/sf/soaf079/8171706?login=false cshalizi to:NB early_modern_european_history social_networks diffusion_of_innovations sociology luther.martin erasmus.desiderius to_read re:do-institutions-evolve https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:fa4788783ab3/ [2406.01382] Do Large Language Models Perform the Way People Expect? Measuring the Human Generalization Function 2025-08-05T15:15:26+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.01382 cshalizi to_read large_language_models_(so_called) human-computer_interaction vafa.keyon mullainathan.sendhil in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7c8ec70f8c6b/ Fairness and Signaling in Bargaining Games - PhilSci-Archive 2025-08-05T13:26:58+00:00 https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/26062/ cshalizi to:NB to_read evolutionary_game_theory inequality to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination re:do-institutions-evolve o'connor.cailin https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e203827a0dd2/ From Frequency to Meaning: Vector Space Models of Semantics | Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research (2010) 2025-08-05T13:21:08+00:00 https://www.jair.org/index.php/jair/article/view/10640 cshalizi to:NB natural_language_processing to_read turney.peter_d. https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a4a6080e4e01/ [2507.06268] A Collectivist, Economic Perspective on AI 2025-08-05T13:18:46+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.06268 cshalizi to:NB to_read jordan.michael_i. artificial_intelligence machine_learning mechanism_design collaborative_filtering institutions collective_cognition https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:9ecd3e67d562/ Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine - ScienceDirect 2025-08-05T13:07:54+00:00 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0065245808604180 cshalizi to:NB to_read artificial_intelligence good.i.j. via:mraginsky https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7b869735df81/ Social Media, Social Control, and the Politics of Public Shaming | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core 2025-08-05T13:01:35+00:00 https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/social-media-social-control-and-the-politics-of-public-shaming/2BC3349DF48F25D83ADD3271FF2FCEB6 cshalizi to:NB to_read networked_life social_media shame sociology institutions https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e46bacd32165/ The Nicholson blowfly experiments: Some history and EDA 2025-07-29T14:02:16+00:00 https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~brill/Papers/jtsa2012.pdf cshalizi to:NB to_read time_series to_teach:data_over_space_and_time re:codename:catherine_wheel brillinger.david_r. https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e5a367e433cf/ Axioms and Intuitions about Societal Inequality : What does the Gini Coefficient Measure? | Journal of Income Distribution® 2025-07-29T13:49:21+00:00 https://jid.journals.yorku.ca/index.php/jid/article/view/40591 cshalizi to:NB to_read inequality social_measurement economics bowles.samuel carlin.wendy to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7563ea1351cb/ The Market for Quacks on JSTOR 2025-07-28T14:15:34+00:00 https://www.jstor.org/stable/4123261 cshalizi to:NB to_read psychoceramics market_failures_in_everything economics via:? https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:ef22bfe65165/ Situating Bayesian Knowledge: A Case Study of Modelling Pollutant Transfers from Land to Water – Computational Culture 2025-07-17T14:36:14+00:00 http://computationalculture.net/situating-bayesian-knowledge/ cshalizi to:NB to_read to_read_maybe the_french_disease bayesianism hydrology spatio-temporal_statistics re:phil-of-bayes_paper https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e7e6be4024ca/ Chain-of-Thought Is Not Explainability - Oxford Martin AIGI 2025-07-17T11:57:13+00:00 https://aigi.ox.ac.uk/publications/chain-of-thought-is-not-explainability/ cshalizi large_language_models_(so_called) to_read via:absfac chain-of-thought_(so_called) in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:59d6c1ea2c6a/ Full article: Developing Students’ Statistical Expertise Through Writing in the Age of AI 2025-07-08T15:34:52+00:00 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/26939169.2025.2497547 cshalizi to:NB to_read teaching large_language_models_(so_called) kith_and_kin reinhart.alex weinberg.gordon https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a2f8d1b7308c/ [2412.20292] An analytic theory of creativity in convolutional diffusion models 2025-07-01T15:05:41+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.20292 cshalizi to:NB to_read generative_diffusion_models neural_networks symmetry to_teach:statistics_and_generative_ai via:multiple https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e2510f893f3f/ Demarcating, defining, and diagnosing pseudoscience | Philosophy of Science | Cambridge Core 2025-06-26T14:39:56+00:00 https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/philosophy-of-science/article/demarcating-defining-and-diagnosing-pseudoscience/78BE2C62ABD782B7572154AAFF9F7D13?WT.mc_id=New%2520Cambridge%2520Alert%2520-%2520Articles cshalizi to:NB to_read philosophy_of_science pseudoscience re:on_cranks https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2fd81041edaf/ [2505.17120] Self-Interpretability: LLMs Can Describe Complex Internal Processes that Drive Their Decisions, and Improve with Training 2025-06-16T22:29:29+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.17120 cshalizi to_read color_me_skeptical large_language_models_(so_called) decision-making in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:c057bde2bf0e/ Infant and child death in the human environment of evolutionary adaptation - ScienceDirect 2025-06-16T20:59:25+00:00 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1090513812001237 cshalizi to:NB to_read demography anthropology to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination the_nightmare_from_which_we_are_trying_to_awake https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:033c141061f8/ PAQ: 65 Million Probably-Asked Questions and What You Can Do With Them | Transactions of the Association for Computational Linguistics | MIT Press 2025-06-15T16:08:49+00:00 https://direct.mit.edu/tacl/article/doi/10.1162/tacl_a_00415/107615/PAQ-65-Million-Probably-Asked-Questions-and-What cshalizi to:NB information_retrieval nearest_neighbors to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:aea657f20142/