https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/public/ recent bookmarks from cshalizi 2026-06-01T13:58:12+00:00 https://www.jstor.org/stable/1403785?seq=1 cshaliziin_NB markov_models history_of_mathematics markov.a.a. ergodic_theory mixing free_will https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b76b51010206/ 2025-12-26T14:24:23+00:00 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10955-025-03547-1 cshalizi to:NB central_limit_theorem stochastic_processes dynamical_systems ergodic_theory https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:4134e9e7c64c/ 2025-12-26T14:21:36+00:00 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10955-025-03529-3 cshalizi to:NB cellular_automata ergodic_theory https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:bbc72756bc1b/ 2025-07-08T15:28:11+00:00 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10955-025-03453-6 cshalizi in_NB markov_models ergodic_theory chemistry https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:47b10b880d00/ 2024-12-11T16:02:48+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.04395 cshalizi to:NB markov_models mixing ergodic_theory re:almost_none https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:bb278df058e6/ 2024-09-16T19:15:55+00:00 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF02761077 cshalizi in_NB prediction stochastic_processes ergodic_theory https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b2a70a7b3907/ 2023-12-02T02:39:26+00:00 https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177706638 cshalizi stochastic_processes ergodic_theory have_read breiman.leo re:almost_none in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:9b790bfccaaa/ 2023-06-15T19:18:32+00:00 https://notstatschat.rbind.io/2022/09/28/uniform-law-of-large-numbers/ cshalizihave_read ergodic_theory empirical_processes lumley.thomas learning_theory re:HEAS in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:1dfcf0d1d3f9/ 2023-06-08T15:27:07+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.05028 cshalizi non-stationarity ergodic_theory to_read in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e9ae3f2b3295/ 2023-04-22T13:55:53+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.08992 cshalizi stochastic_processes quantum_mechanics ergodic_theory mixing central_limit_theorem re:almost_none in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:0ab8f9922f41/ 2022-06-11T04:48:33+00:00 https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-applied-probability/article/abs/an-ergodic-theorem-for-the-weighted-ensemble-method/C032C0720A9295B562CCEC138AB147CB cshalizi to:NB particle_filters ergodic_theory stochastic_processes https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e1d15f6d312a/ 2022-03-20T21:17:33+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.09085 cshalizi ergodic_theory self-promotion to:blog https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:9ae05c041970/ 2022-01-12T02:14:25+00:00 https://oxford.universitypressscholarship.com/view/10.1093/oso/9780192844507.001.0001/oso-9780192844507?rskey=nzm83v&result=113 cshalizi to:NB books:noted stochastic_processes convergence_of_stochastic_processes asymptotics ergodic_theory martingales mixing to_download https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:51efb0da9d46/ 2021-08-11T18:56:55+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2108.00997 cshalizi in_NB to_read learning_theory ergodic_theory mixing statistics learning_under_dependence https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:5d2f8d41532e/ 2021-07-11T05:55:06+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.03975 cshalizi to:NB stochastic_processes sparsity approximation ergodic_theory https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:485fccb044e3/ 2021-07-01T13:31:55+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.00177 cshalizi to:NB dynamical_systems ergodic_theory computational_statistics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:cc12c18854a0/ 2021-05-06T13:46:57+00:00 https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-control-071020-010108 cshalizi dynamical_systems control_theory_and_control_engineering ergodic_theory in_NB koopman_operators https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:adc64525a4f6/ 2020-12-12T20:03:25+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1901.08641 cshalizi to:NB bayesian_consistency statistical_inference_for_stochastic_processes dynamical_systems large_deviations ergodic_theory nobel.andrew https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2ed738a0f046/ 2020-01-26T17:18:14+00:00 https://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctt7rwxj cshalizito:NB books:noted ergodic_theory downloaded https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7b0c4501650e/ 2019-12-06T17:57:25+00:00 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-019-0732-0 cshalizi economics ergodic_theory decision_theory my_initial_skeptical_coloration_became_on_examination_a_permanent_stain https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:1ed7cdb276ce/ 2019-10-01T16:18:24+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1903.01059 cshalizi to:NB network_data_analysis ergodic_theory to_read probability statistics to_teach:baby-nets https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a20daa664dfb/ 2019-09-26T18:18:19+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.11453 cshalizi to:NB stochastic_processes ergodic_theory symbolic_dynamics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:37161bd4fb95/ 2019-09-17T14:00:59+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.07363 cshalizi to:NB ergodic_theory markov_models stochastic_processes re:almost_none https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:3c54d60c247c/ 2019-08-08T13:12:21+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.02375 cshalizi to:NB stochastic_processes networks network_data_analysis ergodic_theory to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a521bf0aba6f/ 2019-08-07T12:29:36+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.01794 cshalizi to:NB stochastic_processes ergodic_theory clustering https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:fbbeae07f608/ 2019-08-05T14:13:32+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.00845 cshalizi to:NB stochastic_processes ergodic_theory mixing time_series dynamical_systems statistics statistical_inference_for_stochastic_processes https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:47d385d293f6/ 2019-08-02T15:18:48+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1907.13533 cshalizi to:NB ergodic_theory chains_with_complete_connections time_series https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e3e4afc9bb18/ 2019-05-24T23:55:52+00:00 https://global.oup.com/academic/product/functional-gaussian-approximation-for-dependent-structures-9780198826941?cc=us&lang=en# cshalizi to:NB central_limit_theorem stochastic_processes convergence_of_stochastic_processes mixing ergodic_theory re:almost_none books:noted https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a47e5db7c861/ 2019-02-06T18:07:12+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.06093 cshalizi to:NB interacting_particle_systems cellular_automata ergodic_theory stochastic_processes via:vaguery https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:040513c19009/ 2018-12-29T17:47:47+00:00 https://londmathsoc.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1112/plms/s2-20.1.196 cshalizi stochastic_processes turbulence ergodic_theory probability have_skimmed taylor.g.i. physics re:almost_none to_teach:data_over_space_and_time in_NB have_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:93f1a3437d1f/ 2018-06-02T16:41:05+00:00 https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aop/1176996798#abstract cshalizi in_NB stochastic_processes ergodic_theory have_read re:almost_none https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:9406a2c06f8b/ 2018-03-06T16:01:04+00:00 http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/20/2/85 cshalizi information_theory formal_languages entropy_estimation algorithmic_information_theory ergodic_theory in_NB color_me_skeptical https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:fcbefa1e4844/ 2017-09-13T22:40:57+00:00 http://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783319415963 cshalizi to:NB books:noted probability stochastic_processes ergodic_theory kallenberg.olav coveted downloaded https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b02eee6d26ec/ 2017-09-13T22:39:50+00:00 http://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783662543221?wt_mc=Alerts.NBA.Sep-13 cshalizi books:noted stochastic_processes mixing ergodic_theory markov_models in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6799ddedf364/ 2016-11-23T18:21:15+00:00 http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/NECO_a_00870 cshalizi stochastic_processes learning_theory dependence_measures mixing ergodic_theory statistics re:XV_for_mixing re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks in_NB to_teach:childs_garden_of_statistical_learning_theory https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:5c929691bae6/ 2016-09-30T17:34:34+00:00 http://cambridge.org/9781107126961 cshalizi ergodic_theory mathematics stochastic_processes probability books:noted re:almost_none in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:4fd06d026b96/ 2016-09-07T14:49:37+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1308.4117 cshalizi statistical_mechanics stochastic_processes ergodic_theory mixing van_handel.ramon in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:11c81a1313cd/ 2016-01-07T02:22:45+00:00 https://7c4299fd-a-62cb3a1a-s-sites.googlegroups.com/site/takashiowada54/files/Dissertation_Main.pdf?attachauth=ANoY7cqLrOcqDFe9W9t4nEvuiM-VrXhW8Ko4OqTQ8cuaz9kdklj0ZnCfr8VIkyuL5vK4NxMU_4oTw153ueuTCwH8UpHADQgk9oSsrUyVWhhAagl7C2G0HandV-BxFBRniS3_543BGbeNYy8tOarMDnFgBBKIZnXdgIB66lWU9_6hzIpvVWmVgnkSAbFvNkzDF1GPhi4MuY2pL7Icnqv9Nbzakw1nKui0YbXoWHpIeiRurnQyE-I6nwY%3D&attredirects=0 cshalizito:NB stochastic_processes heavy_tails ergodic_theory long-range_dependence re:almost_none https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:18ab9ef7cfc9/ 2015-08-27T00:24:46+00:00 http://www.maths.manchester.ac.uk/~goran/lectures.pdf cshalizi in_NB ergodic_theory vc-dimension learning_theory stochastic_processes empirical_processes have_read books:recommended to_teach:childs_garden_of_statistical_learning_theory https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f5f9b778314c/ 2015-05-20T19:02:47+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1505.01163 cshalizi time_series ergodic_theory statistics statistical_inference_for_stochastic_processes re:almost_none re:ADAfaEPoV in_NB have_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f5a9d997df33/ 2015-01-27T03:52:58+00:00 http://math.caltech.edu/simon/ComprehensiveCoursePreview.html cshalizi books:noted analysis mathematics fourier_analysis ergodic_theory to:NB coveted hilbert_space hyperbolic_geometry via:mraginsky https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:36f9e8137399/ 2015-01-24T14:13:31+00:00 http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bj/1402488943 cshalizi empirical_processes approximation stochastic_processes markov_models dynamical_systems ergodic_theory mixing in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b57eb1847383/ 2015-01-20T04:00:15+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1411.7650 cshalizi statistics statistical_inference_for_stochastic_processes ergodic_theory prediction re:AoS_project confidence_sets variable-length_markov_models_aka_context_trees have_read in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7ff1521daee5/ 2014-10-28T23:24:23+00:00 http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/mathematics/abstract-analysis/probability-classical-limit-theorems?format=HB cshalizi probability books:noted ergodic_theory central_limit_theorem stochastic_processes in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:8899e7cf990e/ 2014-09-03T18:41:11+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/math/0305164 cshalizi to:NB ergodic_theory symbolic_dynamics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:fc07d7f41a92/ 2014-08-07T16:06:36+00:00 http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aos/1018031110 cshalizi to_read ergodic_theory classifiers regression learning_theory statistics have_read have_forgotten re:AoS_project nobel.andrew in_NB to_teach:childs_garden_of_statistical_learning_theory https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:745ac5dff27e/ 2014-07-12T00:37:22+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1406.6670 cshalizi ergodic_theory statistics time_series statistical_inference_for_stochastic_processes bayesian_consistency in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:0f70ca72d21e/ 2014-04-28T13:24:08+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1211.0834 cshalizi to:NB information_theory ergodic_theory stochastic_processes kith_and_kin debowski.lukasz https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:3fdc6dab17a8/ 2014-04-20T18:27:25+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1404.0766 cshalizi ergodic_theory algorithmic_information_theory stochastic_processes to_read entableted in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:77554d37a74e/ 2014-03-27T15:52:31+00:00 http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/statistics-probability/applied-probability-and-stochastic-networks/ergodic-control-diffusion-processes?format=HB cshalizi books:noted stochastic_processes ergodic_theory re:XV_for_mixing in_NB control_theory_and_control_engineering https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:bde861070652/ 2014-03-26T14:10:41+00:00 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/A:1021692202530 cshalizi stochastic_processes exchangeability statistical_inference_for_stochastic_processes kallenberg.olav re:smoothing_adjacency_matrices network_data_analysis statistics in_NB have_read ergodic_theory to_teach:graphons exchangeable_arrays https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f9139f894731/ 2014-03-12T20:37:56+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/0707.0322 cshalizi dynamical_systems mixing ergodic_theory nonparametrics statistics prediction support-vector_machines steinwart.ingo time_series statistical_inference_for_stochastic_processes re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks re:XV_for_mixing to_read in_NB entableted https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a11e92b7fc51/ 2014-03-12T19:14:12+00:00 http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aop/1393251303 cshalizi to:NB mixing ergodic_theory convergence_of_stochastic_processes central_limit_theorem stochastic_processes re:almost_none https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e3a22f3fd2d2/ 2014-03-10T17:57:01+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1403.1757 cshalizi information_theory ergodic_theory stochastic_processes long-range_dependence to_read debowski.lukasz algorithmic_information_theory kith_and_kin in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:9c8a457bf2f1/ 2014-02-11T21:37:24+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1402.1873 cshalizi statistical_mechanics non-equilibrium ergodic_theory in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a2fd9144d0ed/ 2013-12-16T01:55:56+00:00 http://projecteuclid.org/DPubS?service=UI&version=1.0&verb=Display&handle=euclid.aap/1386857853 cshalizi to:NB cellular_automata ergodic_theory stochastic_processes https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e4a6b142554f/ 2013-12-11T20:41:36+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1312.2726 cshalizi ergodic_theory point_processes stochastic_processes in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6369b09d965e/ 2013-11-06T18:30:29+00:00 http://ndpr.nd.edu/news/43974-tychomancy-inferring-probability-from-causal-structure/ cshalizi books:noted book_reviews foundations_of_statistics statistical_mechanics probability ergodic_theory philosophy_of_science strevens.michael howson.colin in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:24c7e6751953/ 2013-10-08T18:23:01+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1310.1573 cshalizi ergodic_theory statistical_mechanics foundations_of_statistical_mechanics philosophy_of_science in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:34b6a7cf2ed2/ 2013-09-20T12:59:20+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1309.4859 cshalizi self-centered in_NB mixing ergodic_theory stochastic_processes learning_theory mixture_models prediction kontorovich.aryeh https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:761883d720df/ 2013-09-09T03:34:37+00:00 http://www.jstor.org/discover/10.2307/2999460?uid=3739864&uid=2129&uid=2&uid=70&uid=4&uid=3739256&sid=21102630678603 cshalizi$\mu =\int_{\Theta}\mu _{\theta }d\lambda (\theta)$. Among these, a natural representation is one whose components $(\mu _{\theta}\text{'}{\rm s})$ are "learnable" (one can approximate μ _θ by conditioning μ on observation of the process) and "sufficient for prediction" ($\mu _{\theta}\text{'}{\rm s}$ predictions are not aided by conditioning on observation of the process). We show the existence and uniqueness of such a representation under a suitable asymptotic mixing condition on the process. This representation can be obtained by conditioning on the tail-field of the process, and any learnable representation that is sufficient for prediction is asymptotically like the tail-field representation. This result is related to the celebrated de Finetti theorem, but with exchangeability weakened to an asymptotic mixing condition, and with his conclusion of a decomposition into i.i.d. component distributions weakened to components that are learnable and sufficient for prediction." - A bit astonishing there's no mention of de-Finetti-like theorems for partial exchangeability, or even of the ergodic decomposition.]]> stochastic_processes mixing learning_theory re:almost_none jackson.matthew_o. ergodic_theory re:pac-and-mar not_quite_scooped_exactly have_read in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:5645e3ec2909/ 2013-09-03T12:24:15+00:00 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10955-013-0796-7 cshalizi to:NB ergodic_theory statistical_mechanics markov_models stochastic_processes https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:d379ea356a1a/ 2013-08-15T15:19:37+00:00 http://www.nowpublishers.com/articles/foundations-and-trends-in-stochastic-systems/STO-004 cshalizi to:NB long-range_dependence stochastic_processes ergodic_theory mixing to_read large_deviations https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:dfd6679f032a/ 2013-06-27T15:03:04+00:00 http://projecteuclid.org/DPubS?service=UI&version=1.0&verb=Display&handle=euclid.bj/1372251145 cshalizi to:NB markov_models stochastic_processes model_selection prediction statistics ergodic_theory information_criteria statistical_inference_for_stochastic_processes https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:232fc8be2fe3/ 2013-06-18T15:37:38+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1306.3925 cshalizi foundations_of_statistical_mechanics ergodic_theory quantum_mechanics physics in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:4a2154a08b92/ 2013-04-26T15:23:47+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.6863 cshalizi ergodic_theory dynamical_systems stochastic_processes re:almost_none in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:723e0d175d2a/ 2013-04-22T17:23:25+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.5113 cshalizi1$, which slightly improves upon existing results in the literature that are based on mixing rates depending on the dimension $d$."]]> to:NB mixing ergodic_theory empirical_processes stochastic_processes https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:c7b219da085f/ 2013-04-17T13:05:03+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.4580 cshalizi to:NB stochastic_processes central_limit_theorem markov_models ergodic_theory martingales re:almost_none monte_carlo https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7401f9e40441/ 2013-04-10T22:04:37+00:00 http://users.stat.umn.edu/~geyer/mcmc/burn.html cshalizi monte_carlo to_teach:statcomp ergodic_theory markov_models have_read simulation computational_statistics geyer.charles_j. https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e865d44ad838/ 2013-04-10T21:29:11+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.2621 cshalizi to:NB mixing central_limit_theorem ergodic_theory stochastic_processes dynamical_systems https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:ee98841bea95/