Pinboard (cshalizi) https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/public/ recent bookmarks from cshalizi Uncertainty in Empirical Economics | NBER 2025-07-02T18:36:14+00:00 https://www.nber.org/papers/w33962 cshalizi to:NB bad_data_analysis econometrics calibration https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2cd96b2a0835/ We Do Not Know the Population of Every Country in the World for the Past Two Thousand Years | The Journal of Economic History | Cambridge Core 2025-03-10T14:07:54+00:00 https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-economic-history/article/we-do-not-know-the-population-of-every-country-in-the-world-for-the-past-two-thousand-years/D747DDC6E499C799B0471DBE33FEB0BB cshalizi to:NB have_read history economic_history econometrics social_measurement bad_data_collection demography bad_data_analysis to_teach:undergrad-ADA tab_closure https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b68c7ada7248/ The Data Economy 2025-03-02T14:51:28+00:00 https://www.degruyter.com/document/doi/10.1515/9780691256740/html cshalizi to:NB economics macroeconomics finance econometrics information_theory books:noted https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:c7f09031cfe2/ Power of Bias in Economics Research | The Economic Journal | Oxford Academic 2023-05-02T20:10:08+00:00 https://academic.oup.com/ej/article-abstract/127/605/F236/5069452?login=false cshalizi to:NB economics econometrics statistics hypothesis_testing re:neutral_model_of_inquiry estimation have_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2c2f32247eac/ Decomposition Methods in Economics - ScienceDirect 2022-07-09T19:01:21+00:00 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169721811004072?casa_token=lgieHzuFKHQAAAAA:BAsYjUbrbT38b3WrBiwDqJTh00eeKLaayfIDdbCcrJbDurnQq94qV1BCjkvF-n-qgNt6tA2I cshalizi to:NB econometrics inequality to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination via:donsker_class https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:d426911976e4/ Big Data for Twenty-First-Century Economic Statistics, Abraham, Jarmin, Moyer 2022-05-11T17:12:03+00:00 https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/B/bo136254067 cshalizi to:NB data_analysis econometrics computational_statistics social_measurement books:noted books:suggest_to_library https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:e7a4adbeaf79/ Two-Way Fixed Effects and Differences-in-Differences with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: A Survey | NBER 2022-03-19T23:06:05+00:00 https://www.nber.org/papers/w29691 cshalizi to:NB linear_regression causal_inference econometrics re:TALR https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:430867822da3/ Systemic Discrimination: Theory and Measurement | NBER 2022-03-15T13:21:46+00:00 https://www.nber.org/papers/w29820 cshalizisee how the way they set up their decomposition presupposes their conclusions examine their identification assumptions.]]> to:NB discrimination econometrics causal_inference statistics to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination color_me_skeptical https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:acabb2f1cc5f/ Choosing among Regularized Estimators in Empirical Economics: The Risk of Machine Learning | The Review of Economics and Statistics | MIT Press 2022-03-14T18:19:21+00:00 https://direct.mit.edu/rest/article-abstract/101/5/743/58556/Choosing-among-Regularized-Estimators-in-Empirical?redirectedFrom=fulltext cshalizi to:NB econometrics estimation statistics learning_theory to_teach:childs_garden_of_statistical_learning_theory re:HEAS downloaded cross-validation https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:765356ad4562/ Wealth Inequality in South Africa, 1993–2017 | The World Bank Economic Review | Oxford Academic 2022-03-14T18:06:34+00:00 https://academic.oup.com/wber/article-abstract/36/1/19/6333254?redirectedFrom=fulltext cshalizi to:NB inequality econometrics south_africa to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:8a69e852f4b4/ Top Wealth in America: New Estimates and Implications for Taxing the Rich | NBER 2021-10-18T15:55:48+00:00 https://www.nber.org/papers/w29374 cshalizi to:NB economics inequality econometrics class_struggles_in_america to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:587354373f1b/ Sufficient Statistics Revisited | Annual Review of Economics 2021-08-06T15:30:56+00:00 https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-economics-060220-023547 cshalizi to:NB economic_policy econometrics sufficiency https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:07177d96e802/ SocArXiv Papers | How Robust are Estimates of Intergenerational Income Mobility? 2021-07-28T04:14:09+00:00 https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/gd2t6 cshalizi econometrics misspecification model_checking inequality transmission_of_inequality in_NB to_teach:statistics_of_inequality_and_discrimination https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:73035bc7f32c/ [2107.09736] Recent Developments in Inference: Practicalities for Applied Economics 2021-07-23T02:52:24+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.09736 cshalizi to:NB statistics econometrics bootstrap https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f27367abbbc8/ [1808.07861] On model selection criteria for climate change impact studies 2021-06-10T02:12:02+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.07861 cshalizi to:NB model_selection climate_change econometrics statistics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:af3a5c918559/ [2007.00273] When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage 2021-06-10T02:09:00+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.00273 cshalizi to:NB macroeconomics social_measurement econometrics re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks statistics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:3eddc826a2fe/ [2105.11182] Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails 2021-05-26T16:02:15+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.11182 cshalizi to:NB to_read time_series heavy_tails econometrics re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks statistics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f09d7df2e5df/ [2103.12374] What Do We Get from a Two-Way Fixed Effects Estimator? Implications from a General Numerical Equivalence 2021-05-12T18:26:22+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.12374 cshalizi to:NB causal_inference econometrics linear_regression to_teach:linear_models re:TALR https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:52dd58167535/ How to Estimate a VAR after March 2020 2021-05-10T22:42:09+00:00 https://faculty.wcas.northwestern.edu/~gep575/PriorSelectionCovid2-3.pdf cshalizioutbreaks from the dungeon dimensions whose mere existence forces even the healthiest of econometric minds to confront the "Chaos, and Ancient Night" surrounding the Gaussian data generating process on all sides anomalous, exactly what is the process whose parameters you are estimating?]]> to:NB time_series coronavirus_pandemic_of_2019-- outliers econometrics via:donsker_class re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks to_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:0d5b2ec3b195/ [1812.02276] Identifying the Effect of Persuasion 2021-04-12T03:08:24+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1812.02276 cshalizi to:NB influence econometrics social_measurement social_influence causal_inference https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:bcf0284f77c0/ [2005.12395] Fair Policy Targeting 2021-04-05T19:09:23+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.12395 cshalizi algorithmic_fairness econometrics in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:3ee3fbe64908/ D-separation, forecasting, and economic science: a conjecture | SpringerLink 2021-04-05T14:55:39+00:00 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11238-012-9305-8 cshalizi to:NB model_selection prediction causal_inference causal_discovery social_science_methodology econometrics macroeconomics re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks have_skimmed https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:80b199897417/ Reproducible Econometrics Using R - Oxford Scholarship 2021-01-16T07:03:52+00:00 https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190900663.001.0001 cshalizi to:NB books:noted to_download to_read racine.jeffrey econometrics R to_teach:undergrad-ADA to_teach:data_over_space_and_time statistics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:66446d8278e8/ The ABC of simulation estimation with auxiliary statistics - ScienceDirect 2020-12-13T23:18:00+00:00 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2018.03.007 cshalizi to:NB approximate_bayesian_computation simulation-based_estimation econometrics ng.serena have_skimmed re:codename:catherine_wheel https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6135a93f9671/ "Structural vs. Reduced Form": Language, Confusion, and Models in Empirical Economics 2020-12-10T22:00:23+00:00 http://www.econ.yale.edu/~pah29/intro.pdf cshalizi econometrics causal_inference statistics rectification_of_names structural_equations have_read via:? https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:d662e28818c6/ [2007.13888] Local Projection Inference is Simpler and More Robust Than You Think 2020-12-10T05:45:16+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.13888 cshalizi to:NB time_series statistics econometrics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:673deccff84e/ Volume 23 Issue 3 | The Econometrics Journal: SPECIAL ISSUE ON THE METHODOLOGY AND APPLICATIONS OF STRUCTURAL DYNAMIC MODELS AND MACHINE LEARNING 2020-10-23T16:56:05+00:00 https://academic.oup.com/ectj/issue/23/3 cshalizito:NB to_read econometrics learning_theory https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:58c5b8f82418/ Randomization in the Tropics Revisited: a Theme and Eleven Variations 2020-08-10T18:14:55+00:00 https://www.nber.org/papers/w27600 cshalizi to:NB experimental_economics causal_inference econometrics development_economics deaton.angus social_science_methodology have_read re:ADAfaEPoV https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:677e2e17ef03/ [2004.11751] Microeconometrics with Partial Identification 2020-07-17T19:07:53+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.11751 cshalizi to:NB statistics econometrics partial_identification https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2ce2414a09c7/ Teacher Effects on Student Achievement and Height: A Cautionary Tale 2020-07-13T18:23:23+00:00 https://www.nber.org/papers/w26480 cshalizi to:NB value-added_measures statistics econometrics bad_data_analysis have_skimmed trapped_in_plutos_republic value-added_measurement_in_education https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:23cf195172d5/ Generalizable and Robust TV Advertising Effects by Bradley Shapiro, Günter J. Hitsch, Anna Tuchman :: SSRN 2020-01-09T17:43:36+00:00 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3273476 cshalizi to:NB causal_inference econometrics statistics advertising to_teach:undergrad-ADA https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6309f471803b/ The Identification Zoo: Meanings of Identification in Econometrics 2019-12-06T15:45:06+00:00 https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jel.20181361 cshalizi to:NB identifiability statistics econometrics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:293c1a57a463/ A Comparison of Approaches to Advertising Measurement: Evidence from Big Field Experiments at Facebook 2019-11-27T00:44:11+00:00 https://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/gordon_b/files/fb_comparison.pdf cshaliziadvertising econometrics causal_inference statistics have_read to_teach:data-mining networked_life https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:78b91ed32b9a/ Consumer Heterogeneity and Paid Search Effectiveness: A Large Scale Field Experiment 2019-11-27T00:19:31+00:00 https://www.nber.org/papers/w20171.pdf cshalizito:NB advertising causal_inference econometrics statistics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b455c124aec1/ The new dot com bubble is here: it’s called online advertising - The Correspondent 2019-11-27T00:18:04+00:00 https://thecorrespondent.com/100/the-new-dot-com-bubble-is-here-its-called-online-advertising/13228924500-22d5fd24 cshaliziadvertising networked_life causal_inference statistics market_failures_in_everything corporations econometrics have_read to_teach:data-mining https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:2c891d017048/ How to Use Economic Theory to Improve Estimators: Shrinking Toward Theoretical Restrictions | The Review of Economics and Statistics | MIT Press Journals 2019-10-24T15:01:31+00:00 https://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/rest_a_00795 cshalizi to:NB economics econometrics statistics estimation shrinkage https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:384ae1da5083/ [1906.10258] Policy Targeting under Network Interference 2019-08-29T00:46:59+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.10258 cshalizi to:NB social_influence causal_inference network_data_analysis statistics econometrics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:d30fddcdd222/ [1908.06133] A model of discrete choice based on reinforcement learning under short-term memory 2019-08-20T15:28:28+00:00 https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.06133 cshalizi reinforcement_learning econometrics in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:ce255f97a26f/ Free trade and opioid overdose death in the United States - ScienceDirect 2019-07-29T18:47:52+00:00 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352827319300096?via%3Dihub cshalizi to:NB to_read drugs whats_gone_wrong_with_america class_struggles_in_america econometrics statistics globalization to_teach:data_over_space_and_time to_teach:undergrad-ADA causal_inference https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:56271b63f2a4/ The Standard Errors of Persistence 2019-07-17T13:38:45+00:00 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/333571096_The_Standard_Errors_of_Persistence cshalizi econometrics regression spatial_statistics to_teach:data_over_space_and_time via:jbdelong in_NB have_read to_teach:linear_models https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:a2dddfc99614/ Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data | Annual Review of Economics 2019-05-26T16:39:34+00:00 https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-economics-080217-053214 cshalizi to:NB economics econometrics macroeconomics social_measurement statistics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:89337a521d83/ Nonparametric Estimation of Triangular Simultaneous Equations Models on JSTOR 2019-04-24T22:39:57+00:00 https://www-jstor-org.proxy.library.cmu.edu/stable/2999545?seq=2#metadata_info_tab_contents cshalizi nonparametrics instrumental_variables causal_inference statistics regression econometrics re:ADAfaEPoV in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:46bcb9e6ddc2/ Whitney K. Newey, "Nonparametric Instrumental Variables Estimation" (2013) 2019-04-24T22:39:10+00:00 https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/aer.103.3.550 cshalizi nonparametrics instrumental_variables regression causal_inference statistics econometrics re:ADAfaEPoV in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:30029a2150f1/ Applied Nonparametric Instrumental Variables Estimation - Horowitz - 2011 - Econometrica - Wiley Online Library 2019-04-24T22:37:30+00:00 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.3982/ECTA8662 cshalizi nonparametrics instrumental_variables causal_inference econometrics statistics inverse_problems re:ADAfaEPoV in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:60ce2bd00280/ Nonparametric Instrumental Regression - Darolles - 2011 - Econometrica - Wiley Online Library 2019-04-24T22:35:55+00:00 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.3982/ECTA6539 cshalizi nonparametrics instrumental_variables causal_inference statistics inverse_problems regression econometrics re:ADAfaEPoV in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:18b720537b4e/ Instrumental Variable Estimation of Nonparametric Models - Newey - 2003 - Econometrica - Wiley Online Library 2019-04-24T22:34:56+00:00 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/1468-0262.00459 cshalizi instrumental_variables nonparametrics regression causal_inference statistics econometrics in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6b8664a72e96/ Nonparametric Instrumental Regression 2019-04-22T16:53:09+00:00 https://ideas.repec.org/p/mtl/montde/2002-05.html cshalizi have_read regression instrumental_variables nonparametrics inverse_problems causal_inference re:ADAfaEPoV econometrics in_NB statistics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:69c772c89634/ An Introduction to the Advanced Theory and Practice of Nonparametric Econometrics by Jeffrey S. Racine 2019-01-06T02:05:38+00:00 https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/an-introduction-to-the-advanced-theory-and-practice-of-nonparametric-econometrics/974161A820CE022349B95AF2320C25FA cshalizi to:NB books:noted econometrics nonparametrics statistics racine.jeffrey R coveted https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:85a96986fe7c/ A Perspective on the Accuracy of Economic Observations on JSTOR 2018-10-26T20:46:05+00:00 https://www.jstor.org/stable/1403345?seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents cshalizi to:NB to_read social_measurement social_science_methodology economics econometrics on_the_accuracy_of_economic_observations https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:1fc6d4ca3c32/ Quantile Regression 2018-10-24T14:19:54+00:00 https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.15.4.143 cshalizi to:NB have_read regression statistics econometrics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:67e7d8d009d7/ Communicating Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics: An Appraisal Fifty Years after Morgenstern 2018-10-22T13:19:18+00:00 https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jel.53.3.631 cshalizi to:NB to_read statistics econometrics via:arsyed manski.charles_f. https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:81cf90a2d0b7/ Archive ouverte HAL - The Great Regression. Machine Learning, Econometrics, and the Future of Quantitative Social Sciences 2018-08-06T14:58:40+00:00 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01841413 cshalizi to:NB to_read regression social_science_methodology machine_learning via:phnk econometrics color_me_skeptical https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:b09254b30dd6/ Identifying and Estimation Neighborhood Effects 2018-06-14T21:11:59+00:00 https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jel.20160854 cshalizi to:NB statistics econometrics spatial_statistics identifiability inequality the_american_dilemma to_teach:data_over_space_and_time https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:cb4a312f2fab/ The Wit and Wisdom of Trygve Haavelmo – J. W. Mason 2018-05-30T15:40:54+00:00 http://jwmason.org/slackwire/the-wit-and-wisdom-of-trygve-haavelmo/ cshalizieconomics econometrics social_science_methodology haavelmo.trygve https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:f2d6cdccee1b/ Consistency without Inference: Instrumental Variables in Practical Application 2017-11-14T15:30:41+00:00 https://personal.lse.ac.uk/YoungA/CWOI.pdf cshalizi re:ADAfaEPoV to_teach:undergrad-ADA instrumental_variables causal_inference regression statistics econometrics via:kjhealy have_read in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:0762e8318a2c/ Imai, K.: Quantitative Social Science: An Introduction. (eBook, Paperback and Hardcover) 2017-06-23T16:48:34+00:00 http://press.princeton.edu/titles/11025.html cshalizi to:NB books:noted social_science_methodology economics statistics econometrics causal_inference re:ADAfaEPoV https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:71914f0fbd67/ Econometrics as evidence? Examining the ‘causal’ connections between financial speculation and commodities prices 2016-10-18T20:57:07+00:00 http://sss.sagepub.com/content/46/5/701.abstract cshalizi to:NB sociology_of_science econometrics financial_speculation regulation causal_inference time_series statistics granger_causality https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:17ff7d387123/ Greiner, A. and Semmler, W., Gong, G.: The Forces of Economic Growth: A Time Series Perspective. (eBook, Paperback and Hardcover) 2016-07-08T21:02:17+00:00 http://press.princeton.edu/titles/7837.html cshalizi to:NB books:noted economics economic_growth econometrics time_series statistics https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:636515e07758/ Statistically controlling for confounding constructs is harder than you think 2016-03-03T13:46:30+00:00 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0152719 cshalizi have_read measurement social_measurement social_science_methodology psychometrics econometrics graphical_models statistics to_teach:undergrad-ADA re:ADAfaEPoV yarkoni.tal to:blog in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:cc7dbb45aecc/ Herbst, E.P. and Schorfheide, F.: Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models (eBook and Hardcover). 2016-01-04T18:09:41+00:00 http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10612.html cshalizi to:NB books:noted econometrics macroeconomics time_series estimation statistics re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:faa593baef93/ The Science Of Grading Teachers Gets High Marks | FiveThirtyEight 2015-09-01T23:33:35+00:00 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-science-of-grading-teachers-gets-high-marks/ cshalizi track_down_references value-added_measurement_in_education econometrics via:jbdelong have_read https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:7528904d0471/ [1507.06115] Generalized Indirect Inference for Discrete Choice Models 2015-08-05T15:01:14+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1507.06115 cshalizi indirect_inference optimization statistics econometrics in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:6c00fd7aef87/ On the Interpretation of Instrumental Variables in the Presence of Specification Errors 2015-02-17T17:23:40+00:00 http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/leecon/dp14-19.pdf?uol_r=d307e306 cshalizi instrumental_variables misspecification regression linear_regression causal_inference statistics econometrics via:jbdelong have_read to_teach:undergrad-ADA re:ADAfaEPoV in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:5e670302d3ca/ [1410.0163] Instrumental Variables: An Econometrician's Perspective 2015-01-20T02:39:49+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1410.0163 cshalizi econometrics economics instrumental_variables causal_inference statistics in_NB https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:3e76f63303fa/ [1410.0470] ACE Bounds; SEMs with Equilibrium Conditions 2015-01-20T01:56:09+00:00 http://arxiv.org/abs/1410.0470 cshalizito:NB causal_inference causality graphical_models statistics economics econometrics richardson.thomas robins.james_m. https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:87a7b302af00/ How good are out-of-sample forecasting tests? | VOX, CEPR’s Policy Portal 2015-01-15T22:26:09+00:00 http://www.voxeu.org/article/how-good-are-out-sample-forecasting-tests cshalizi to:NB track_down_references economics macroeconomics econometrics prediction hypothesis_testing re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks have_read via:djm1107 https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:8d636cff68ba/ When economic models are unable to fit the data | VOX, CEPR’s Policy Portal 2014-11-24T04:01:01+00:00 http://www.voxeu.org/article/when-economic-models-are-unable-fit-data cshalizi track_down_references economics model_selection misspecification goodness-of-fit econometrics statistics baby_steps to:blog re:your_favorite_dsge_sucks https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:941ebb031700/ Empirical Model Discovery and Theory Evaluation: Automatic Selection Methods in Econometrics | The MIT Press 2014-11-21T16:44:13+00:00 http://mitpress.mit.edu/books/empirical-model-discovery-and-theory-evaluation cshalizi books:noted econometrics statistics model_selection model_discovery in_NB books:owned https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:79bb2df096fe/ AER (104,11) p. 3635 - Structural Transformation, the Mismeasurement of Productivity Growth, and the Cost Disease of Services 2014-10-27T19:21:12+00:00 https://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aer.104.11.3635 cshalizi to:NB to_read economics economic_growth productivity econometrics instrumental_variables https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:fc3ffaa10995/ Methodology of Econometrics 2014-09-24T21:54:51+00:00 http://public.econ.duke.edu/~kdh9/Source%20Materials/Research/econometric_methodology_plus_abstract.pdf cshalizi to:NB econometrics economics statistics philosophy_of_science https://pinboard.in/ https://pinboard.in/u:cshalizi/b:1e7c7fe56a95/